Hard-To-Find-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

760

lifetime

Volume

$81.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$240

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-04 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

28% 33% $-225

Politics

13% 100% +$207

Sports

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		-1,000	$-223	24¢	$-240	$-17	06-01 12:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	50	$8.7K	8,840	7,730	+1,110	open	—	02-26 14:36
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$7.2K	11,730	4,930	+6,800	open	—	05-01 10:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	40	$7.0K	21,868	9,302	+12,566	open	—	06-04 00:29
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	21	$5.7K	3,851	3,845	+6	open	—	04-01 00:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$5.5K	6,988	6,988	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	65	$2.9K	512,585	103,015	+409,570	open	—	05-01 13:03
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	35	$2.6K	3,779	0	+3,779	open	—	02-08 15:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	75	$2.4K	1,139,530	1,115,900	+23,630	Yes	+$161	05-09 19:11
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$2.4K	1,534	1,519	+15	open	—	03-29 16:41
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-29 21:43
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-27 22:23
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	3	$2.0K	987	987	+0	open	—	03-03 19:12
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	12	$1.8K	585	1,326	-742	open	—	03-01 16:35
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be clearwater	6	$1.7K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	02-08 22:57
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$1.6K	1,103	1,103	+0	open	—	03-11 15:05
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 draw	4	$1.5K	1,735	604	+1,131	open	—	01-08 20:09
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-26 11:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	12	$1.4K	878	1,578	-700	open	—	04-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	28	$1.2K	13,017	3,167	+9,850	open	—	03-24 20:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	2,700	1,700	+1,000	open	—	05-14 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-05 21:55
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	10	$1.0K	2,817	1,618	+1,199	open	—	03-31 23:15
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	20	$991	500	500	+0	open	—	02-23 11:35
googl up or down on march 3 2026	2	$980	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-03 19:14
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	2	$974	769	769	+0	open	—	01-10 15:52
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$812	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-29 08:41
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$796	400	400	+0	open	—	02-23 19:28
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$751	951	951	+0	open	—	04-29 08:43
will ethereum reach 2200 february 23 march 1	2	$699	710	0	+710	open	—	03-01 16:35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	44	$695	11,279	8,252	+3,027	open	—	05-20 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:29:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$9	0x0a648c…
06-01 17:02:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xc3ddcf…
06-01 17:00:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,568	1¢	$16	0x196ac2…
06-01 15:16:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,179	42¢	$500	0x2a3eda…
06-01 12:58:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	65¢	$138	0x9428f8…
06-01 12:57:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	640	65¢	$415	0xde732b…
06-01 12:57:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x5102a7…
06-01 12:57:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	65¢	$144	0x49423a…
06-01 12:57:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x1c0ae6…
06-01 12:56:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	70¢	$563	0x52d0a5…
06-01 12:46:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,536	81¢	$1,238	0x8c69af…
06-01 12:24:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	79¢	$206	0x430b83…
06-01 12:08:16	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	22¢	$223	0x61adb6…
06-01 12:06:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x86f0ce…
06-01 12:06:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	50¢	$300	0x121cfe…
06-01 00:54:52	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf4705d…
06-01 00:53:37	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x16874d…
06-01 00:52:36	Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xdae708…
05-30 13:13:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,025	10¢	$395	0xd8b1e1…
05-30 06:44:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	487	23¢	$110	0xe36482…
05-30 06:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xd3363d…
05-30 06:39:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x38ffd0…
05-30 06:39:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x3a72cd…
05-30 06:33:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe6b9c0…
05-30 06:31:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9c2ad4…
05-30 06:26:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xce62b6…
05-30 06:24:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	23¢	$16	0x7ce5a5…
05-30 06:23:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0xbed020…
05-30 06:22:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	939	23¢	$212	0xc67352…
05-30 06:22:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x903e2c…
05-30 03:31:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$490	0x8c6bec…
05-30 02:35:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xbd5ca9…
05-30 02:35:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	23¢	$29	0x37febc…
05-30 02:34:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	23¢	$29	0x30433f…
05-30 02:34:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x4d6452…
05-30 02:32:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xda8368…
05-30 02:28:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	23¢	$56	0xbf91dc…
05-30 02:28:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x797ef6…
05-30 02:15:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,394	23¢	$315	0x86d798…
05-29 23:56:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	25¢	$115	0xd01963…
05-29 23:54:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,541	25¢	$387	0x73a546…
05-29 23:51:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	25¢	$502	0x1aa3ec…
05-29 23:43:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,839	25¢	$462	0xfae6db…
05-29 23:41:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	25¢	$40	0x5ed28b…
05-26 20:58:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0xbfd2ca…
05-23 14:56:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe143bc…
05-23 14:43:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	No	BUY	990	3¢	$34	0x50b585…
05-21 17:38:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	Yes	SELL	294	2¢	$6	0xf842e6…
05-20 20:09:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x3d09de…
05-20 20:07:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x64fcc6…
05-20 20:07:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x7fc252…
05-20 20:06:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x389dc9…
05-20 20:06:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xcf7136…
05-20 20:06:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x698334…
05-20 20:06:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xfb203f…
05-20 20:06:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xd9eadb…
05-20 20:00:07	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	431	4¢	$17	0x3cae37…
05-20 20:00:06	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x847d71…
05-20 20:00:06	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	312	4¢	$12	0x6d78af…
05-20 20:00:04	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0x8d252f…
05-20 16:48:42	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb44fba…
05-20 16:18:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	310	10¢	$31	0xb2b90e…
05-20 16:14:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x694d7a…
05-20 11:31:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	3,000	4¢	$108	0x4a163b…
05-20 09:14:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2,546	3¢	$85	0x801a00…
05-20 09:05:18	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x46a44c…
05-20 05:02:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x777ebf…
05-20 04:19:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,185	1¢	$17	0xc8ee57…
05-19 02:02:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	383	3¢	$13	0xe251b6…
05-19 01:13:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xa23b6b…
05-18 18:55:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	139	3¢	$5	0x30baa0…
05-18 17:41:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x6a0ada…
05-18 14:56:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	147	3¢	$5	0xc7711b…
05-18 14:46:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	273	3¢	$9	0x0e765b…
05-18 12:16:33	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	BUY	323	10¢	$32	0x20659c…
05-18 09:35:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,600	4¢	$56	0x83f1b3…
05-18 09:35:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5,000	4¢	$175	0x1d1455…
05-18 09:26:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa24b03…
05-18 09:26:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xd796a1…
05-18 09:26:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xe7fd20…
05-18 09:26:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x2a6531…
05-17 19:20:45	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c3a74…
05-17 11:06:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x5229ca…
05-17 08:23:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	700	4¢	$28	0xef2e6f…
05-17 07:06:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x294dd4…
05-17 07:01:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5d8ddd…
05-17 06:54:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0x3bd2d9…
05-17 06:54:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xb10120…
05-17 06:54:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0x59ed03…
05-17 06:32:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xa40a61…
05-17 06:22:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x65671b…
05-17 05:21:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x416eaa…
05-17 01:53:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x571a1f…
05-16 16:01:28	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xdfc1a1…
05-16 09:42:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x95f9f0…
05-16 09:40:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	490	4¢	$22	0x7d376d…
05-16 07:40:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xb79795…
05-15 15:59:37	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xf286d1…
05-15 10:43:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	455	5¢	$23	0x9481af…
05-15 06:46:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x629695…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	71	$12.1K	2,469	06-01 12:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	68	$475.0K	7,258	06-01 02:48
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	66	$10.7K	3,858	06-01 13:52
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	61	$11.0M	10,262	06-03 23:05
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	61	$91.1K	8,623	03-28 08:52
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	54	$14.4K	4,588	04-16 08:54
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	52	$173.0K	14,533	06-01 01:35
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	52	$23.1K	1,791	06-01 14:56