(anonymous) 0x7b9acd…f97908 Create alert
bot new 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
131
Trades
791
lifetime
Volume
$1.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$45
28 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-05 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
80% 66% -$6
Politics
18% 80% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 11-04 18:49
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 11-04 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 11-04 18:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 11-04 18:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 $0 11-04 21:00
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $0 11-04 17:41
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +4 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 11-04 18:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No — +3 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 11-05 00:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 11-02 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $2 83¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$0 11-04 18:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 17:45
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 $0 11-04 21:47
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +2 $2 93¢ $1 $0 11-02 16:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2 $1 98¢ $1 $0 11-04 20:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 89¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:20
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +1 $1 70¢ $0 -$1 11-05 00:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 $0 11-04 21:18
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +0 $0 29¢ $0 $0 11-04 21:50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 11-04 18:55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 11-04 19:12
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-04 18:30