Hard-To-Find-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$118

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,478

lifetime

Volume

$110.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$274

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-19 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Politics

28% 100% +$207

Crypto

21% 33% $-225

Sports

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		-1,000	$-223	18¢	$-175	+$48	06-01 12:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		-1,041	$-169	10¢	$-99	+$70	06-21 12:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	236	$18.8K	4,154,435	4,128,342	+26,093	open	—	06-18 00:16
will axiom be accused of insider trading	50	$8.7K	8,840	7,730	+1,110	open	—	02-26 14:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	455	$8.0K	3,525,270	3,520,270	+5,000	open	—	07-10 00:12
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$7.2K	11,730	4,930	+6,800	open	—	05-01 10:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	40	$7.0K	21,868	9,302	+12,566	open	—	06-04 00:29
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	21	$5.7K	3,851	3,845	+6	open	—	04-01 00:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$5.5K	6,988	6,988	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	65	$2.9K	512,585	103,015	+409,570	open	—	05-01 13:03
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	35	$2.6K	3,779	0	+3,779	open	—	02-08 15:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	75	$2.4K	1,139,530	1,115,900	+23,630	Yes	+$161	05-09 19:11
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$2.4K	1,534	1,519	+15	open	—	03-29 16:41
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-29 21:43
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-27 22:23
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	3	$2.0K	987	987	+0	open	—	03-03 19:12
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	12	$1.8K	585	1,326	-742	open	—	03-01 16:35
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be clearwater	6	$1.7K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	02-08 22:57
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$1.6K	1,103	1,103	+0	open	—	03-11 15:05
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 draw	4	$1.5K	1,735	604	+1,131	open	—	01-08 20:09
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-26 11:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	12	$1.4K	878	1,578	-700	open	—	04-05 15:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	7	$1.3K	951	950	+1	open	—	06-14 22:23
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	28	$1.2K	13,017	3,167	+9,850	open	—	03-24 20:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	2,700	1,700	+1,000	open	—	05-14 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-05 21:55
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	10	$1.0K	2,817	1,618	+1,199	open	—	03-31 23:15
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	20	$991	500	500	+0	open	—	02-23 11:35
googl up or down on march 3 2026	2	$980	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-03 19:14
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	2	$974	769	769	+0	open	—	01-10 15:52
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$812	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-29 08:41
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$796	400	400	+0	open	—	02-23 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:43:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	414	7¢	$30	0x387124…
07-10 00:12:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x37369a…
07-09 23:59:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf5c90…
07-09 05:36:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	39,486	0¢	$39	0x674566…
07-09 05:35:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x59ca70…
07-09 05:32:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xca3a01…
07-09 05:28:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x20d068…
07-09 05:27:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8672bf…
07-09 05:25:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaad1ea…
07-09 05:23:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x80c196…
07-09 05:22:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4890b4…
07-09 05:18:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x2391ec…
07-09 05:18:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xf6f6e9…
07-09 05:12:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a8109…
07-09 05:12:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	214	0¢	$0	0x927e7b…
07-09 05:10:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,100	0¢	$1	0x0b905c…
07-09 05:09:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xc530ca…
07-09 04:58:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50,000	0¢	$50	0xa98302…
07-09 04:57:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23e582…
07-09 04:57:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ea16e…
07-09 04:55:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xad3bed…
07-09 04:48:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x329781…
07-09 04:47:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x765633…
07-09 04:46:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x47ea4a…
07-09 04:41:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9,000	0¢	$9	0xc8eada…
07-09 04:40:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	21,000	0¢	$21	0x962b45…
07-09 04:39:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa8f102…
07-09 04:37:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6d888c…
07-09 04:36:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b644c…
07-09 04:36:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xddfa71…
07-09 04:34:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x611da6…
07-09 04:34:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x92fc23…
07-09 04:34:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xaa8440…
07-09 04:31:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xab1908…
07-09 04:30:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100,000	0¢	$100	0x74af6c…
07-09 04:29:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8845bf…
07-09 04:29:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9,000	0¢	$9	0x2f0029…
07-09 04:26:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x36b461…
07-09 04:26:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xf5a1fe…
07-09 04:25:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d8d67…
07-09 04:23:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	40,080	0¢	$40	0xd264bb…
07-09 04:23:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6d9369…
07-09 04:21:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	118,130	0¢	$118	0x37c8b6…
07-09 04:21:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x402bd6…
07-09 04:19:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe53074…
07-09 04:16:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8,060	0¢	$8	0xa00d48…
07-09 04:12:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x0533b0…
07-09 04:01:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x844a1e…
07-09 04:00:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x18e0ab…
07-09 03:55:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xd8ed95…
07-09 03:53:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfe9d3e…
07-09 03:52:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x75912f…
07-09 03:51:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6,000	0¢	$6	0x6c6fdf…
07-09 03:51:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50,000	0¢	$50	0x53963b…
07-09 03:50:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x536091…
07-09 03:48:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3,850	0¢	$4	0xbc8863…
07-09 03:48:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15,000	0¢	$15	0xb86ca7…
07-09 03:48:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5,200	0¢	$5	0xec7c70…
07-09 03:48:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x355473…
07-09 03:47:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12,000	0¢	$12	0xf3a6b9…
07-09 03:46:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d2df3…
07-09 03:45:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x00f6e3…
07-09 03:44:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x04683a…
07-09 03:41:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x6694fa…
07-09 03:39:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xb1348a…
07-09 03:38:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4b9b64…
07-09 03:36:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x3da31c…
07-09 03:32:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x38661b…
07-09 03:31:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x47bdd3…
07-09 03:30:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x941a26…
07-09 03:28:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3,800	0¢	$4	0xd9f76a…
07-09 03:26:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8,667	0¢	$9	0x85ba17…
07-09 03:25:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xb6eab7…
07-09 03:25:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x562940…
07-09 03:24:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c2b55…
07-09 03:23:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,106	0¢	$2	0x7f6c8a…
07-09 03:19:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xf71b67…
07-09 03:19:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xab0667…
07-09 03:15:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3a613…
07-09 03:15:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3f21f0…
07-09 03:14:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5293a7…
07-09 03:14:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xaaf8ee…
07-09 03:12:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x15ce52…
07-09 03:10:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	30,000	0¢	$30	0x5de7a2…
07-09 03:09:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xfcce73…
07-09 03:08:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x50ba4c…
07-09 03:07:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0d3f8f…
07-09 03:07:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x271a55…
07-09 03:02:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xf09f9e…
07-09 03:02:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e300e…
07-09 02:59:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7,400	0¢	$7	0x784743…
07-09 02:59:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9,000	0¢	$9	0xdf40b4…
07-09 02:58:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x6a96ee…
07-09 02:56:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x173384…
07-09 02:54:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x78722a…
07-09 02:52:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xeeac79…
07-09 02:51:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd628e2…
07-09 02:51:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	115,970	0¢	$116	0x29d304…
07-09 02:48:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,450	0¢	$1	0x77b52b…
07-09 02:48:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,450	0¢	$1	0xaf1c15…