Hard-To-Find-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$930

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

204

Trades

8,214

lifetime

Volume

$317.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$4.87K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-23 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

40% 41% +$13,467

Sports

36% 86% +$27,155

Politics

16% 55% +$1,367

Crypto

8% 22% -$3,209

Tech

0% 0% -$37

Pop-Culture

0% 14% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No		+7,003	$6,179	70¢	$4.9K	-$1,312	10-23 23:06
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+0	-$382	10¢	$0	+$382	07-13 21:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	105	$34.1K	33,771	34,771	-1,000	No	+$39	07-19 11:05
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	66	$29.6K	30,551	29,551	+1,000	No	+$7,578	07-19 09:27
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	132	$23.1K	342,169	342,169	+0	No	+$7,353	07-14 01:08
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	150	$22.0K	294,214	294,214	+0	No	+$8,801	07-14 01:07
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	80	$19.9K	177,053	177,053	+0	No	+$6,963	07-13 20:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	241	$19.5K	4,158,438	4,128,421	+30,017	Yes	+$1,419	06-18 00:16
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	9	$19.1K	10,000	11,000	-1,000	No	+$1	07-16 13:39
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	46	$10.6K	20,115	6,754	+13,360	No	+$5,346	07-17 11:48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	647	$10.2K	148,427	148,528	-101	No	+$84	05-29 23:36
will axiom be accused of insider trading	50	$8.7K	8,840	7,730	+1,110	Yes	-$10	02-26 14:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	455	$8.0K	3,525,270	3,520,270	+5,000	Yes	-$44	07-10 00:12
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2,342	$7.7K	331,571	331,672	-101	No	+$146	06-15 18:23
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$7.2K	11,730	4,930	+6,800	Yes	+$24	05-01 10:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	41	$7.1K	22,138	9,302	+12,836	No	-$2,640	06-04 00:29
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,820	$6.7K	336,956	337,057	-101	No	+$1	06-15 18:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	8	$6.2K	7,003	0	+7,003	open	—	10-23 23:06
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	21	$5.7K	3,851	3,845	+6	No	+$960	04-01 00:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$5.5K	6,988	6,988	+0	Yes	+$636	04-07 22:33
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	26	$4.0K	38,915	38,915	+0	No	+$1,840	07-13 19:41
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	65	$2.9K	512,585	103,015	+409,570	No	-$560	05-01 13:03
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	35	$2.6K	3,779	0	+3,779	Yes	+$1,220	02-08 15:48
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	705	$2.5K	80,099	80,200	-101	No	-$79	05-29 23:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	75	$2.4K	1,139,530	1,115,900	+23,630	Yes	+$161	05-09 19:11
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$2.4K	1,534	1,519	+15	No	+$394	03-29 16:41
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	03-29 21:43
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 22:23
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	3	$2.0K	987	987	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 19:12
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	3,125	3,125	+0	open	—	10-20 09:04
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	16	$1.9K	9,644	9,644	+0	open	—	07-13 21:49
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	12	$1.8K	585	1,326	-742	Yes	-$7	03-01 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 23:06:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,835	91¢	$2,579	0x9d3437…
10-22 21:45:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	504	89¢	$448	0x9fd0e5…
10-22 19:26:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,710	87¢	$1,490	0xa82018…
10-22 13:37:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	667	85¢	$567	0xcce28c…
10-22 13:36:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	667	85¢	$567	0x483af5…
10-22 13:36:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	307	85¢	$261	0xeeef63…
10-22 13:36:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x039953…
10-22 13:32:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0x9178ef…
10-20 12:01:06	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x7e8f76…
10-20 09:04:47	Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	50¢	$252	0xca7ef4…
10-20 09:04:01	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,112	47¢	$520	0x4f5756…
10-20 07:42:28	Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0x5ba2bd…
10-20 07:41:52	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	450	49¢	$221	0x47785f…
10-19 23:12:24	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,562	40¢	$625	0x052e3c…
10-19 22:57:20	Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x18def9…
10-19 22:55:39	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0x6a79e9…
09-20 15:49:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xd7fca2…
09-20 15:45:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xf09077…
09-20 12:34:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	262	14¢	$37	0x76e87a…
09-20 12:33:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	448	14¢	$63	0xdf346f…
09-20 12:21:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	720	14¢	$101	0xea33a1…
09-20 12:20:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x271430…
09-20 12:20:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	109	15¢	$16	0x9781e4…
09-20 12:18:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	441	17¢	$75	0x49daf2…
09-20 01:24:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x804be5…
09-19 10:33:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xf452cd…
09-19 10:32:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	181	25¢	$45	0x394c13…
09-19 09:08:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x56676a…
08-20 12:10:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	595	1¢	$4	0xfade0c…
08-20 12:10:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,009	1¢	$28	0x945d2b…
08-20 12:09:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$2	0xd9e7d1…
07-31 11:37:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf007ee…
07-31 07:25:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,042	0¢	$1	0x054426…
07-30 19:56:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa61a80…
07-29 18:38:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x898e7e…
07-29 02:05:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xf5c2b1…
07-28 16:59:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f692a…
07-28 14:30:31	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9021b5…
07-28 04:21:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x5b6872…
07-27 16:07:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xc909b9…
07-26 23:20:55	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x3403e1…
07-26 23:20:45	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,393	0¢	$8	0xbf2ae2…
07-26 23:07:13	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x6e4679…
07-26 23:07:09	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8ad351…
07-26 23:07:09	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x59b82a…
07-26 23:07:07	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x75a3cc…
07-26 23:06:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2,200	0¢	$2	0xb4f134…
07-26 23:05:09	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x31dbe0…
07-26 23:05:06	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6fc885…
07-26 23:03:01	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	14,641	0¢	$44	0xf6321e…
07-26 23:02:31	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xcad0fd…
07-19 21:43:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	414	7¢	$30	0x387124…
07-19 21:07:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xe4fa75…
07-19 21:04:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xd9c560…
07-19 20:55:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	168	12¢	$20	0x4b40fc…
07-19 20:41:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x3495b1…
07-19 20:01:06	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x236794…
07-19 20:00:16	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xa70d76…
07-19 19:59:39	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x776b9c…
07-19 19:41:30	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x3c6a1d…
07-19 19:05:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	277	25¢	$70	0xde22aa…
07-19 18:53:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x499254…
07-19 18:52:45	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5ae642…
07-19 11:05:55	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,117	6¢	$446	0xe0ab0e…
07-19 11:05:55	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,654	9¢	$746	0xc6e3f3…
07-19 10:29:46	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x241023…
07-19 10:18:39	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	10¢	$32	0x48648b…
07-19 10:18:21	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,050	10¢	$105	0xf5c064…
07-19 10:11:31	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$29	0x630da3…
07-19 10:01:16	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	10¢	$21	0x91ca5f…
07-19 10:01:10	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	10¢	$19	0x66c90b…
07-19 10:01:01	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	9¢	$66	0xc07e71…
07-19 09:27:18	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,634	2¢	$162	0xbb71d7…
07-19 09:26:33	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	9¢	$18	0x0ab321…
07-19 09:08:18	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0x02d095…
07-19 09:08:12	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	9¢	$25	0x2d4a15…
07-19 09:04:58	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	9¢	$21	0x090f35…
07-19 08:57:54	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	568	9¢	$52	0x10bfdf…
07-19 07:41:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	9¢	$46	0x8b7cd4…
07-18 18:04:06	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	9¢	$20	0x321f5e…
07-18 18:03:51	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	456	9¢	$39	0xf330c7…
07-18 17:19:58	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	863	8¢	$73	0x210976…
07-18 16:34:30	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	8¢	$18	0x4ee7db…
07-18 16:25:09	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$19	0x584b0b…
07-18 16:16:40	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x83ed21…
07-18 16:11:19	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	8¢	$34	0xf5114c…
07-18 16:06:51	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	8¢	$18	0x17f4e6…
07-18 16:04:22	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	715	8¢	$54	0x8e3361…
07-18 15:57:51	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,460	7¢	$106	0x3cd45d…
07-18 15:57:24	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	842	7¢	$59	0x196251…
07-18 15:37:54	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	971	7¢	$66	0x485c5c…
07-18 15:17:00	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	853	7¢	$56	0x917604…
07-18 15:10:30	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	6¢	$24	0x3427e4…
07-18 15:01:43	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	6¢	$24	0x2fc946…
07-18 14:53:40	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	448	6¢	$26	0xe51223…
07-18 14:35:25	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	6¢	$18	0xc78dea…
07-18 14:31:24	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	6¢	$16	0xe0d9dc…
07-18 14:30:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	6¢	$14	0xf00ddd…
07-18 14:05:40	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	5¢	$23	0x8d53f3…
07-18 13:32:13	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	859	5¢	$43	0x4f79b0…