Miniature-Backbone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$132

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-07 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$52

Politics

29% 100% +$21

Tech

16% 100% +$46

Crypto

6% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+134	$130	98¢	$132	+$2	10-07 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bnb dip to 300 in february	1	$363	371	0	+371	No	+$8	02-07 05:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$346	249	103	+146	No	+$2	09-02 07:44
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$311	345	0	+345	No	+$34	03-02 07:20
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$270	273	0	+273	Yes	+$3	03-19 09:43
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$260	274	0	+274	Yes	+$14	03-02 07:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$260	262	0	+262	No	+$2	05-13 05:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$256	260	0	+260	No	+$4	04-04 15:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$246	253	0	+253	Yes	+$7	01-18 10:07
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$244	247	0	+247	No	+$3	05-13 05:22
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$210	214	0	+214	No	+$4	04-21 10:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	06-07 14:40
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$191	192	0	+192	No	+$1	01-18 10:10
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$190	196	0	+196	No	+$6	04-04 15:28
will ethereum reach 2700 february 2 8	1	$190	191	0	+191	No	+$1	02-07 05:24
will ethereum reach 3800 january 19 25	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	01-21 06:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$170	173	0	+173	Yes	+$3	04-04 15:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$160	162	0	+162	No	+$2	06-07 14:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$140	143	0	+143	No	+$3	07-23 06:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$130	134	0	+134	open	—	10-07 06:19
iran leadership change by august 31 669	1	$130	133	0	+133	No	+$3	08-04 08:15
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$130	133	0	+133	No	+$3	05-13 05:22
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	01-18 10:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	06-25 06:10
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$115	117	0	+117	No	+$2	10-07 06:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$1	06-07 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$110	112	0	+112	Yes	+$2	06-25 06:10
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$105	110	0	+110	No	+$5	06-25 06:08
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$102	103	0	+103	No	+$1	08-04 08:16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	09-02 07:45
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-07 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 06:20:11	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0xecf91a…
10-07 06:19:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x54431b…
09-02 07:45:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8b4efa…
09-02 07:44:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x221e60…
08-04 08:16:23	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xe2c6e7…
08-04 08:15:59	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x5f11ff…
07-30 15:02:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x819989…
07-23 06:06:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x75e3a8…
07-23 06:05:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x3dc151…
07-06 06:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xba5c6f…
07-06 06:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 6?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb01797…
06-25 06:10:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xe64166…
06-25 06:10:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x5d8280…
06-25 06:08:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x7559c8…
06-07 14:41:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x58b37d…
06-07 14:41:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0xfb3e6e…
06-07 14:40:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xf351ca…
06-07 14:40:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x59af5e…
06-07 14:38:33	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x07d547…
05-13 05:23:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0x3f02b1…
05-13 05:22:37	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$244	0xf521c9…
05-13 05:22:16	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x4edd1e…
04-21 10:54:32	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0x16589a…
04-04 15:29:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0xaf3d50…
04-04 15:28:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$256	0x840012…
04-04 15:28:13	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0xa5ee6d…
03-19 09:43:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0x88b245…
03-02 07:20:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	345	90¢	$311	0x47c970…
03-02 07:19:41	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	274	95¢	$260	0x8e7dac…
02-07 05:24:55	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	BUY	371	98¢	$363	0x795c03…
02-07 05:24:05	will ethereum reach 2700 february 2 8	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x5de404…
01-21 06:38:58	will ethereum reach 3800 january 19 25	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x3829f0…
01-18 10:10:38	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0x8520f3…
01-18 10:10:10	will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x67a1f3…
01-18 10:07:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	253	97¢	$246	0xc43e81…