Livid-God-Fries — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$303

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$244

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-17 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

74% 36% -$307

Politics

26% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No		+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	09-17 03:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$983	507	507	+0	No	-$1	05-09 03:14
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$963	504	504	+0	No	+$0	05-08 04:59
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$843	437	437	+0	No	+$0	04-23 06:51
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	2	$837	445	445	+0	No	+$0	08-13 12:42
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	2	$837	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-14 03:19
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$837	448	448	+0	open	—	08-14 04:25
will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	2	$833	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:51
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	3	$823	445	445	+0	open	—	07-17 01:05
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	2	$817	425	425	+0	No	+$5	07-08 05:21
will trump visit north korea by december 31	2	$808	430	430	+0	open	—	07-08 07:00
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	2	$756	420	420	+0	open	—	06-23 08:55
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	2	$753	405	405	+0	No	+$0	06-23 07:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	2	$751	390	390	+0	No	+$2	06-24 07:01
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	5	$749	390	390	+0	No	+$0	06-24 05:34
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$492	502	0	+502	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 06:42
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	1	$482	492	0	+492	Viborg FF	+$10	05-08 06:07
den ran fcf 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	2	$422	431	0	+431	Randers FC	+$9	04-23 07:03
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$305	312	0	+312	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	-$305	04-08 06:34
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	7	$75	987	987	+0	No	+$2	05-13 03:37
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$38	956	956	+0	No	+$0	05-14 07:47
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	2	$25	992	0	+992	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	-$25	05-14 07:54
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	2	$11	956	0	+956	FC Machida Zelvia	-$11	05-13 04:13
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-17 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 03:50:36	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc9026d…
08-14 04:25:18	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	448	93¢	$418	0xcf595a…
08-14 03:24:42	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	448	93¢	$418	0xe2877f…
08-14 03:19:34	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	SELL	450	93¢	$418	0xb27060…
08-14 02:25:31	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0x81c885…
08-13 12:42:51	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	445	94¢	$419	0xea8509…
08-13 11:53:57	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	445	94¢	$419	0x4395e4…
08-13 11:51:28	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	SELL	450	93¢	$417	0x1ae0b7…
08-13 11:22:40	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	BUY	450	93¢	$417	0xbaa2b5…
07-17 01:05:17	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x41dbf7…
07-17 01:04:58	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	436	93¢	$406	0x364d21…
07-16 06:05:22	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0x1fcef5…
07-08 07:00:43	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	SELL	430	94¢	$404	0x931629…
07-08 05:55:29	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	BUY	430	94¢	$404	0x169d23…
07-08 05:21:41	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	425	97¢	$411	0x1ddd1b…
07-08 03:04:14	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	425	96¢	$406	0xb831a3…
06-24 07:01:44	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	390	97¢	$376	0x4fc150…
06-24 05:36:35	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	390	96¢	$374	0x2b5cd8…
06-24 05:34:26	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x9d7b31…
06-24 05:34:04	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x9f9825…
06-24 05:32:26	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xe3b7ab…
06-24 05:32:14	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x6eb0ab…
06-24 02:18:13	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	390	96¢	$374	0x1eb5cd…
06-23 08:55:59	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	SELL	420	90¢	$378	0x682943…
06-23 07:41:59	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x4a211a…
06-23 07:15:26	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	SELL	405	93¢	$377	0x7a745d…
06-23 05:51:19	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	BUY	405	93¢	$377	0x61c3a9…
05-14 07:54:13	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	501	2¢	$13	0xa06b2c…
05-14 07:53:52	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	491	2¢	$12	0xed91ed…
05-14 07:47:27	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	473	2¢	$9	0xacd421…
05-14 07:47:02	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	2¢	$10	0x270ac8…
05-14 07:11:25	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	473	2¢	$9	0xb1bc7e…
05-14 07:11:08	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	2¢	$10	0x5c0577…
05-13 04:13:05	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	493	1¢	$6	0xfd729b…
05-13 04:12:37	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	463	1¢	$6	0x13bd79…
05-13 03:37:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x12e3c6…
05-13 03:37:23	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x386e6f…
05-13 03:35:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1ba302…
05-13 03:33:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	4¢	$19	0x9b232f…
05-13 03:32:08	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	4¢	$19	0x03450f…
05-13 02:54:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	4¢	$18	0x056c01…
05-13 02:53:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	486	4¢	$18	0x3043f2…
05-09 06:42:09	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	502	98¢	$492	0x2eacc3…
05-09 03:14:51	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	407	97¢	$394	0xd2f5b4…
05-09 03:14:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6a5b1f…
05-09 02:36:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	407	97¢	$395	0xce1a90…
05-09 02:35:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8bfdec…
05-08 06:07:08	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Viborg FF	BUY	492	98¢	$482	0xf041fc…
05-08 04:59:37	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	504	96¢	$481	0xa65592…
05-08 03:10:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	504	96¢	$481	0xfd729a…
04-23 07:03:06	den ran fcf 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Randers FC	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x42103c…
04-23 06:57:08	den ran fcf 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Randers FC	BUY	337	98¢	$330	0x71c70f…
04-23 06:51:50	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	437	96¢	$422	0x21d4e6…
04-23 05:45:56	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	437	96¢	$421	0x810697…
04-08 06:34:05	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	312	98¢	$305	0x30df04…