Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?
No won
Total volume
$924
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 00:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.0¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $201
vs crowd: 34% YES on $298)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $101 | $196 | $95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $73 | $129 | $56 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | $68 | $63 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 6 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Amenity 0xcbdd…d38b | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:10 |
| Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | Yes | +181 | $73 | $73 | 3 | 05-07 13:34 |
| Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | +130 | $11 | $12 | 5 | 05-08 09:10 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +100 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-07 08:49 |
| Agonizing-Rose 0x7f8e…78e6 | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:05 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 10:35 |
| Positive-Loan 0x05d4…ae97 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 00:10:30 | Optimistic-Amenity 0xcbdd…d38b | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x8de68c… |
| 05-08 14:44:43 | Fake-Pet 0x1138…f4ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x344185… |
| 05-08 13:34:37 | Some-Expert 0x9666…4753 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x04c412… |
| 05-08 09:50:00 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xcacade… |
| 05-08 09:35:55 | Another-Pinecone 0x2402…2bfc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x43f0c4… |
| 05-08 09:10:55 | Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x106161… |
| 05-08 09:10:46 | Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xce4383… |
| 05-08 08:45:55 | Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xfaad75… |
| 05-08 08:45:47 | Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0cac9e… |
| 05-08 08:05:23 | Agonizing-Rose 0x7f8e…78e6 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x278cf1… |
| 05-08 07:33:32 | Scratchy-Fund 0x7b2f…2004 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xcec47f… |
| 05-08 07:33:28 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xa1dd5a… |
| 05-08 07:33:21 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x533727… |
| 05-08 06:29:48 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | No | SELL | 622 | 84¢ | $522 | 0x7a20c5… |
| 05-07 20:51:15 | Rundown-Assistance 0xcf85…d62e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5ab8eb… |
| 05-07 14:56:23 | Evil-Doughnut 0xb4bd…2bda | No | SELL | 17 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x95d61d… |
| 05-07 14:56:16 | Positive-Loan 0x05d4…ae97 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xf815c4… |
| 05-07 13:34:20 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 44¢ | $20 | 0xfc018a… |
| 05-07 13:34:13 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 43¢ | $23 | 0x5d3080… |
| 05-07 12:00:53 | That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | Yes | SELL | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x88bb54… |
| 05-07 11:16:40 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 59 | 37¢ | $22 | 0x27c185… |
| 05-07 10:35:47 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xfee743… |
| 05-07 09:55:21 | Disloyal-Cafe 0xdac5…ae24 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 36¢ | $29 | 0x196da2… |
| 05-07 08:53:17 | Our-Snack 0x53a3…e5af | No | SELL | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x07d7cb… |
| 05-07 08:49:56 | Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | BUY | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x2bcf27… |
| 05-06 17:04:12 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x159cdf… |
| 05-06 12:10:12 | Aching-Pan 0x92bd…a35e | No | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xf782c0… |