Natural-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,544

lifetime

Volume

$70.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-30 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$2

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 08:55
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	11	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 05:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 04:10
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-05 17:41
svk1 kom kos 2026 04 11 kos	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 16:37
AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 0.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 20:01
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 08:59
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-03 13:14
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 21:14
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$50	50	0	+50	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:08
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	1	$50	50	0	+50	Timberwolves	+$0	05-09 03:58
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:03:23	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2e4a58…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x94c171…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ef579…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44a6b0…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbac9ef…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3664d6…
06-29 23:57:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c37ff…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc7aba8…
06-29 19:17:41	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x74fc81…
06-29 19:15:11	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8e379d…
06-29 13:52:44	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c986e…
06-28 18:07:56	crint aus2 ind3 2026 06 28	Australia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6eab8b…
06-28 17:02:07	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x538ae6…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe9b0be…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17f1b5…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xedc280…
06-27 03:05:29	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd91650…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1920b9…
06-26 18:24:37	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789af2…
06-26 18:24:32	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0314b1…
06-26 18:24:31	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7324f…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b6218…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7bf6d9…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd398fd…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd62ed4…
06-25 04:14:46	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e302f…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x48e747…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0bfe30…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf68bf0…
06-25 00:02:05	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17f6c9…
06-24 12:38:40	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5998c…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e8ae3…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ec466…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc42078…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa74e5d…
06-23 05:16:44	will argentina be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003062	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x475294…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1685ba…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd55d0b…
06-21 06:05:47	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59f49c…
06-20 22:09:08	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaea813…
06-20 21:07:23	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7a1450…
06-20 20:06:40	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5038cf…
06-20 19:13:17	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb2f081…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf68bda…
06-20 03:39:59	2026 us open top5 bryson dechambeau	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62f735…
06-20 02:55:20	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf1893a…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7a2660…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0c80df…
06-19 21:13:52	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x09bbee…
06-19 21:13:28	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x363edc…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeabc1b…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1ca63e…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e61e5…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4452c5…
06-18 14:16:01	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8b14e…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x83cf55…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac7765…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc945db…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x642fd9…
06-17 16:10:05	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc34f68…
06-17 16:07:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcd0f51…
06-17 16:07:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x26e088…
06-17 03:02:22	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x820389…
06-17 00:09:20	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd05d15…
06-17 00:03:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5360c6…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe73475…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbefd36…
06-16 00:27:57	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners team away 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1c924e…
06-15 18:25:03	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc8645d…
06-15 18:24:25	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x04971e…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xed0f68…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c5fb3…
06-15 00:28:04	chi1 cuc cu1 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce6d95…
06-14 22:06:42	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1bc9f9…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2df3f…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5c7623…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc95f0f…
06-14 19:02:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb242a0…
06-13 15:23:39	cs2 rust heroa 2026 06 13 game3 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2bbdd9…
06-13 09:23:22	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a94d7…
06-13 01:55:04	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x208cc7…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd363ca…
06-12 20:26:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x816def…
06-12 20:18:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13863b…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x01cd3d…
06-12 13:30:13	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x39589c…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe5669…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d23e4…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3aa2d0…
06-11 16:03:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4b5b1…
06-11 13:11:28	kbo sam kt 2026 06 11	Samsung Lions	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf0f9e…
06-11 12:54:07	kbo sam kt 2026 06 11	Samsung Lions	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x9c8a82…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc866ca…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x41a255…
06-09 16:28:54	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcae720…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc24a05…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe16e84…
06-07 23:59:21	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1c3171…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x131d23…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0e729…