Natural-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,778

lifetime

Volume

$81.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-10 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$2

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 08:55
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 15:35
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	11	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 05:00
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 21:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 04:10
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 20:20
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 17:30
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-11 16:00
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 18:37
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 02:54
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 02:15
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-07 18:04
rou1 fcb fcr 2026 07 27 btts	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	07-27 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:00:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xba83b7…
08-09 20:20:21	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f1aba…
08-08 23:23:40	wta doubles jianwu mertshn 2026 08 08	Mertens/Shnaider	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b83bb…
08-08 16:30:00	cs2 saw2 eac 2026 08 08	SAW	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f313d…
08-08 15:38:03	cs2 blackp cs1 2026 08 08 game2	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd71fc3…
08-08 09:56:52	npb yom tok 2026 08 08	Yomiuri Giants	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf005ab…
08-07 13:52:24	dota2 ill stx 2026 08 07 game1	Ilbirs eSports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1dcb32…
08-07 11:22:48	val ag1 te 2026 08 07 game2	All Gamers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b6686…
08-07 07:14:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x208759…
08-06 13:58:35	itf fumagal geladar 2026 08 06	Filiberto Fumagalli	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0a6410…
08-05 21:17:27	ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9fd7a5…
08-04 20:16:29	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb6418c…
08-04 20:16:18	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07e5e6…
08-04 20:14:45	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8dcd07…
08-04 13:07:30	cs2 finish mf 2026 08 04	Mindfreak	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1247aa…
08-04 11:21:41	atp biryuko inchaus 2026 08 03	Paul Inchauspe	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfebb38…
08-04 00:23:24	itf catanza okalova 2026 08 03	Martina Okalova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67c824…
08-02 16:22:35	cricodc ham dur 2026 08 02	Durham	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf45125…
08-02 07:59:18	bitcoin above 63000 on august 1 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x33c1ca…
08-01 19:02:20	cs2 ytigeres aim1 2026 08 01	aimclub	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa1e5de…
08-01 18:51:21	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	MOUZ	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x617ee2…
08-01 18:35:29	val fut1 vit 2026 08 01	Team Vitality	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40ef92…
08-01 15:15:47	itf bosi egorova 2026 08 01	Victoria Bosio	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd12df1…
07-31 21:47:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5e4a5a…
07-31 21:04:54	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c0c57…
07-31 20:06:45	rklb up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x809dc7…
07-31 13:34:18	cs2 eac g2a 2026 07 31	G2 Ares	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd89d38…
07-31 05:27:18	itf reed crawley 2026 07 30	Fiona Crawley	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0ee064…
07-30 21:40:39	wti up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20e90b…
07-30 15:17:56	crint nam4 uga2 2026 07 30	Uganda	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x95ba87…
07-30 12:22:17	kbo kiw lg 2026 07 30	LG Twins	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7c73be…
07-30 12:20:33	kbo kiw lg 2026 07 30	LG Twins	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc624c9…
07-30 10:58:26	itf mortens corvi 2026 07 30	Rebecca Munk Mortensen	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf28ba9…
07-30 04:46:00	wta jone brengle 2026 07 29	Emerson Jones	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ac5de…
07-29 20:01:20	mlb atl nym 2026 07 29	New York Mets	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a0900…
07-29 18:41:53	mlb phi mia 2026 07 29	Miami Marlins	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdacb4c…
07-29 18:39:42	itf leston villalo 2026 07 29	Nicolas Villalon	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb9253b…
07-29 14:31:24	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe26d2c…
07-29 13:29:23	cs2 arc4 ww 2026 07 29 game1	WW Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd9a554…
07-29 13:01:29	wta bertea monnet 2026 07 29	Carole Monnet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fb26c…
07-29 11:47:57	itf mujakic marysko 2026 07 29	Vincent Marysko	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5de5c2…
07-28 20:17:26	itf amyzhu hrastar 2026 07 28	Amy Zhu	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x07d18e…
07-28 16:51:59	ucl kps sf 2026 07 29 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd7a474…
07-28 16:51:07	ucl kps sf 2026 07 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x902cd4…
07-28 16:51:07	ucl kps sf 2026 07 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x792c1b…
07-28 16:51:07	ucl kps sf 2026 07 29 spread home 2pt5	Sabah FK	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x725c92…
07-28 16:03:16	cs2 blackp bbp 2026 07 28 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe48487…
07-28 14:09:10	will mu dip to 840 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59ac22…
07-28 13:09:34	cs2 blackp bbp 2026 07 28 game2	Black Phoenix	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x806df8…
07-28 10:51:19	atp kumasak bax 2026 07 27	Florent Bax	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49aa2e…
07-28 09:47:23	wta samson breaz 2026 07 28	Laura Samson	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb4106…
07-28 09:31:44	itf kuznet eunchae 2026 07 28	Eunchae Kim	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5b8fe…
07-27 20:54:07	rou1 fcb fcr 2026 07 27 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fa33f…
07-27 19:46:46	nor rbk ffk 2026 07 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x870a47…
07-27 19:39:39	nor rbk ffk 2026 07 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f51ca…
07-27 19:27:33	nor rbk ffk 2026 07 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc253a0…
07-27 19:27:09	nor rbk ffk 2026 07 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0a0733…
07-27 18:26:12	rou1 fcc vol 2026 07 24 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6609f6…
07-27 17:10:34	lol rs voldae 2026 07 27 game1	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf82e2f…
07-27 12:22:45	cs2 sparta hon1 2026 07 27 game1	SPARTA	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42556d…
07-27 11:25:18	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58e53c…
07-27 10:05:21	cs2 tf4 tc2 2026 07 27	Team flacons	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58fc73…
07-27 05:25:40	svk1 dbb sba 2026 07 26 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72de17…
07-26 22:45:13	mlb laa sf 2026 07 26 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdaac7a…
07-26 22:08:07	bul lok ses 2026 07 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x46cf67…
07-26 19:35:31	cs2 lavked btf 2026 07 26 game2	Butterfly	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x930ea5…
07-26 19:11:48	cs2 100t ts7 2026 07 26 game2 round handicap ts7 6pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8d9af…
07-26 18:47:49	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce98ff…
07-26 14:41:15	lol tt edg 2026 07 26 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04c2b9…
07-26 14:33:04	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26 game2	3DMAX	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2486c…
07-26 14:04:13	swe sir ifk 2026 07 26 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe80079…
07-26 13:40:13	cs2 newvis mana1 2026 07 26 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f294f…
07-26 13:37:25	chi yun xin 2026 07 26 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x06350f…
07-26 12:27:48	cs2 sparta benche 2026 07 26 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f217b…
07-26 05:56:25	boxing anthony joshua vspt kristian prenga 20260724153052168	Joshua	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3aaed…
07-25 22:02:45	mlb laa sf 2026 07 25 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x915f58…
07-25 20:48:10	rou1 din ucc 2026 07 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5cd96…
07-25 15:31:06	cs2 tl1 g2 2026 07 25 game1 round handicap g2 3pt5	Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x412cbe…
07-25 14:02:58	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc4a4ec…
07-25 09:37:00	wta doubles jakurad kulasem 2026 07 25	Jakupovic/Radisic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4c1b2…
07-24 17:43:15	crichundredw bir tre 2026 07 24	Trent Rockets	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x03c9a9…
07-24 17:42:57	crichundredw bir tre 2026 07 24	Trent Rockets	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8f76c9…
07-24 13:59:40	lol edg blg 2026 07 24 game1 kill over 33pt5	Under	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf06849…
07-24 13:49:31	lol edg blg 2026 07 24 game1 kill over 33pt5	Under	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x77947e…
07-24 05:32:24	chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xee3bec…
07-24 02:22:12	bra2 ath ber 2026 07 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f9ae9…
07-24 01:56:51	sud bol gre 2026 07 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb37774…
07-24 01:30:36	ecu1 leo gua 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20b548…
07-23 12:31:51	cricgermant10 mtv mas 2026 07 23	MTV Herrenhausen	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x77b95e…
07-23 04:31:34	wnba dal por 2026 07 22 total 175pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44214f…
07-22 18:19:07	col nef din2 2026 07 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa1c6c8…
07-22 15:44:46	itf simione gadient 2026 07 22	Nicole Gadient	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b021d…
07-22 11:16:28	bitcoin above 67800 on july 22 2026 7am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc83ea…
07-21 11:49:43	auc plf new 2026 07 21 spread home 1pt5	Newcastle United Jets FC	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36896c…
07-21 02:07:28	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x410456…
07-20 16:00:09	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xebc6c3…
07-20 14:44:21	atp droguet carabel 2026 07 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x274f61…
07-20 01:17:36	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 19 f5 spread away 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ff598…
07-20 00:22:09	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x47ffe0…
07-20 00:22:04	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9c030…