Neat-Tug 0x7b9c12…759aa1
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Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,355
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$377
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 06-26 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53% 0% $-9
Politics
38% 0% $-5
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -95 $-91 100¢ $-94 $-3 06-15 20:58
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +58 $56 100¢ $58 +$1 06-14 18:36
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? No +54 $52 100¢ $54 +$2 06-13 03:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +43 $37 100¢ $43 +$6 06-14 14:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -33 $-31 100¢ $-33 $-1 06-14 20:43
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -24 $-23 100¢ $-24 $-1 06-14 10:05
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +18 $14 99¢ $18 +$4 06-15 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +16 $12 100¢ $16 +$4 06-14 22:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 06-15 20:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-8 100¢ $-7 +$1 06-16 23:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-10 100¢ $-6 +$4 06-20 05:32
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 15:33
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-12 14:03
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 06-09 16:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-12 16:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 06-12 20:18
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:46
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$1 06-11 19:30
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-14 17:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $-2 100¢ $0 +$3 06-11 17:31
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-20 18:29
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-15 08:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $-1 100¢ $0 +$1 06-13 15:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +222 $2 0¢ $0 $-1 06-15 02:19
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -18 $-3 1¢ $-0 +$3 06-14 21:29
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +12 $3 1¢ $0 $-3 06-20 18:52
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +0 $-6 99¢ $0 +$6 06-20 22:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +19 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-14 20:25
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +13 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-22 15:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-20 16:57