Watery-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	+2	$2	74¢	$2	$-0	05-05 17:32
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-05 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	12	$24	29	+29	open	—	05-05 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	7	$14	15	+15	Up	+$1	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	6	$12	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	5	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	4	$8	9	+9	open	—	05-05 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	3	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	2	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	2	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-04 21:29
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 09:46
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 08:50
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3f71de…
05-05 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xea20a7…
05-05 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf0453d…
05-05 16:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa08fac…
05-05 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1f40cc…
05-05 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb36d2f…
05-05 16:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa9e80e…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2913f8…
05-05 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc8615e…
05-05 15:24:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc10faf…
05-05 14:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2f1f05…
05-05 14:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9af9e7…
05-05 14:39:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb4e323…
05-05 13:45:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbcbc9a…
05-05 13:35:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd725d0…
05-05 13:25:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8e067f…
05-05 13:22:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3fcdca…
05-05 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x79b03f…
05-05 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7e57cc…
05-05 12:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x949f59…
05-05 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc5b852…
05-05 12:31:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x774bd4…
05-05 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2a0097…
05-05 11:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5137ce…
05-05 11:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0a093e…
05-05 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4aff84…
05-05 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfde51b…
05-05 10:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x76a864…
05-05 10:31:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x74651d…
05-05 10:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc082d8…
05-05 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x51a51f…
05-05 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbfab8e…
05-05 10:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe83120…
05-05 10:21:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6499d8…
05-05 10:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x74c5a3…
05-05 09:46:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0105c5…
05-05 09:45:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9158e9…
05-05 09:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6b8828…
05-05 09:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5ab55b…
05-05 09:25:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcf3cab…
05-05 09:21:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x45b3ae…
05-05 09:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x98ce5e…
05-05 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xebd2b7…
05-05 09:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x798f9c…
05-05 09:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x953136…
05-05 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7badc4…
05-05 09:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc603a2…
05-05 09:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7832c3…
05-05 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3d7aca…
05-05 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa3d164…
05-05 09:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x155488…
05-05 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9b00a2…
05-05 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x16adff…
05-05 09:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5f84d…
05-05 09:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe02f61…
05-05 08:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8c2797…
05-05 08:50:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa8dd8e…
05-05 08:46:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8de0d…
05-05 08:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5d70e…
05-05 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf7b91e…
05-05 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8ac274…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x38e17f…
05-05 06:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x88ff57…
05-05 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcf03e6…
05-05 06:50:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x68eb60…
05-05 06:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4d3f8a…
05-05 06:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x52d05c…
05-05 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcff43e…
05-05 05:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbcba15…
05-05 05:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x74b38d…
05-05 03:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0cea02…
05-05 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xac070a…
05-05 03:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x266038…
05-05 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd9d84b…
05-05 03:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbbf589…
05-05 03:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa62fec…
05-05 03:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa9ed40…
05-05 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x044ab8…
05-05 03:21:30	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfeeb59…
05-05 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x430bb2…
05-05 02:40:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x98b254…
05-05 02:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e8df3…
05-05 02:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6cccba…
05-05 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x09c921…
05-05 02:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9df317…
05-05 02:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5cb2b1…
05-05 00:49:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x200ebf…
05-05 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3e59ad…
05-05 00:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x743560…
05-05 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x35df4f…
05-05 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0a22ba…
05-05 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xab7309…
05-05 00:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe66d4e…
05-05 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x348a0d…
05-05 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7a5258…
05-05 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd5d76b…
05-05 00:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x620e4d…
05-04 23:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6e6d48…
05-04 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x91c8d6…
05-04 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4ddf0b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	29	$12.4K	161	05-05 17:34
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	27	$8.01K	129	05-05 16:32
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	17	$2.22K	40	05-05 16:49
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	17	$1.81K	38	05-05 16:49
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	16	$4.43K	159	05-05 16:34
(anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a	16	$911	119	05-05 16:24
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	14	$4.24K	63	05-05 16:39
Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216	14	$781	71	05-05 16:24