Realized P&L (30d)
-$58
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
35.0%
Resolved (30d)
462
Trades (30d)
1,566
1,566 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.25K
$2.25K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$38
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-12 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
72% 40% -$50
Crypto
13% 40% +$2
Politics
10% 52% -$3
Sports
3% 11% -$6
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $0 11-04 18:24
Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 11-05 12:27
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:43
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-02 16:03
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:28
Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 14:51
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:27
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 98¢ $1 $0 11-06 09:27
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? No +2 $1 90¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:09
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $1 $0 11-05 07:31
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:12
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 $0 11-04 21:47
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? No +5 $2 29¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 89¢ $1 $0 11-02 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 81¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:20
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 $0 11-02 14:51
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 $0 11-02 14:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:20
Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +5 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 11-02 15:46
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 11-02 15:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 11-10 18:40
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 11-02 20:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $0 62¢ $0 $0 11-04 21:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-04 19:12