Critical-Freedom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

122

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-30 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 76% +$55

Other

27% 79% +$58

Tech

4% 100% +$25

Sports

1% 50% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will paradex launch a token on march 5	8	$763	434	434	+0	Yes	+$38	03-05 18:12
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$746	390	390	+0	No	+$18	02-11 21:14
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$600	309	309	+0	No	+$0	05-02 15:56
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$575	359	356	+3	No	+$21	05-01 05:58
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$561	294	294	+0	No	+$21	03-01 02:25
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	6	$500	299	299	+0	Yes	+$40	02-13 20:16
idOS FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$474	254	254	+0	Yes	+$32	03-07 02:34
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$460	260	259	+1	No	-$9	04-30 18:52
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$452	235	235	+0	No	+$12	04-30 21:05
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$440	222	222	+0	Yes	+$4	02-11 20:20
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	12	$432	373	323	+50	Yes	+$10	02-24 21:08
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	3	$406	413	0	+413	Yes	+$7	03-09 13:35
Over $1M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$405	206	205	+0	Yes	+$6	04-28 15:02
Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$405	206	205	+0	Yes	+$6	04-25 03:14
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$402	202	202	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 09:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	5	$321	173	173	+1	Down	+$21	03-11 11:51
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$314	174	174	+0	Yes	+$14	04-22 08:57
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$305	211	105	+105	No	+$10	02-27 19:02
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	6	$293	155	155	+0	Up	+$14	03-11 15:54
bitcoin up or down march 7 3pm et	5	$264	140	140	+0	Up	+$5	03-07 20:45
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 08:00 UTC	5	$236	137	137	+1	Up	+$7	03-16 11:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$212	112	112	+0	Yes	+$8	04-28 15:02
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$210	129	129	+0	No	+$10	02-13 20:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	5	$206	133	133	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 13:29
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 13:42
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$199	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 14:13
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$196	103	103	+0	No	+$2	05-02 05:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$182	100	100	+0	Yes	+$16	06-28 08:34
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	11	$180	110	110	+0	Yes	-$2	05-29 14:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC	3	$179	94	94	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 05:56:28	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	275	7¢	$19	0xeefba7…
06-28 08:34:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x22b388…
06-20 14:48:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x43b289…
06-20 14:44:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa864e8…
06-18 03:48:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x516e2f…
06-18 03:48:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x26ecd2…
06-18 03:45:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04c7e8…
06-18 03:45:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbb8e40…
06-18 03:45:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x34a829…
06-18 03:44:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xef415a…
06-18 03:44:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc549a7…
06-18 03:44:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7f133e…
06-18 03:44:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xacf0a3…
06-18 03:44:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xcd358c…
06-18 03:43:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa346a5…
06-17 14:25:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfae602…
06-17 14:25:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xab01ad…
06-17 06:47:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x468106…
06-16 19:43:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2dd9f6…
06-16 14:45:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x42a80b…
06-16 07:00:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x75755c…
06-15 15:03:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xe8bdaf…
06-15 11:29:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x3732d0…
06-15 11:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x0a2862…
06-15 11:14:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x5f50de…
06-15 08:05:00	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	950	6¢	$59	0x94546f…
06-15 07:59:10	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf33bc8…
06-14 19:51:22	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x9ea93f…
06-14 19:51:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xdc890f…
06-14 19:28:49	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x380052…
06-14 15:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xa5e865…
06-14 11:47:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x4360cb…
06-14 06:59:21	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5db1a6…
06-14 06:59:21	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1a15ba…
06-11 05:35:31	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	275	8¢	$23	0x55fe15…
06-10 14:58:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-10 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf46e44…
06-09 19:00:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbacedc…
06-09 11:00:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x400f6d…
06-09 07:35:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x94b8ec…
06-09 07:27:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xce2b4c…
06-09 07:15:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0xb80666…
06-08 19:34:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xc07766…
06-08 18:56:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3f1570…
06-08 18:56:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x07458b…
06-08 18:56:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x71115e…
06-06 07:36:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xa8836d…
06-06 07:35:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6fac09…
06-06 07:24:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x2b8d6b…
06-06 07:24:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x0b5ee0…
06-06 07:24:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x53c6d9…
06-05 19:36:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x89a3b9…
06-02 10:40:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x5a0f82…
06-01 13:30:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0xc7a4c7…
06-01 13:30:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7e7096…
06-01 11:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x901e1f…
06-01 08:18:53	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x974d75…
06-01 08:10:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x31ae99…
05-29 14:05:51	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x2d652b…
05-29 14:04:45	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x7b2943…
05-27 15:36:33	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x58a9d1…
05-27 08:26:31	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa928bf…
05-26 12:45:44	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xce9266…
05-26 12:44:14	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	80¢	$17	0x583f39…
05-26 12:40:25	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xe287f1…
05-26 12:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x990481…
05-26 12:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x5ac421…
05-26 12:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4b9623…
05-26 12:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x344bcc…
05-26 12:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x19b902…
05-24 18:21:21	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0xe891fa…
05-23 16:22:32	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	750	5¢	$39	0x5e5cf1…
05-23 16:20:29	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	550	9¢	$49	0xdf44a5…
05-18 05:13:57	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	53	17¢	$9	0xf9f6df…
05-18 05:10:02	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x81c1bd…
05-17 13:20:14	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9ea6f2…
05-16 16:00:48	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb1b286…
05-16 14:38:49	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x07763e…
05-16 12:06:57	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xe09430…
05-16 11:56:37	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xb4ed8e…
05-15 20:09:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x983595…
05-15 09:49:17	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x07df57…
05-14 21:21:31	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xd93a26…
05-14 18:43:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfd783a…
05-13 04:25:51	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0xf6f20d…
05-11 18:58:54	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x9e1f1c…
05-06 17:30:15	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x983496…
05-05 13:29:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	133	78¢	$104	0x9c0630…
05-05 09:09:06	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x698d26…
05-04 09:09:42	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x0b7402…
05-04 08:56:44	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xfaf115…
05-02 15:56:06	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	168	97¢	$163	0xd6d94f…
05-02 05:52:12	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0x2f1617…
05-02 05:50:54	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0x9ebde1…
05-01 09:49:32	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x75ee2e…
05-01 06:23:26	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	103	94¢	$97	0x95c6a8…
05-01 06:03:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x20bcde…
05-01 05:58:42	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xf2f96d…
04-30 21:07:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x80f21a…
04-30 21:05:26	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	235	99¢	$232	0x3f58ff…
04-30 19:05:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3e6321…