Scratchy-Fund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$179

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

767

Trades

1,844

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$388

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-15 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

49% 38% -$56

Crypto

32% 51% -$52

Politics

12% 0% -$10

Sports

7% 42% -$60

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+220	$200	99¢	$218	+$18	05-07 10:15
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+20	$17	96¢	$19	+$2	05-10 09:16
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 46.5	Under	+17	$9	72¢	$12	+$3	11-09 12:43
Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Lions	+20	$11	52¢	$11	$0	11-14 10:59
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)	Cowboys	+18	$10	54¢	$10	+$0	11-09 12:43
76ers vs. Nets	Nets	+27	$9	32¢	$9	-$1	11-14 08:33
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	+25	$9	32¢	$8	$0	11-15 07:15
nba nyk tor 2026 11 15 rebounds scottie barnes 6pt5	Yes	+29	$9	28¢	$8	-$1	11-15 06:14
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	+26	$9	31¢	$8	-$1	11-15 06:13
Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	+85	$9	8¢	$7	-$2	11-14 08:31
Hornets vs. Clippers	Clippers	+14	$8	50¢	$7	-$1	11-14 08:43
Mavericks vs. Celtics	Mavericks	+47	$9	14¢	$6	-$2	11-14 08:43
Texans vs. Browns	Texans	+10	$7	66¢	$6	$0	11-14 11:00
Hornets vs. Lakers	Hornets	+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$1	11-15 02:16
Predators vs. Sharks	Predators	+7	$5	60¢	$5	$0	11-15 09:51
Rockets vs. Wizards	Wizards	+17	$3	24¢	$4	+$1	11-14 11:00
Thunder vs. Kings	Kings	+18	$3	20¢	$4	+$0	11-14 13:15
Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	+5	$3	62¢	$3	+$0	11-14 11:14
nba cha lac 2026 11 15 total 215pt5	Under	+6	$3	52¢	$3	+$0	11-15 04:25
Magic vs. Celtics	Magic	+13	$3	24¢	$3	+$0	11-14 11:00
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-18?	Yes	+8	$3	42¢	$3	+$0	11-09 14:38
Oilers vs. Flyers	Flyers	+8	$3	42¢	$3	$0	11-14 16:15
Canadiens vs. Rangers	Rangers	+6	$3	50¢	$3	+$0	11-15 06:23
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5	Under	+6	$3	52¢	$3	+$0	11-15 04:49
Panthers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Over	+6	$3	52¢	$3	$0	11-15 05:59
Predators vs. Sharks	Sharks	+8	$3	40¢	$3	+$0	11-14 12:27
Esenler Erokspor vs. Bahcesehir Koleji	Bahcesehir Koleji	+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$1	11-15 07:19
Flames vs. Ducks	Flames	+8	$3	42¢	$3	$0	11-15 05:19
Warriors vs. Pelicans	Warriors	+5	$3	60¢	$3	+$0	11-14 11:00
Canucks vs. Utah	Canucks	+12	$3	26¢	$3	$0	11-15 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	13	$657	872	432	+440	open	—	05-07 10:15
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	42	$595	798	698	+100	No	-$6	05-06 06:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$276	483	117	+367	Yes	-$2	05-12 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	34	$207	151	113	+38	Yes	+$7	05-28 08:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	25	$201	207	191	+16	Yes	+$0	04-28 07:27
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	11	$197	291	105	+186	No	$0	05-12 16:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$191	200	200	+0	No	-$1	04-28 15:40
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	16	$175	151	151	+0	open	—	05-07 09:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	33	$132	585	554	+31	No	-$27	05-08 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 27?	14	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-26 17:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	8	$85	146	0	+146	Up	-$73	05-26 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$79	114	0	+114	Down	+$15	05-25 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	9	$62	89	0	+89	Down	-$45	05-25 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 28?	7	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-28 06:33
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$59	58	58	+0	cancelled	-$1	05-04 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	18	$58	50	38	+12	No	+$1	05-23 11:21
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?	13	$56	40	33	+7	Yes	-$1	05-27 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	9	$55	86	0	+86	Down	+$15	05-25 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	9	$54	82	0	+82	Up	+$5	05-25 19:29
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	9	$49	73	0	+73	Down	+$12	05-25 17:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	5	$47	39	29	+10	Yes	+$12	05-11 16:11
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-23 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-27 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on June 2?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-27 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?	6	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-02 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 11:07:13	Chiefs vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe1daf0…
11-15 09:51:08	Predators vs. Sharks	Predators	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xc699b6…
11-15 07:44:53	Spread: Valencia (-16.5)	Valencia	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa6a27e…
11-15 07:37:31	nba sas uta 2026 11 15 spread away 16pt5	Jazz	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xca93e0…
11-15 07:19:17	Esenler Erokspor vs. Bahcesehir Koleji	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7803b6…
11-15 07:15:28	Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0xfbb41f…
11-15 06:42:08	Bulls vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x604303…
11-15 06:23:17	Canadiens vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x25f499…
11-15 06:18:23	Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0fe606…
11-15 06:14:29	nba nyk tor 2026 11 15 rebounds scottie barnes 6pt5	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x6be569…
11-15 06:13:37	Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x291593…
11-15 05:59:59	Panthers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf8bb7a…
11-15 05:59:40	Panthers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6fc8d1…
11-15 05:19:01	Flames vs. Ducks	Flames	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x440e6f…
11-15 04:57:34	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-1.5)	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe2518f…
11-15 04:49:38	Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x99d46c…
11-15 04:43:22	Levanga Hokkaido vs. Saga Ballooners	Saga Ballooners	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xeb9020…
11-15 04:38:44	Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes	Utah Utes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfa8e36…
11-15 04:35:46	Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)	Iowa Hawkeyes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7435f0…
11-15 04:29:22	Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 141.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x741e8e…
11-15 04:25:31	nba cha lac 2026 11 15 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x29d64b…
11-15 04:04:05	Canucks vs. Utah	Canucks	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xd97a10…
11-15 03:34:56	Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers: O/U 185.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x166419…
11-15 03:34:22	Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe6ce0b…
11-15 03:21:17	Brisbane Bullets vs. Tasmania JackJumpers	Tasmania JackJumpers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd3022d…
11-15 03:00:53	England Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia vs England	Australia	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0a2ba1…
11-15 02:51:28	Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)	India	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6e7048…
11-15 02:40:49	nba hou was 2026 11 15 total 223pt5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x99cb17…
11-15 02:34:41	Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)	New Zealand	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xcd47ad…
11-15 02:18:14	Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)	Wyoming	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6437bd…
11-15 02:16:49	Hornets vs. Lakers	Hornets	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x643016…
11-15 02:11:29	WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva	Elina Svitolina	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x4bfe3d…
11-15 02:05:47	Will Delfino Pescara win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb15550…
11-15 01:34:23	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x447c68…
11-15 01:04:32	Bills vs. Jets	Bills	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xf5cf3b…
11-15 00:43:40	Nets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x25818c…
11-15 00:42:11	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb51e9a…
11-15 00:34:02	Nets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7ce1f0…
11-15 00:31:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Nets	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5acb5a…
11-15 00:14:28	Kings vs. Bruins	Kings	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x6d589d…
11-15 00:10:46	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Heat	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x652017…
11-14 18:16:01	Spread: TCU (-14.5)	TCU	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x01c75b…
11-14 18:11:20	Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)	Deportivo Pereira	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe48151…
11-14 18:10:10	Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x48b856…
11-14 18:04:16	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe750f9…
11-14 18:00:26	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0a0f16…
11-14 17:57:17	FC Dordrecht vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f4908…
11-14 17:27:56	Nets vs. Grizzlies	Nets	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd9eddf…
11-14 16:40:59	Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-4.5)	Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb89437…
11-14 16:36:22	Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)	West Georgia Wolves	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x22f53f…
11-14 16:33:50	Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8eca66…
11-14 16:29:22	Cincinnati vs. Iowa State	Iowa State	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0xdf1824…
11-14 16:15:08	Oilers vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x9646d3…
11-14 16:12:56	Florida vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6674ad…
11-14 15:00:11	WTA Finals, Final Stage: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina	Linda Noskova	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1f1861…
11-14 14:59:16	Spread: Coastal Carolina (-1.5)	Coastal Carolina	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6b844b…
11-14 14:53:47	Will UD Logrones win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa21861…
11-14 14:19:23	Joventut vs. Basket Zaragoza: O/U 178.5	Over	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x742658…
11-14 14:18:25	Canucks vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x496922…
11-14 13:52:16	Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcafad8…
11-14 13:49:17	Norway vs. Wales: Norway O/U 3.5 Corners	Under	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x4f5abd…
11-14 13:42:59	Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)	Israel	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x85514d…
11-14 13:33:10	Nets vs. Grizzlies	Nets	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x24e31b…
11-14 13:26:35	Will Kosovo win on 2026-11-14?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x45fba9…
11-14 13:26:17	Will Israel win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xec0506…
11-14 13:19:22	IU Indy Jaguars vs. Morehead State Eagles: O/U 162.5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2a9284…
11-14 13:15:49	Thunder vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x1b62a6…
11-14 12:58:19	PAOK vs. FK Partizan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x610a0c…
11-14 12:30:35	Norway vs. Wales: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7b24c1…
11-14 12:27:59	Predators vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa724e5…
11-14 11:56:31	Norway vs. Wales: Norway O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x7c8a4e…
11-14 11:52:35	Norway vs. Wales: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x3bd1a0…
11-14 11:32:08	Spread: Finland (-3.5)	San Marino	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x328ada…
11-14 11:21:11	Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x98da74…
11-14 11:14:23	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x327ba7…
11-14 11:01:50	Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x512381…
11-14 11:00:56	Warriors vs. Pelicans	Warriors	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfd721c…
11-14 11:00:55	Canucks vs. Golden Knights	Canucks	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x71e071…
11-14 11:00:53	Rockets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xdd5a33…
11-14 11:00:53	Rockets vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9b2115…
11-14 11:00:52	Magic vs. Celtics	Magic	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x8b90b6…
11-14 11:00:50	Kraken vs. Hurricanes	Kraken	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xa51c2b…
11-14 11:00:50	Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x697392…
11-14 11:00:38	Utah vs. Arizona	Utah	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x735293…
11-14 11:00:37	Texans vs. Browns	Texans	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc3f756…
11-14 11:00:35	Spread: Morgan State (-3.5)	Norfolk State	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xb88ec9…
11-14 11:00:35	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x724adb…
11-14 11:00:04	Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa505f1…
11-14 11:00:04	Spread: Utah State (-1.5)	Utah State	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x88f1b4…
11-14 11:00:02	Jaguars vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xb0cea8…
11-14 11:00:02	Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x07ed0f…
11-14 11:00:01	Northwestern vs. Ohio State: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x217cec…
11-14 10:59:59	Bills vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe6e631…
11-14 10:59:59	Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x55b3f0…
11-14 10:59:58	Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb16a0…
11-14 10:59:58	Vikings vs. Packers	Vikings	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x267bc4…
11-14 10:59:56	Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6019b…
11-14 10:59:56	Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e2fdc…
11-14 10:59:53	Spread: Ravens (-5.5)	Ravens	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3904f3…
11-14 10:59:52	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 64.5	Over	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7d61fe…