Disloyal-Cafe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

479

Trades

2,182

lifetime

Volume

$292.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$325

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 11-04 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

95% 65% +$14,479

Politics

3% 52% -$79

Crypto

1% 50% -$412

Sports

1% 67% +$141

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	+490	$85	18¢	$88	+$3	11-04 09:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	+224	$153	34¢	$76	-$77	08-20 13:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in November?	No	+128	$75	55¢	$71	-$4	11-04 09:49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	Yes	+200	$26	29¢	$58	+$32	11-04 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-230	-$39	11¢	$-24	+$15	06-10 13:47
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+146	$92	5¢	$7	-$84	08-01 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cl up or down on march 2 2026	10	$9.3K	4,923	4,923	+0	Up	+$446	03-02 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	13	$6.6K	3,585	3,585	-0	Yes	+$423	03-07 00:52
will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	3	$6.5K	4,226	4,226	+0	No	-$1,067	03-20 19:28
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	14	$6.0K	5,465	5,465	+0	Yes	+$438	06-05 02:42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	28	$5.7K	6,877	5,580	+1,297	Yes	+$1,491	05-28 01:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$5.6K	3,838	3,838	-0	No	-$947	03-06 11:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	29	$5.4K	4,860	4,860	-0	Yes	+$588	05-15 13:44
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	24	$5.0K	4,654	4,432	+222	No	+$863	05-27 10:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	16	$4.5K	3,364	3,364	+0	No	+$271	05-28 23:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	18	$4.3K	4,653	4,653	+0	Yes	+$383	05-22 13:14
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	8	$4.2K	2,804	2,804	+0	No	-$187	03-05 14:21
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	57	$4.1K	2,015	2,204	-188	No	+$89	02-21 07:31
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	5	$3.7K	2,550	1,200	+1,350	No	+$79	03-31 05:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	12	$3.6K	5,640	3,663	+1,977	No	+$581	05-28 12:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	19	$3.6K	2,337	2,337	+0	No	+$305	05-28 02:56
xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	10	$3.5K	3,234	2,264	+970	Up	+$358	06-04 03:45
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	15	$3.5K	2,896	2,896	+0	No	+$125	06-10 06:13
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	11	$3.4K	3,085	397	+2,688	Yes	+$51	04-12 22:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	26	$3.1K	2,727	2,495	+232	No	+$40	05-08 14:44
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	15	$3.1K	1,692	1,692	+0	No	+$84	03-13 10:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.9K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$298	05-24 03:38
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	12	$2.8K	2,685	2,426	+259	Yes	+$144	05-28 12:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$2.6K	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$128	05-01 07:17
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	13	$2.5K	2,799	0	+2,799	No	+$309	02-22 14:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	8	$2.5K	3,181	2,013	+1,168	No	+$11	05-29 15:39
will wti dip to 85 by april 13 2026	11	$2.3K	1,296	1,286	+10	Yes	+$248	04-17 13:44
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	12	$2.3K	1,180	1,180	+0	No	+$7	03-26 10:58
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	5	$2.3K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	+$96	02-22 08:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	15	$2.2K	2,377	1,735	+642	Yes	+$509	05-28 01:25
will wti reach 120 by april 6 2026	14	$2.2K	1,253	1,246	+7	No	+$48	04-12 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:50:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x986643…
11-04 09:49:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xb528cc…
11-04 09:49:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in November?	No	BUY	128	59¢	$75	0xaf8c9b…
11-04 09:48:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x350916…
11-04 09:44:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x290fe7…
11-04 09:44:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xba7dc2…
11-04 09:44:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in November?	No	BUY	230	32¢	$74	0x14cb7a…
11-04 09:42:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	390	18¢	$69	0x1d19fd…
10-30 10:54:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	596	67¢	$399	0x52a41f…
10-30 10:33:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x219795…
10-30 10:33:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x403ac4…
10-30 10:26:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcacd99…
10-30 10:26:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x823f93…
10-30 10:15:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0x0876f7…
10-30 10:04:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x12f4f0…
10-30 10:04:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x89a195…
10-30 10:03:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x7e8e3c…
10-30 10:03:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xcced33…
10-30 10:03:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x6958e9…
10-30 10:02:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xa65719…
10-30 10:00:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x94da0d…
10-30 10:00:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb0b025…
10-30 09:58:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xcf069c…
10-30 09:52:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xa43e2e…
10-30 09:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	622	46¢	$287	0xc885b2…
10-30 07:15:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0x32c776…
10-30 05:56:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	225	51¢	$114	0xd9b999…
10-30 04:55:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	610	68¢	$415	0x7f18fa…
10-30 04:45:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb3c4e1…
10-30 04:45:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xcaaa56…
10-30 04:44:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	136	25¢	$34	0x6b9dbc…
10-29 12:45:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xfb6f17…
10-29 12:35:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x19a675…
10-29 12:34:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	463	85¢	$394	0xe32236…
10-29 12:21:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	220	80¢	$176	0xfdb32e…
10-28 00:36:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	400	55¢	$220	0xca96f9…
10-27 14:57:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0xbd14f3…
08-24 11:39:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	SELL	382	21¢	$79	0xfb98e1…
08-23 10:59:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	384	41¢	$157	0x8a6b88…
08-21 09:03:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	238	48¢	$114	0x6cb624…
08-20 13:31:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	BUY	224	68¢	$153	0x5927eb…
08-19 07:21:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	238	45¢	$107	0xe58cf8…
08-18 15:09:40	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x1c1a42…
08-18 15:00:07	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	140	62¢	$87	0x4a8eaf…
08-11 15:37:19	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	108	27¢	$29	0xaa3ece…
08-11 15:37:09	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	412	29¢	$119	0x5f2f23…
08-11 11:07:10	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xa1669c…
08-11 11:06:25	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xeea7cb…
08-11 11:05:43	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	599	61¢	$363	0x727897…
08-10 11:30:55	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x7f1495…
08-10 10:48:09	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	599	49¢	$293	0x83566b…
08-07 09:26:31	will xauusd reach 4350 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0xc0358d…
08-07 09:19:10	will xauusd reach 4350 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x5f79f5…
08-05 05:58:20	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xfc1058…
08-03 13:39:14	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x5ac5f7…
08-03 13:38:48	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xfa3f3f…
08-03 13:38:39	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x2573bc…
08-02 06:54:00	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	33¢	$67	0x2cb4c3…
08-02 03:38:27	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	197	53¢	$104	0x613d45…
08-02 03:27:47	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	963	15¢	$146	0xee7ee4…
08-01 08:50:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	146	63¢	$92	0xf3f158…
07-31 07:21:30	wti closes above 83 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	300	57¢	$170	0xeb905f…
07-31 02:40:41	wti closes above 83 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xd988b4…
07-30 13:56:08	will xagusd dip to 56 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xfdc48f…
07-30 04:02:47	will xagusd dip to 56 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	135	67¢	$90	0x5c3cc2…
07-30 03:47:14	will xagusd dip to 56 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1f3b74…
07-29 23:18:53	will xagusd dip to 56 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	134	84¢	$113	0xe35af6…
07-29 03:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xfb3091…
07-29 03:32:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x45f180…
07-28 15:37:08	wti closes above 80 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0x96bd0c…
07-28 15:27:07	wti closes above 80 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0xe62baf…
07-28 15:10:25	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,029	21¢	$217	0xc6cd39…
07-28 06:48:03	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,136	99¢	$1,122	0x51b446…
07-25 15:14:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	378	85¢	$322	0x8f9247…
07-25 15:10:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	192	71¢	$135	0x5f50a0…
07-25 15:06:52	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,029	18¢	$182	0x44eeee…
07-24 15:38:45	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	272	62¢	$168	0xce5df7…
07-24 15:20:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	528	77¢	$409	0x9547d5…
07-21 09:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	SELL	391	21¢	$82	0x3aaf98…
07-21 08:07:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	391	33¢	$131	0xedf7d8…
07-21 01:26:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 20 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x9ce6c4…
07-21 01:25:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of July 20 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x2eda7d…
07-19 16:13:51	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	59¢	$38	0x2ad399…
07-07 14:47:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5,780	17¢	$983	0x3baa01…
07-07 14:04:49	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	270	34¢	$92	0x5bc644…
07-07 14:04:23	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	80	39¢	$31	0xe7804b…
07-07 13:51:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,780	15¢	$867	0x2e4249…
07-07 13:30:52	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	600	76¢	$456	0xa5eed4…
07-07 10:01:38	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0x1ebdbf…
07-07 10:01:32	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0xd33a35…
07-07 10:01:32	wti closes above 70 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0xceb03d…
07-06 01:55:25	wti closes above 68 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	428	27¢	$116	0xfad393…
07-06 01:55:14	wti closes above 68 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	345	29¢	$100	0x6030b5…
07-06 01:51:26	wti closes above 68 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	778	39¢	$307	0xdb4cc2…
07-06 00:37:17	wti closes above 68 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	1,851	45¢	$832	0x99204e…
07-06 00:35:40	wti closes above 69 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x178ca7…
07-02 09:38:40	wti closes above 68 on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	110	27¢	$30	0x80b4d4…
07-02 09:38:32	wti closes above 68 on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	440	27¢	$120	0x49e08b…
07-02 08:11:31	wti closes above 68 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	550	51¢	$282	0xbed028…
07-01 14:32:55	wti closes above 69 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	477	57¢	$271	0xc8f3c0…