Realized P&L
+$91
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
110
Trades
796
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 11-02 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
39% 53% +$5
Other
32% 57% +$20
Sports
16% 67% +$55
Crypto
12% 54% +$17
Tech
1% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +25 $4 22¢ $5 +$1 10-29 21:49
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $0 11-02 20:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +24 $4 16¢ $4 $0 11-02 20:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +4 $2 80¢ $3 +$1 09-03 13:44
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 10-09 18:43
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $2 28¢ $2 $0 11-02 21:00