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Realized P&L (30d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
102
102 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$751
$751 lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$411
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-12 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
79% 50% +$1
Tech
21% 100% +$0
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 11-11 02:21
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 11-10 07:10
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 11-12 02:15
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? No +20 $16 84¢ $17 +$1 11-10 16:22
Will "Show Me What You Got" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +20 $15 81¢ $16 +$1 11-10 04:37
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +20 $9 81¢ $16 +$8 11-10 13:19
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1? Yes +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 11-12 03:52
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? No +20 $5 79¢ $16 +$11 11-10 12:17
Will OpenRouter process between 200T and 210T tokens the week of November 9? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 11-12 09:49
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.87% in November? Yes +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$2 11-10 16:55
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +19 $9 80¢ $15 +$6 11-10 16:21
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$2 11-12 09:19
Will US gas hit $4.05 (High) in November? No +20 $13 75¢ $15 +$2 11-10 11:25
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $182.5B by November 30? No +20 $17 74¢ $15 -$2 11-11 18:46
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.50 and $1.75 on November 30, 2026? Yes +21 $13 68¢ $14 +$1 11-11 03:48
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31? No +20 $9 67¢ $13 +$4 11-11 16:36
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 +$0 11-11 04:33
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? No +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 11-11 14:48
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +20 $11 61¢ $12 +$1 11-12 02:41
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +20 $13 60¢ $12 -$1 11-10 16:52
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +20 $16 57¢ $11 -$4 11-12 08:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? Yes +20 $12 57¢ $11 $0 11-12 09:55
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $8 56¢ $11 +$3 11-10 01:05
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $14 54¢ $11 -$3 11-11 01:55
Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO? Yes +20 $9 52¢ $10 +$2 11-10 11:30
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +20 $10 52¢ $10 +$0 11-10 18:54
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $9 50¢ $10 +$1 11-11 09:36
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $10 50¢ $10 $0 11-10 18:03
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? No +20 $10 50¢ $10 +$0 11-10 16:39
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +20 $10 50¢ $10 +$0 11-11 15:39