Realized P&L (7d)
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved (7d)
319
Trades (7d)
1,286
1,282 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.84K
$1.83K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$48
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-07 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
76% 47% -$35
Politics
13% 64% $0
Crypto
9% 38% -$5
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $0 11-04 18:24
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 11-04 18:34
Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$0 11-05 12:27
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 7? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-05 14:06
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:57
Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-07 13:06
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:28
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 11-02 16:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 11-04 21:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 15:20
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 16:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 09:27
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:27
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 99¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:20
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +2 $2 96¢ $1 $0 11-06 10:28
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 98¢ $1 $0 11-02 14:51
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $1 $0 11-05 07:31
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +2 $1 96¢ $1 $0 11-05 11:33
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5 Under +3 $2 52¢ $1 $0 11-07 13:49
D.C. United SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 Under +3 $2 48¢ $1 $0 11-07 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 7? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 $0 11-07 14:12
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:12
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 $0 11-05 07:40
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 $0 11-02 14:51
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 81¢ $1 $0 11-02 14:51
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? No +5 $2 29¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:09