Growling-Ambulance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$129

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,666

lifetime

Volume

$60.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$30

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-03 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Politics

63% 38% -$2,345

Other

36% 23% -$6,264

Sports

1% 55% -$28

Crypto

0% 12% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-109	-$25	12¢	$-14	+$11	06-02 02:16
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+200	$14	4¢	$9	-$5	10-26 03:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-10	-$3	28¢	$-3	+$1	06-21 20:08
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+110	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	05-20 02:26
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-20	$133	8¢	$-2	-$135	05-25 17:15
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+450	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	06-04 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by June 30?	138	$6.1K	47,971	50,389	-2,418	No	-$3,555	06-14 21:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	175	$6.0K	30,101	0	+30,101	No	-$6,005	06-21 20:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	93	$5.3K	16,185	16,185	+0	Yes	+$1,914	06-24 15:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$4.3K	7,264	2,134	+5,131	Yes	-$1,438	06-15 02:25
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	42	$3.5K	2,846	2,846	+0	Yes	+$1,050	06-14 18:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	68	$3.3K	3,537	3,537	+0	Yes	+$1,834	06-07 21:04
Iran leadership change by December 31?	20	$2.2K	3,290	3,310	-20	open	—	05-25 17:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	21	$1.6K	5,987	12,000	-6,013	No	+$243	05-29 16:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.5K	1,790	1,790	+0	No	+$390	05-29 21:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	29	$1.2K	3,184	3,092	+92	Yes	-$403	04-14 14:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	779	779	+0	No	+$15	05-27 16:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	14	$1.2K	3,415	8,540	-5,126	No	+$449	05-29 16:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$66	05-26 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	13	$774	4,266	4,109	+157	No	+$91	04-29 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$749	0	1,026	-1,026	Yes	+$749	05-16 22:04
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	8	$746	10,757	0	+10,757	No	-$746	06-28 03:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	17	$737	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	07-15 05:05
iran closes its airspace by july 15	7	$721	752	752	+0	Yes	+$341	06-07 19:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	10	$690	2,829	2,829	+0	Yes	-$94	04-14 14:05
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	19	$583	5,440	5,440	+0	Yes	-$125	07-25 22:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$536	1,925	0	+1,925	Yes	-$536	06-15 02:27
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	28	$520	514	514	+0	Yes	+$487	07-07 20:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$510	1,424	1,424	+0	No	-$368	05-25 17:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$482	310	310	+0	No	+$82	04-23 18:39
Iran leadership change by May 31?	18	$466	5,855	5,855	+0	No	-$239	05-25 17:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	13	$463	6,700	5,100	+1,600	No	-$174	05-27 17:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	17	$460	7,326	3,908	+3,417	Yes	-$137	04-21 16:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	49	$407	29,889	29,889	+0	No	-$288	05-25 17:03
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	41	$356	4,124	0	+4,124	Yes	-$356	10-26 03:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$354	200	200	+0	No	+$42	05-31 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:18:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x93077b…
10-27 03:51:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xa74ded…
10-27 03:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	444	9¢	$40	0xd88e50…
10-27 03:51:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	160	49¢	$78	0xc064c4…
10-27 03:50:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,100	7¢	$77	0x584ed0…
10-26 03:32:51	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xab794a…
10-26 03:04:17	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x008972…
10-24 17:59:42	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x13fe7f…
10-24 17:58:32	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6b5d71…
10-24 17:58:18	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x395c6c…
10-23 20:07:30	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe941c5…
10-23 14:38:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x45e31e…
10-23 14:38:08	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0d0572…
10-23 14:37:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xdb8911…
10-23 14:17:41	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xf68f40…
10-23 14:17:29	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xff440c…
10-23 14:17:17	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x48b11c…
10-23 04:52:47	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x822122…
10-23 04:52:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	189	16¢	$30	0x26a3f1…
10-23 04:48:30	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x6f882b…
10-23 04:44:39	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	129	9¢	$12	0x44bc97…
10-21 20:02:12	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x86af2d…
10-21 20:02:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x5cd660…
10-21 20:01:36	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2195cf…
10-21 20:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0x4d0fe3…
10-21 19:59:21	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x16a7ce…
10-21 19:58:53	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x85d2fe…
10-21 19:58:45	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xda2e5c…
10-21 19:58:24	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x27a02e…
10-21 19:57:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x24ec10…
10-21 19:57:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x4ddbd0…
10-21 19:57:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	160	45¢	$72	0xc3a740…
10-21 19:56:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x37757b…
10-21 19:55:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x3084a7…
10-21 19:55:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	39	42¢	$17	0xc54def…
10-21 19:54:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x845613…
10-21 19:54:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x91be19…
10-21 19:54:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xb5c42f…
10-21 19:49:32	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x3821ba…
10-21 19:48:08	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$17	0xf6048f…
10-21 19:48:00	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x99e045…
10-21 19:47:44	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x4f2d10…
10-21 19:41:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	198	22¢	$44	0xfddecc…
10-21 19:38:27	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x7d0c1b…
10-21 19:33:50	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xfbe8f3…
10-21 19:17:59	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x44f2c0…
10-21 19:17:51	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	170	8¢	$13	0xd7cc41…
10-21 19:17:39	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x38642c…
10-15 18:09:10	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x48cad9…
10-15 18:08:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf84d4b…
10-15 18:08:11	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x881577…
10-15 18:07:04	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4f114e…
10-10 03:52:51	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6acd67…
10-10 03:51:58	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2aef4b…
10-10 03:51:43	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x975a3f…
10-09 07:08:07	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x097980…
10-09 05:47:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x5ad43f…
10-09 05:43:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x41f0e6…
10-09 05:42:08	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	600	10¢	$63	0xa64005…
10-09 05:32:50	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xcc3403…
10-09 05:30:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x6fb592…
10-09 05:29:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x487408…
10-09 05:28:47	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4b548a…
10-09 05:28:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x4e29c7…
10-09 05:26:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x659f59…
10-09 05:26:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x7428d9…
10-09 05:24:50	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x91ade3…
10-09 05:23:45	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0x6ebafc…
10-09 05:16:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe01668…
10-09 05:11:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x0cea30…
10-09 05:10:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xce89a7…
10-09 05:05:36	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb1b015…
10-09 04:52:25	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3ba576…
10-09 04:51:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8d9665…
10-09 04:49:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xf1a0e1…
08-07 14:49:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x6d3480…
08-07 14:49:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0xe71679…
07-25 23:00:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0x6fc3b8…
07-25 22:59:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xebcfcf…
07-25 22:59:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x2db9ab…
07-25 22:58:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x2dc86a…
07-25 22:58:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x7620c7…
07-25 22:58:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	155	27¢	$42	0xb15c1e…
07-25 22:56:51	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	5,440	4¢	$229	0xd2ebb0…
07-24 12:22:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	108	20¢	$22	0xff70c3…
07-24 12:21:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdde611…
07-22 22:52:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x28a634…
07-22 21:41:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xde6393…
07-22 07:40:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x54aeda…
07-22 07:39:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x579612…
07-21 23:37:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe6246d…
07-21 23:37:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xcb3bee…
07-21 23:36:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xce76a7…
07-21 23:35:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xe1fcc2…
07-21 22:10:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	230	12¢	$27	0xc0934e…
07-21 22:04:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4f18c9…
07-21 22:02:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd4290b…
07-21 22:01:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x06114f…
07-21 21:59:03	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0xb62460…
07-21 21:58:46	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15d2e8…