Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,604
lifetime
Volume
$8.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$220
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 06-10 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-9
Politics
32% 0% $-5
Crypto
6%
Sports
2% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +72 $69 96¢ $69 +$0 06-09 07:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +41 $39 97¢ $40 +$0 06-08 08:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +38 $36 94¢ $36 $-0 06-07 22:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +36 $33 96¢ $35 +$1 06-09 21:29
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 94¢ $9 $-0 06-04 11:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +9 $7 76¢ $7 $-0 06-10 05:27
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 15:33
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-04 14:14
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +24 $3 12¢ $3 $-0 06-09 01:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 06-05 18:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +27 $4 $2 $-1 06-05 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +24 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-07 00:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +14 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 06-09 22:53
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +1 $0 91¢ $1 +$1 06-09 16:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1 $-2 97¢ $1 +$3 06-10 04:57
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:46
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$1 06-08 17:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $-3 98¢ $0 +$3 06-09 19:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $-2 24¢ $0 +$2 06-07 12:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-0 15¢ $0 +$1 06-09 00:16