Growling-Ambulance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,303

lifetime

Volume

$44.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-07 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

63% 0% $-58

Other

36% 0% $-4

Sports

1% 56% +$85

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	165	$5.7K	28,451	0	+28,451	open	—	06-21 20:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	78	$4.5K	15,887	7,310	+8,577	open	—	06-24 15:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	23	$4.2K	6,765	2,134	+4,632	open	—	06-15 02:25
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	38	$3.3K	2,546	2,846	-300	open	—	06-14 18:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	66	$3.3K	3,504	3,537	-33	open	—	06-07 21:04
Iran leadership change by June 30?	77	$2.1K	16,536	50,389	-33,853	open	—	06-14 21:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.5K	1,790	1,790	+0	open	—	05-29 21:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	29	$1.2K	3,184	3,092	+92	open	—	04-14 14:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	779	779	+0	open	—	05-27 16:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-26 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	13	$774	4,266	4,109	+157	open	—	04-29 18:06
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	8	$746	10,757	0	+10,757	open	—	06-28 03:37
iran closes its airspace by july 15	7	$721	752	752	+0	open	—	06-07 19:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	10	$690	2,829	2,829	+0	open	—	04-14 14:05
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	19	$583	5,440	5,440	+0	open	—	07-25 22:56
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	28	$520	514	514	+0	open	—	07-07 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$482	310	310	+0	open	—	04-23 18:39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	17	$460	7,326	3,908	+3,417	open	—	04-21 16:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	11	$459	6,600	5,100	+1,500	open	—	05-27 17:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$437	1,565	0	+1,565	open	—	06-15 02:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 21:16
Iran leadership change by May 31?	17	$352	5,855	0	+5,855	open	—	05-22 04:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$340	126	1,250	-1,124	open	—	07-15 05:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	45	$317	28,388	0	+28,388	open	—	05-25 11:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	11	$309	967	967	+0	open	—	05-29 17:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$305	754	754	+0	open	—	04-21 16:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	9	$285	20,278	2,000	+18,278	open	—	05-27 16:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$259	258	100	+158	open	—	04-21 16:51
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$256	150	150	+0	open	—	04-23 18:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$245	232	232	+0	open	—	04-09 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 14:49:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x6d3480…
08-07 14:49:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0xe71679…
07-25 23:00:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0x6fc3b8…
07-25 22:59:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xebcfcf…
07-25 22:59:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x2db9ab…
07-25 22:58:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x2dc86a…
07-25 22:58:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x7620c7…
07-25 22:58:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	155	27¢	$42	0xb15c1e…
07-25 22:56:51	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	5,440	4¢	$229	0xd2ebb0…
07-24 12:22:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	108	20¢	$22	0xff70c3…
07-24 12:21:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdde611…
07-22 22:52:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x28a634…
07-22 21:41:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xde6393…
07-22 07:40:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x54aeda…
07-22 07:39:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x579612…
07-21 23:37:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe6246d…
07-21 23:37:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xcb3bee…
07-21 23:36:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xce76a7…
07-21 23:35:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xe1fcc2…
07-21 22:10:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	230	12¢	$27	0xc0934e…
07-21 22:04:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4f18c9…
07-21 22:02:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd4290b…
07-21 22:01:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x06114f…
07-21 21:59:03	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0xb62460…
07-21 21:58:46	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15d2e8…
07-21 18:49:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x01bb05…
07-21 18:47:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x39e366…
07-21 18:47:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1559af…
07-21 18:47:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc76d45…
07-20 22:56:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xcfd3d7…
07-20 22:54:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x919651…
07-20 22:54:07	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0x00c58e…
07-20 22:52:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xa99686…
07-20 22:43:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x6cd62d…
07-20 22:42:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x57580c…
07-20 22:41:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x874280…
07-20 22:40:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x9ebc3b…
07-20 19:45:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x6b4032…
07-20 19:39:37	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4fc701…
07-20 19:39:36	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xa7ad74…
07-20 19:39:36	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x99f04c…
07-20 19:38:48	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa36ed6…
07-20 19:37:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd5e3c1…
07-20 19:37:00	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x50d03c…
07-20 19:36:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xd1e343…
07-19 16:34:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	210	42¢	$87	0x1c6014…
07-19 16:33:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xabfe9e…
07-19 16:32:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x365e88…
07-19 16:28:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 31	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xfc05d7…
07-19 16:28:34	iran successfully targets shipping on july 31	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x08807c…
07-19 16:27:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x615149…
07-19 16:26:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x1c0a9f…
07-19 16:25:55	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xa6295c…
07-19 16:23:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x3f5a9b…
07-19 16:18:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x694ffa…
07-19 16:18:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd39d76…
07-19 16:17:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x49a220…
07-18 22:12:10	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x49eac8…
07-18 21:24:43	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x2dc753…
07-18 21:23:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$19	0x39ff4d…
07-18 21:22:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x574a0e…
07-18 21:22:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x841c6f…
07-18 21:21:18	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0xfc0e26…
07-18 21:21:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x66873b…
07-18 21:20:52	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	180	13¢	$23	0x3a6e0d…
07-18 19:46:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3fa8ee…
07-17 23:33:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7f3127…
07-17 21:24:15	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x873546…
07-17 21:23:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xc31c62…
07-17 21:23:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4951f4…
07-17 18:51:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x18ac74…
07-17 18:35:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x865b0a…
07-17 18:34:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x3e7f79…
07-17 18:34:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xeb7398…
07-17 18:34:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf907aa…
07-17 18:34:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x05a4b8…
07-17 18:33:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0xce817a…
07-17 18:32:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xcdfa0e…
07-17 18:32:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x2b4458…
07-17 18:30:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x24a1d1…
07-17 07:38:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x249df2…
07-17 07:38:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xa07dd6…
07-15 05:05:11	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	126	11¢	$14	0x031cef…
07-14 22:09:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa60e6c…
07-14 22:07:55	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xdc6e90…
07-14 22:07:52	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x125656…
07-14 22:05:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	120	82¢	$98	0x60e59a…
07-13 22:10:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x71843d…
07-11 23:26:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc68adb…
07-11 23:24:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x09e755…
07-11 23:24:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x10cbc4…
07-11 23:24:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x70f422…
07-11 23:22:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x895221…
07-11 23:22:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	87	44¢	$38	0xf845d2…
07-11 23:21:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	700	5¢	$34	0xb24447…
07-11 23:21:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x61ca76…
07-11 23:21:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd23574…
07-11 23:21:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa078f7…
07-11 23:20:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	61	43¢	$26	0xdf7914…
07-11 23:15:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$10	0x415745…