Natural-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$76.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-20 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$2

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 15:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	11	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 05:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 08:55
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-25 05:20
AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 0.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 20:01
atp altmaie martine 2026 03 30 first set total 8pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 21:59
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-04 17:04
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$50	50	0	+50	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:08
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 11:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 17:20
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 02:15
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 18:37
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-25 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:07:28	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x410456…
07-20 16:00:09	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xebc6c3…
07-20 14:44:21	atp droguet carabel 2026 07 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x274f61…
07-20 01:17:36	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 19 f5 spread away 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ff598…
07-20 00:22:09	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x47ffe0…
07-20 00:22:04	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9c030…
07-19 22:47:09	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff42c3…
07-19 21:24:34	mlb wsh oak 2026 07 19 f5 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x295c55…
07-19 18:37:31	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x91a8f9…
07-19 17:38:40	swe elf sir 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xacff3b…
07-19 14:22:42	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	Gen.G	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x242e04…
07-19 14:00:27	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4fc60a…
07-19 12:57:57	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19 game1 kill over 33pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x499e5c…
07-19 11:56:55	atp tsitsip collign 2026 07 19 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x28c008…
07-19 03:15:12	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18 win by submission	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x35a97e…
07-19 00:26:33	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x738b8a…
07-19 00:26:13	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98ec0c…
07-19 00:25:03	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c3426…
07-19 00:23:24	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5d235…
07-19 00:23:13	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf3007…
07-19 00:04:45	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdbde95…
07-18 23:18:09	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1dc006…
07-18 23:18:07	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbea677…
07-18 23:18:07	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7726d8…
07-18 23:18:06	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0eaccb…
07-18 23:09:24	will kylian mbappe score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231444070	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x18d8dc…
07-18 23:07:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97d119…
07-18 11:46:40	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 set handicap home 1pt5	Cerundolo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf8c88b…
07-18 11:34:43	itf dudeney bains 2026 07 18	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xca31d2…
07-18 03:07:45	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0edef7…
07-18 02:30:43	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc488fb…
07-18 02:30:43	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88a67d…
07-18 01:38:43	wnba atl tor 2026 07 17 total 183pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b8a7b…
07-17 20:56:54	rou1 fcs fap 2026 07 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x753c09…
07-17 18:38:28	cs2 pdaf grmioe 2026 07 17 map handicap away 1pt5	Patins da Ferrari	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x385259…
07-17 17:09:49	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x676bb5…
07-17 15:17:15	cs2 nip hero 2026 07 17 game1	Heroic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x31035e…
07-17 14:26:54	chi qin ron 2026 07 18 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ea554…
07-17 09:37:39	itf smirnov cirotte 2026 07 17 first set winner Smirnova vs Cirotte	Cirotte	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4320d0…
07-17 02:41:30	cs2 thunde mf 2026 07 16	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64f449…
07-16 22:27:25	codmw faz g2m 2026 07 16 game1	FaZe Vegas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c2483…
07-16 20:56:17	col vir dil 2026 07 16 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec4ea2…
07-16 20:24:44	uel zil haj 2026 07 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb00238…
07-16 20:18:55	codmw par tor 2026 07 16	Paris Gentle Mates	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2faad8…
07-16 19:53:53	col din1 mon 2026 07 16 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd2ab73…
07-16 16:58:32	wta zakharo shublad 2026 07 15 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x692233…
07-16 16:57:19	col it sar 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x15f0a9…
07-16 13:42:47	cs2 g2a lilmix 2026 07 16 map handicap away 1pt5	Lilmix	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x510927…
07-16 02:53:22	itf bernar kliebha 2026 07 15	Alexander Bernard	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62efdc…
07-15 17:46:41	atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	Liam Draxl	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x661623…
07-15 16:46:11	val fut1 navi1 2026 07 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x18115b…
07-15 16:22:52	col mal vll 2026 07 15 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3d483e…
07-15 14:37:04	itf nilsson linana 2026 07 15	Alicia Herrero Linana	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe15d7b…
07-15 13:59:55	nik up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a805b…
07-15 11:38:44	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d8e1d…
07-14 21:55:14	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58db63…
07-14 19:44:17	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game2	Honvéd	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdfc249…
07-14 19:28:56	wta sakella tona 2026 07 14	Miriana Tona	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52fd68…
07-14 19:19:53	itf lahey dashaiv 2026 07 14	Dasha Ivanova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb69c74…
07-14 18:47:02	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game1	Honvéd	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x79dc92…
07-14 18:04:25	ucl kps var 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7897f9…
07-14 17:24:08	cs2 biga mana1 2026 07 14	BIG Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5a162…
07-14 15:59:34	wta krejcik tomova 2026 07 13 set 2 winner Krejcikova vs Tomova	Krejcikova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a4ffe…
07-14 15:35:59	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcea952…
07-14 15:32:58	atp muller shevche 2026 07 13 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdb853e…
07-14 15:29:37	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b905c…
07-14 13:30:05	wta putints liu 2026 07 14 set 2 winner Putintseva vs Liu	Putintseva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x890779…
07-14 13:05:32	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14 game2	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4884bb…
07-14 13:05:01	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x32d7d3…
07-14 12:42:43	auc alf ppf 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62c834…
07-14 11:53:05	crint srb est 2026 07 14	Estonia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x12b0cf…
07-14 09:51:28	atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	Sumit Nagal	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x582f7b…
07-14 01:15:19	wnba la atl 2026 07 13 total 181pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x213985…
07-13 18:54:25	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc706d…
07-13 14:48:23	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1cbafe…
07-12 19:06:25	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1edefe…
07-12 15:36:58	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf7c57…
07-12 05:39:19	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc56a86…
07-12 05:06:23	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e4f9d…
07-12 03:55:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0f78eb…
07-12 03:52:17	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c19c8…
07-12 01:54:31	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb402f…
07-12 00:47:56	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac08be…
07-12 00:46:46	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17df13…
07-11 23:59:01	nbasl sas nyk 2026 07 11	San Antonio Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0487fb…
07-11 23:48:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x03670a…
07-11 23:30:34	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x978c78…
07-11 23:08:11	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7eb635…
07-11 20:31:46	cs2 tricks theboy 2026 07 11 game2	Tricksters	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x132cc9…
07-11 17:46:08	itf svajda evanzhu 2026 07 11	Trevor Svajda	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fbefd…
07-11 12:47:10	kor san bch 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x540af9…
07-11 04:01:43	mlb ari lad 2026 07 10 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x122de5…
07-09 22:12:10	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb63731…
07-09 19:18:41	cs2 lph theboy 2026 07 09 game1	LPH Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb46fa3…
07-09 18:21:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e8a46…
07-09 15:19:31	cs2 all nem 2026 07 09 game3 round total 18pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e6929…
07-09 00:23:50	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb0bf1b…
07-08 17:04:49	val ff3 cgn 2026 07 08 game2	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x959b96…
07-08 08:53:02	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game2 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b4ce0…
07-08 08:46:14	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game2 kill over 33pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa0bad…