Leading-Journalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$706

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-10 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 43% $-6

Politics

25% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$11	7	4	+3	open	—	05-22 23:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 15:06
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 01:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	18	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	06-20 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 15:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-05 17:30
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	08-10 04:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-18 03:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 17:50
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-06 17:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	17	$6	4	3	+1	open	—	04-20 22:26
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	06-08 06:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 17:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$4	4	0	+3	open	—	04-30 00:22
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$4	3	1	+3	open	—	06-30 19:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	6	$4	3	0	+3	open	—	06-30 23:19
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$4	4	0	+3	open	—	07-24 19:52
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-29 09:21
will natus vincere win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-29 09:02
cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 08:02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$4	6	0	+6	MOUZ	$-4	05-09 21:24
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-11 08:53
cs2 prv mnte 2026 06 12	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-11 23:04
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-28 20:09
cs2 bb3 gl1 2026 06 06	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	06-06 18:13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$4	14	0	+14	BetBoom Team	$-4	05-12 20:32
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-26 22:14
cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	06-13 09:59
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 7pt5	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	07-14 18:30
cs2 mnte lgc 2026 06 07	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 07:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf51088…
08-10 04:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1c1661…
08-10 04:09:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xef20f3…
08-09 17:38:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xe83b7c…
08-09 17:38:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x777cc2…
08-09 15:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x1ba13f…
08-08 20:17:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x396145…
08-08 20:15:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc1581c…
08-08 20:14:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xacc3a4…
08-08 20:08:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x99d483…
08-08 19:48:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x70a116…
08-04 07:05:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x723749…
08-01 20:46:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x456625…
08-01 20:40:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xc2f003…
07-30 06:48:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6fef35…
07-24 19:52:51	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa0023c…
07-24 18:40:39	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x096e6e…
07-24 18:40:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x48f7f8…
07-15 15:46:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa50fa1…
07-14 18:46:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb373e7…
07-14 18:45:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$3	0x2a9ba1…
07-14 18:40:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x47b6a1…
07-14 18:39:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts first half	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x701094…
07-14 18:37:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	20	18¢	$3	0xba394c…
07-14 18:30:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xc3bf9a…
07-11 02:47:59	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc332cc…
07-01 01:02:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x9b6b0f…
06-30 23:19:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd0b9f4…
06-30 22:56:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x57c69b…
06-30 20:10:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdeba9e…
06-30 20:09:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcb368d…
06-30 19:56:11	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98212c…
06-28 22:03:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xf6c083…
06-28 22:02:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x864be6…
06-24 16:24:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x1f8ebb…
06-23 15:33:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xede2d4…
06-21 10:44:02	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 map handicap home 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x63270e…
06-20 19:06:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd6d4f…
06-20 18:32:10	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x63c7cd…
06-20 18:14:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x95a96b…
06-20 18:09:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfeabdc…
06-20 11:44:53	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x395283…
06-20 11:43:13	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9d7196…
06-20 03:53:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6ff03b…
06-19 18:31:08	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xd4a22b…
06-19 18:30:29	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x026bc5…
06-19 17:07:37	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 map handicap away 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x3c7fc1…
06-18 12:19:59	cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18 map handicap away 1pt5	FURIA	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x553aa6…
06-18 08:02:19	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xaff8f0…
06-18 03:18:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x453bd8…
06-18 00:11:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x366a93…
06-18 00:07:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x552de2…
06-18 00:06:20	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x277de7…
06-18 00:05:14	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x023ef3…
06-17 23:54:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1e324f…
06-17 23:50:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x53749c…
06-17 22:31:01	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xefa659…
06-17 22:30:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x81c342…
06-17 20:54:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x148b42…
06-17 17:33:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4f6c29…
06-17 16:16:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x02ced5…
06-17 00:33:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x65ccdb…
06-17 00:28:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1f111f…
06-16 11:45:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3e18eb…
06-16 10:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x54554d…
06-16 10:06:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9596ea…
06-16 09:26:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3ca6cc…
06-16 09:21:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc1c8a3…
06-16 09:12:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3fb4bb…
06-16 08:54:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x096a6a…
06-16 08:52:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6c039c…
06-15 08:19:22	cs2 navi g2 2026 06 15	G2	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0x64aec6…
06-15 08:18:58	cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	FUT Esports	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x9f8c79…
06-14 16:45:54	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14 map handicap away 1pt5	G2	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xe76aec…
06-14 15:03:13	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb4a0b6…
06-14 15:02:30	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 06 14	9z	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x013ee9…
06-14 12:53:52	cs2 mglz mnte 2026 06 14	TheMongolz	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x7f4804…
06-14 09:38:43	cs2 mglz mnte 2026 06 14 map handicap away 1pt5	TheMongolz	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x8746cb…
06-13 16:32:09	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xdc62d6…
06-13 16:31:30	cs2 bb3 furia 2026 06 13	FURIA	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xbc6969…
06-13 16:29:12	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	Vitality	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd57224…
06-13 14:16:09	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13	Legacy	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x1daccf…
06-13 11:54:07	cs2 aur1 g2 2026 06 13	G2	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x9bc4ba…
06-13 09:59:58	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb75258…
06-13 09:50:21	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xa0fd42…
06-13 09:48:37	cs2 b8 fut 2026 06 13	FUT Esports	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x4f54ad…
06-13 09:08:10	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5c199d…
06-13 07:32:03	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd77e2f…
06-12 17:17:33	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12 map handicap home 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x01b6ca…
06-12 16:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xb07a85…
06-12 13:25:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x595e29…
06-12 13:23:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6dbae8…
06-12 08:03:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x1011c1…
06-12 07:53:37	cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	FURIA	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x017c5c…
06-11 23:04:33	cs2 prv mnte 2026 06 12	PARIVISION	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x36603d…
06-11 22:35:28	cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12 map handicap away 1pt5	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xb6ad58…
06-11 22:23:00	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x1157bb…
06-11 22:10:49	cs2 mglz b8 2026 06 12 map handicap away 1pt5	TheMongolz	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xf3891c…
06-11 19:31:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf278b5…
06-11 19:27:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xeef6ee…