Realized P&L (90d)
-$435
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
11.7%
Resolved (90d)
218
Trades (90d)
2,506
2,506 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.2K
$22.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$169
21 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-30 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
68% 13% -$415
Politics
17% 25% -$15
Sports
8% 29% +$1
Tech
3% 33% -$1
Crypto
3% 43% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +60 $48 82¢ $49 +$1 10-21 17:30
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 10-20 16:28
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 10-11 23:43
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 75¢ $15 -$1 10-11 17:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +60 $12 18¢ $11 -$1 10-21 17:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +15 $12 66¢ $10 -$1 10-20 22:14
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +18 $10 57¢ $10 $0 10-09 01:46
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 43¢ $8 +$0 10-09 01:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +15 $4 34¢ $5 +$1 10-20 22:14
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 25¢ $5 +$0 10-11 17:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 10-03 16:50
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +20 $6 16¢ $3 -$3 10-11 23:43
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +292 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-28 11:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +300 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 10-28 11:35
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? Yes +200 $5 1¢ $2 -$4 10-28 11:38
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? Yes +330 $8 0¢ $1 -$7 10-28 13:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $2 30¢ $1 $0 10-03 16:50
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 48¢ $1 $0 10-10 18:06
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan? Yes +300 $9 0¢ $0 -$8 10-28 11:35
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +20 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-20 16:28
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +0 $1 51¢ $0 -$1 10-17 22:36