Medium-Omega — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$164

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-27 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

51% 9% -$3

Politics

25% 14% -$1

Crypto

12% 12% $0

Tech

6% 0% $0

Sports

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 07:37
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	01-15 02:12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:50
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 02:32
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-04 06:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-23 02:50
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 02:32
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-15 07:40
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-20 03:44
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-02 03:15
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-14 05:14
will the grinch be the top global netflix movie this week january 6 2026	3	$3	6	6	+0	No	-$1	01-01 05:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 02:05
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 03:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-08 06:31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-06 02:48
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 07:57
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-21 00:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 09:07
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-01 07:57
meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 07:37
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	01-13 08:39
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 08:18
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	02-23 05:51
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 07:37
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 01:43
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 02:24
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-09 06:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-27 02:38
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-05 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 02:38:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7edb31…
05-27 02:37:08	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b36fb…
05-21 00:50:46	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7b6588…
05-21 00:50:29	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x56d769…
05-21 00:49:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c1132…
05-21 00:48:58	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e47a4…
05-19 08:44:05	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6b2f09…
05-19 08:43:37	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbef1e2…
05-19 08:42:44	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1d379…
05-19 08:41:03	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7938ed…
05-15 07:41:04	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xebcf6d…
05-15 07:40:40	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb33cd6…
05-15 07:40:24	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x27107e…
05-15 07:39:28	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fee4a…
05-14 03:08:30	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4d35fa…
05-14 03:07:37	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0e6bb6…
05-14 03:06:45	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x575c80…
05-14 03:05:49	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfbfb65…
05-14 03:04:07	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3d8e0d…
05-13 01:18:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b5375…
05-12 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72cb49…
05-12 03:05:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x32b08f…
05-12 03:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb22f0e…
05-12 03:01:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x765d83…
05-06 02:48:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf4e400…
05-06 02:47:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5e8d1d…
05-06 02:47:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52de19…
05-06 02:45:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11115b…
05-04 06:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on May 4?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c44d5…
05-04 06:09:26	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01fca5…
05-04 06:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f20c7…
05-04 06:07:56	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc491dd…
05-04 06:05:34	Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfe0bd…
04-27 01:50:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x24c466…
04-27 01:49:54	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xac7a1f…
04-27 01:46:30	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x33882f…
04-27 01:42:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37f35e…
04-24 02:20:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f4dd4…
04-24 02:05:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2c870…
04-15 02:06:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x78a79e…
04-13 02:29:09	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xf09c89…
04-13 02:28:07	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe348b5…
04-08 06:32:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdbf153…
04-08 06:31:45	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x44e9e5…
04-08 06:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd7b0c…
04-08 06:29:17	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb522b5…
04-08 06:28:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf1a353…
04-07 07:01:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f4a71…
04-01 07:57:23	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x325fd3…
04-01 07:57:07	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb023b6…
04-01 07:56:37	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa544f5…
04-01 07:54:11	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ef39f…
03-31 01:44:15	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x27d7a8…
03-31 01:43:09	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8c728…
03-31 01:42:15	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3d46b…
03-31 01:32:11	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8e04e…
03-28 02:19:21	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa8344a…
03-28 02:18:45	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf44965…
03-27 01:51:27	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc12ce3…
03-27 01:47:19	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7096a…
03-24 02:32:55	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x061a24…
03-24 02:32:35	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xad24ee…
03-24 02:32:25	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d21d3…
03-24 02:31:37	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29110a…
03-24 02:28:53	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ba193…
03-23 08:18:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4df8e0…
03-23 08:17:31	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x306eeb…
03-23 08:16:03	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa014c…
03-23 02:50:51	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x631e99…
03-23 02:50:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5ad78a…
03-23 02:49:03	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x708f08…
03-23 02:47:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5153e8…
03-21 04:10:31	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x99715f…
03-21 04:09:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x862580…
03-21 04:08:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1617b7…
03-21 04:07:25	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x355d79…
03-20 03:45:09	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa1b804…
03-20 03:44:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xce98f0…
03-20 03:43:51	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa6a2cf…
03-20 03:41:29	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x40bf11…
03-19 01:53:15	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72b495…
03-19 01:50:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc3e177…
03-19 01:44:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad1ba9…
03-17 02:30:47	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd99909…
03-14 09:07:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00f5ef…
03-14 09:04:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x717c5e…
03-11 07:37:15	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x719082…
03-11 07:37:03	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x917603…
03-11 07:36:23	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a83de…
03-11 07:35:33	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5f93c…
03-09 06:41:53	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc77603…
03-09 06:41:41	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xbdd239…
03-09 06:41:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x362af9…
03-09 06:40:19	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x424181…
03-05 10:22:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7c692b…
03-05 10:21:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xafbb05…
03-05 10:15:43	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x65ea57…
03-05 10:14:13	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x79e188…
02-27 07:39:09	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x90090b…
02-27 07:38:15	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca1008…