Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

397

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$654

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-08 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

92% 56% -$15

Politics

6% 62% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	+3	$2	98¢	$2	+$1	06-11 10:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+3	$2	86¢	$2	+$0	07-16 16:24
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	07-11 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	2	$4	12	+12	No	-$1	08-30 09:36
ng up or down on july 24 2026	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	07-24 16:54
Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?	2	$3	15	+15	No	+$12	10-04 14:27
will warsh say inflation 50 times during june press conference 20260608181156646	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	06-16 18:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	06-17 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	07-31 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-08 08:44
israel closes its airspace by august 31	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	07-11 16:22
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-14 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-17 09:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-01 00:25
will warsh say all time high or all time low during june press conference 20260608181156669	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	06-15 20:52
Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-20 02:49
will ewy dip to 180 by july 6 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	07-06 04:21
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 11:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	07-14 16:23
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-08 00:43
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-24 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-26 16:19
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	06-14 02:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-02 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	06-22 23:35
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-01 03:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-02 12:07
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 16:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-03 12:39
spx up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-14 12:45
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-05 08:00
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-31 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-21 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:57:15	Will Lusail SC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x2bc080…
11-08 02:57:10	Will Persikad Depok win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9db077…
11-05 06:03:54	Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x2aa5b2…
11-04 12:59:06	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x0198ab…
11-03 09:24:19	Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xb9bc02…
11-02 23:47:57	Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x004a4d…
11-02 15:19:54	acle tra nef 2026 11 02 tra	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x510aee…
11-02 14:06:22	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x98180b…
11-01 19:18:46	Will S.S.D. Casarano Calcio win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xb05e03…
11-01 17:35:03	FC Arda Kardzhali vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6e96a4…
11-01 16:18:52	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xf926f1…
11-01 14:48:27	Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x5cb31a…
11-01 14:48:24	Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x600f6d…
11-01 11:42:31	Cercle Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x65584f…
11-01 04:17:34	Will Inter Milano U23 win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x1801c8…
11-01 02:43:30	Will AC Taipei win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x66d3e4…
10-31 23:24:45	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x225469…
10-31 11:47:22	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xa3ffcd…
10-31 10:22:09	Will IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd3bd41…
10-31 08:38:37	Will Wieczysta Krakow win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xdea043…
10-31 08:38:34	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4178ba…
10-31 08:38:31	Will Chorley FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xe65b13…
10-31 07:24:58	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xb22266…
10-31 07:24:55	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x18d8c7…
10-31 07:24:51	Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xca4d62…
10-31 07:24:48	Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x420764…
10-30 08:29:40	Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xea3d6a…
10-29 12:26:47	Persebaya Surabaya vs. Persijap Jepara: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xc1eb0a…
10-29 08:53:50	Will US gas hit $4.34 (High) the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x9bbf5a…
10-29 05:19:56	Sligo Rovers FC vs. Derry City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x30d232…
10-29 04:20:07	Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x7d928e…
10-28 19:52:41	Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1bd686…
10-28 03:57:59	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x95a67d…
10-26 04:19:48	Spread: Persija Jakarta (-1.5)	Persija Jakarta	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x88cbfb…
10-26 00:17:53	Spread: Persija Jakarta (-2.5)	Persija Jakarta	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x5b8a65…
10-25 22:00:20	Will Aurora FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x4e8f6c…
10-25 15:29:11	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xc968d4…
10-25 12:13:23	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8dc601…
10-25 06:10:09	Sogndal Fotball vs. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x33403c…
10-25 05:54:17	Will CA All Boys win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xe5a75a…
10-25 05:35:05	Will Yanbian Longding win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x1f98b8…
10-25 04:47:41	Moss FK vs. Aasane Fotball: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe965da…
10-25 04:47:38	Moss FK vs. Aasane Fotball: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xabda09…
10-25 04:47:35	Moss FK vs. Aasane Fotball: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xeb3044…
10-25 04:47:32	Spread: Stroemsgodset IF (-1.5)	Stroemsgodset IF	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xc0d18a…
10-25 04:47:27	Will Hwaseong FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0c0cc2…
10-25 03:47:05	Helsingborgs IF vs. Ljungskile SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x30894f…
10-25 02:20:26	Will FC Arzignano Valchiampo win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xa5dae3…
10-24 19:53:59	Will Prachuap FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xbff41c…
10-24 19:15:15	Will SS Monopoli win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x4e674f…
10-24 16:10:14	Will Kerry FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb18a9c…
10-24 16:10:11	Will Gainare Tottori win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xcf2cfd…
10-24 15:33:57	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x18095f…
10-24 13:15:17	Will TSV Hartberg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x05b75c…
10-24 12:40:11	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Fram Reykjavik: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x4ce5f0…
10-24 12:05:51	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x635d85…
10-24 10:46:42	Will Rochdale AFC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x3b766b…
10-24 10:46:41	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xb2b5df…
10-24 08:28:12	FC Gomel vs. FC Dinamo Minsk: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5b2fbe…
10-23 19:56:35	ja3 thg kam 2026 10 24 thg	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x9485d8…
10-23 19:56:33	Will Albion FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xe9adf9…
10-23 16:43:14	Will SC Sagamihara win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xeac65a…
10-23 09:44:44	Will Atalanta BC U23 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x959d22…
10-23 05:28:00	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xac3d52…
10-23 05:27:57	Will Araz Nakhchivan PFK win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xcbe69f…
10-22 21:10:05	Will Yellow-Red KV Mechelen win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xf90e3e…
10-22 18:08:24	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xc6aece…
10-22 12:02:14	Will SSC Bari win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xc99514…
10-21 13:31:29	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xd108c9…
10-21 08:50:09	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x8b707e…
10-20 18:26:06	Will Chorley FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xb6c837…
10-20 14:20:44	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x88ddcc…
10-18 13:47:02	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x3eb789…
10-18 05:54:02	Ajman Club vs. Sharjah FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x0d44b6…
10-17 22:24:56	Rhode Island FC vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x85a9cc…
10-17 20:28:42	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x1ba081…
10-17 16:07:18	Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xec9c83…
10-17 12:15:44	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x1828b9…
10-17 01:26:45	Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x900b91…
10-16 17:26:20	Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xf0b503…
10-16 05:07:52	Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x854a32…
10-12 11:01:14	Will Modern SC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xd79816…
10-12 06:36:15	PAOK Thessaloniki vs. PAE PS Kalamata: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x537693…
10-11 16:44:22	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8d9d5f…
10-11 15:46:22	Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x79f14a…
10-11 13:50:42	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe4497f…
10-11 11:43:39	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x532372…
10-11 11:15:57	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x27c1a3…
10-11 09:05:21	Will Royal Charleroi SC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x44b2a6…
10-11 07:10:08	Will Molde FK win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6e6178…
10-11 06:29:08	Will Real Murcia CF win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x7ae76d…
10-11 02:52:48	Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1a352d…
10-11 02:25:54	FC Kuressaare vs. Tallinna FC Flora: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2244f4…
10-11 00:44:16	FC Andorra vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xf92f39…
10-10 17:18:28	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x3d8095…
10-10 08:40:04	VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x506779…
10-09 12:06:54	Will Parnu JK Vaprus win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x222e42…
10-09 10:47:36	Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf94b9a…
10-08 13:30:29	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xc19e2c…
10-08 08:13:20	Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x456f50…