Little-Toaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

2,522

Trades

2,779

lifetime

Volume

$122.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-25 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$51

Sports

15% 100% +$19

Crypto

3% 98% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$150	100	50	+50	No	+$0	03-08 22:14
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-30 15:10
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$100	50	50	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-12 15:15
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)	11	$100	50	50	+0	Córdoba CF	+$0	05-21 08:39
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	3	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	8	$100	50	50	+0	WHITEBIRD	+$0	03-03 12:05
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-29 22:14
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	8	$100	50	50	+0	Masarova	+$0	03-20 13:03
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$100	50	50	+0	Krueger	+$0	03-03 15:41
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$100	50	50	+0	Ramboot Club	+$0	03-03 20:26
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	9	$100	50	50	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-03 13:46
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 22:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	8	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:38
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x667fee…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x145876…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x368498…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe08728…
10-24 16:55:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa44dc9…
10-24 13:22:36	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xb8e42c…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1f8ce4…
10-24 13:00:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2fdf6a…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x468432…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f131…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc15a3b…
10-23 19:42:09	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3c182…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf438b2…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30eb36…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf0c00…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d6228…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb8bddf…
10-20 18:49:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa325ef…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbaa787…
10-20 17:09:42	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x37a2db…
10-20 15:12:00	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x064397…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3f0fa8…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6cc6ad…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64e3ec…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd421c3…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81f6e6…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2cd1ab…
10-17 13:14:11	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6ecdab…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc51627…
10-15 20:32:36	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb78b02…
10-15 20:25:41	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x531335…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5049d5…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5c07fe…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5debd…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf5bc5c…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b96cb…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc9a6c4…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd844b6…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3f1c7…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe2b7d…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3ef67c…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96b211…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc45ff…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xefca6f…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x56d500…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaf5b92…
10-11 04:59:56	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xccc2b0…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe14225…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bc0bb…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x8d3e1f…
10-09 14:48:45	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a15c…
10-09 14:48:37	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xee7d0c…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c2e43…
10-08 07:31:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a4d1e…
10-08 07:25:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x969a80…
10-08 07:24:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x67ee09…
10-08 05:28:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x30bb7b…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x088a49…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x839290…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x418e32…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x629b97…
10-06 20:36:54	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbd5815…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe86ea7…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc19de2…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ac852…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b64fe…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0bd25c…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6d8323…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcb72aa…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a628d…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x926266…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x33ff51…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0c80f…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5bbb99…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25ea08…
10-02 19:48:09	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc1926…
10-02 19:36:38	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f6e02…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5c8bff…
10-02 14:15:38	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x84bb5d…
10-02 14:15:38	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x51aaa2…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49ddef…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0fd4b…
10-02 06:25:15	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf45948…
10-01 22:20:06	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9c5dc1…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a253c…
10-01 21:09:03	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x942338…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x021802…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb3d9cf…
10-01 18:38:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcee291…
10-01 17:38:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf5e59a…
10-01 17:28:59	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaf9221…
10-01 17:21:29	Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B	Passion Academy	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x448edc…
10-01 14:34:00	cs2 maybe ep 2026 10 01	maybe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37c30c…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1dd4eb…
10-01 11:34:18	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9657e4…
10-01 06:02:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe15468…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x32edae…
10-01 04:00:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa5bb91…
10-01 04:00:17	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d674c…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6f312…