Repentant-Lift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

129

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-11 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

48% 64% -$107

Sports

22% 100% +$35

Crypto

19% 59% +$2

Politics

11% 41% -$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes		-62	-$9	44¢	$-27	-$18	05-04 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	15	$472	607	488	+120	Joao Fonseca	-$110	05-29 18:51
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	8	$319	252	262	-10	Yes	+$20	05-21 17:23
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	6	$267	162	162	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$5	05-27 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$211	251	251	+0	No	-$9	04-27 17:31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$200	1,196	1,196	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$189	955	955	+0	No	+$9	05-29 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$129	107	107	+0	No	+$11	05-12 12:55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$68	54	54	+0	No	+$3	05-13 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$64	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 14:12
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 btts	2	$64	40	40	+0	Yes	-$15	03-26 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$59	52	52	+0	No	+$5	05-25 14:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	5	$56	50	50	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$2	05-28 13:48
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$53	203	217	-14	No	-$1	05-13 19:07
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$42	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 19:28
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	03-31 21:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$39	32	32	+0	No	-$1	05-19 18:29
lib cor san1 2026 04 15 cor	4	$36	23	23	+0	Yes	+$5	04-16 02:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$35	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 20:36
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	2	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	04-02 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$31	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 13:48
will iran strike uae again in march	5	$31	51	51	+0	Yes	-$7	04-02 01:21
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	2	$29	39	0	+39	Yes	+$10	03-26 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:10 UTC	4	$27	19	18	+1	Down	+$10	04-17 23:15
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?	1	$25	32	0	+32	No	+$7	05-07 00:50
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	4	$24	31	31	+0	No	-$1	04-17 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$22	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$20	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	05-07 17:49
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 14:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$20	45	0	+45	No	-$20	05-06 19:28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$20	32	0	+32	No	-$20	04-28 19:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 21:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4d5842…
06-11 21:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x608367…
05-29 18:51:03	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x2e7471…
05-29 18:48:20	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x77657c…
05-29 18:46:42	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	161	42¢	$67	0x577aed…
05-29 18:46:02	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	138	50¢	$69	0x97a2e3…
05-29 18:08:21	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x1596f3…
05-29 18:07:30	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xe3876e…
05-29 18:06:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	135	53¢	$72	0x13bc1d…
05-29 17:19:36	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	111	87¢	$97	0xb86a98…
05-29 17:19:17	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	476	10¢	$49	0xac9dd5…
05-29 17:19:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	602	8¢	$51	0xc573fc…
05-29 17:17:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x63f70c…
05-29 17:13:45	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	108	19¢	$20	0xd6b461…
05-29 17:02:26	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x2a4960…
05-29 14:54:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	63	21¢	$13	0x00a28b…
05-29 14:42:12	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	98	22¢	$21	0xd4336a…
05-29 14:37:12	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfd7607…
05-29 14:30:30	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd628e9…
05-28 13:48:13	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x81f0f0…
05-28 13:31:55	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xea7411…
05-28 13:25:46	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x9ef3ad…
05-28 13:25:30	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xd71508…
05-28 13:24:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf553c1…
05-27 21:01:51	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	602	8¢	$50	0xc6c1ef…
05-27 21:01:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	476	10¢	$50	0xe242d9…
05-27 21:01:13	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xa3beb8…
05-27 18:58:08	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x16150b…
05-27 18:57:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	479	10¢	$50	0x498075…
05-27 18:56:35	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x7b106f…
05-27 18:56:09	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	594	8¢	$49	0xd18aa3…
05-27 18:55:32	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x14c116…
05-27 18:55:09	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0xc6f13c…
05-27 17:38:49	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xe8c6f4…
05-27 17:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xb7fb72…
05-27 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfcc659…
05-27 17:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfe4a47…
05-27 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x6744d9…
05-27 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6c467c…
05-26 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xaa810a…
05-26 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x270607…
05-26 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe2803a…
05-26 18:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ae5f9…
05-26 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x9cdef3…
05-26 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x49bade…
05-26 18:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca5eef…
05-26 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xd1f179…
05-26 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf9af8d…
05-25 19:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3cf5b0…
05-25 14:05:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x806af9…
05-25 14:02:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0xb8a94e…
05-25 14:01:43	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x171068…
05-21 20:48:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xd7c886…
05-21 20:45:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0xe66528…
05-21 17:27:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2e9e47…
05-21 17:23:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x9fd1c4…
05-21 17:22:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x4ae72c…
05-20 21:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8990e1…
05-20 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfda8a9…
05-20 18:28:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb92943…
05-20 12:49:39	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x465b5a…
05-20 12:37:57	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x032788…
05-20 12:37:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x928d38…
05-20 11:58:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x48f8c3…
05-19 18:31:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xaa5533…
05-19 18:29:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0x446883…
05-19 13:06:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x4a953a…
05-19 13:05:58	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xcf7192…
05-19 12:58:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x37d42c…
05-19 12:57:11	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x426b8b…
05-19 12:41:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xc5ef00…
05-19 12:41:14	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xbe3e12…
05-18 22:43:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	140	95¢	$133	0xb6e40f…
05-18 21:04:10	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x4162d4…
05-18 21:01:31	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x46e8ac…
05-18 20:43:50	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc743a7…
05-13 22:44:27	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x2f9739…
05-13 22:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x16ec9f…
05-13 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x964103…
05-13 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xc5bbcb…
05-13 22:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa2533e…
05-13 19:07:11	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	203	9¢	$19	0x3a504a…
05-13 19:07:04	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0x8b67bf…
05-13 19:07:01	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	151	2¢	$3	0x353c29…
05-13 18:34:05	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xda1cf0…
05-13 18:32:25	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$1	0xe6b72a…
05-13 18:32:15	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	203	10¢	$20	0x4402ad…
05-13 18:31:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	54	66¢	$36	0x391233…
05-13 18:10:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	54	61¢	$32	0x4206a2…
05-13 18:09:19	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	69	39¢	$27	0xdc8777…
05-13 18:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xd2ec07…
05-12 12:56:21	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	69	57¢	$39	0x6b9add…
05-12 12:55:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0xc3822f…
05-11 14:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x99acc1…
05-11 14:00:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0xf96fa7…
05-08 18:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x258918…
05-08 18:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x54ffe7…
05-08 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x93527b…
05-08 18:48:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x9d7d3b…
05-08 18:48:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf28b05…