Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
478
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$45
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-14 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 100% +$5
Tech
6%
Sports
4% 100% +$43
Other
3%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +25 $20 79¢ $20 $-0 06-13 00:04
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +27 $13 53¢ $14 +$1 06-09 18:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +20 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-12 23:39
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-12 23:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +200 $2 $2 $-0 06-12 23:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 06-12 23:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 06-08 21:54