Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

201

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$531

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 11-01 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 58% -$66

Politics

20% 25% -$5

Other

19% 50% -$7

Sports

3% 38% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+67	$1	2¢	$2	+$1	10-31 09:20
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	10-26 16:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+2	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	10-27 16:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	10-25 18:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2	$1	68¢	$1	$0	10-25 00:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+37	$1	3¢	$1	$0	10-31 04:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+25	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-31 04:50
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+202	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-30 06:35
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	10-24 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	09-21 11:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	09-29 16:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-24 12:54
bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	1	$7	205	0	+205	Yes	-$7	09-30 01:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-30 02:15
bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	1	$6	79	0	+79	No	-$6	09-30 03:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	10-01 15:10
bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	1	$6	26	0	+26	Yes	-$6	09-30 03:25
will bitcoin reach 98k september 28 october 4 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-30 15:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	10-01 15:10
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	1	$5	18	0	+18	Yes	-$5	10-01 15:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 1?	1	$5	582	0	+582	No	-$5	10-01 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	10-01 16:10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	2	$5	26	26	+0	No	$0	09-05 14:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 1?	1	$4	496	0	+496	No	-$4	10-01 16:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	10-02 20:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-28 10:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	10-01 23:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-29 16:24
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-28 10:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-28 10:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-28 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:20:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xda76aa…
11-01 11:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xc20dbc…
11-01 08:05:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x77cd3c…
11-01 08:00:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$0	0xbed4f7…
11-01 06:25:28	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0d0980…
11-01 05:25:22	will bitcoin dip to 73k on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x733753…
11-01 05:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$0	0xbd3628…
11-01 05:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa36583…
11-01 04:25:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xd2da2a…
10-31 21:20:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe32a7d…
10-31 17:00:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4b32b8…
10-31 15:55:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x79c6c2…
10-31 14:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x44858b…
10-31 11:00:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x2df76c…
10-31 09:45:27	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x72c577…
10-31 09:20:24	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9a396a…
10-31 08:25:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xa40f9f…
10-31 07:35:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x7f12b1…
10-31 05:05:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe0a4f2…
10-31 05:00:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xef7deb…
10-31 04:50:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xd87600…
10-31 04:50:22	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xacca74…
10-31 04:50:22	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x69ae51…
10-31 04:30:25	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x49b853…
10-31 04:20:24	will bitcoin dip to 74k on october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x817c46…
10-31 04:10:21	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc66e06…
10-31 04:10:21	will bitcoin dip to 74k on october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x4e66a0…
10-31 04:10:21	will bitcoin dip to 73k on october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x252005…
10-31 02:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xb145b3…
10-31 02:05:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe42bbf…
10-30 17:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xc8a7c0…
10-30 17:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x2a6674…
10-30 08:05:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$1	0x32b4dc…
10-30 08:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0xf7ec93…
10-30 08:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x39b02d…
10-30 06:35:19	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0x2484c2…
10-30 05:05:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb292b2…
10-30 04:40:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0xdade6f…
10-30 04:35:22	will bitcoin dip to 71k on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0xa1bcdf…
10-30 02:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$0	0x1d6e41…
10-29 23:35:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x751581…
10-29 22:05:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x196637…
10-29 21:40:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc93e1d…
10-29 20:20:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x5a9d6d…
10-29 17:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x4808f9…
10-29 16:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2f4bf2…
10-29 04:45:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbe184a…
10-29 04:25:23	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 29 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9e7b71…
10-29 04:20:20	will bitcoin reach 81k on october 29 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfaef87…
10-29 04:20:20	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 29 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x792ee4…
10-29 04:15:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x650771…
10-28 20:15:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x15000b…
10-28 17:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc4450e…
10-28 17:35:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcdcfa2…
10-28 17:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x383e6e…
10-28 04:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4f9574…
10-28 04:30:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd0809f…
10-28 04:25:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x764f82…
10-28 04:15:25	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 28 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7b38e4…
10-27 21:35:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x288137…
10-27 17:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3a1635…
10-27 17:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x116d98…
10-27 16:35:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x747bdc…
10-27 16:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8338ae…
10-27 14:05:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xda2ced…
10-27 05:35:21	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x805c1c…
10-27 05:05:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x2c9979…
10-27 04:20:24	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x676ae9…
10-27 04:15:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf75e36…
10-27 04:10:27	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa157b…
10-27 04:10:27	will bitcoin dip to 76k on october 27 2026	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xd11f7a…
10-27 04:10:27	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba6f6e…
10-26 21:25:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x121278…
10-26 17:20:29	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdf1835…
10-26 17:20:27	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xba8edb…
10-26 17:20:27	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb12acc…
10-26 17:20:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e4fda…
10-26 17:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a0235…
10-26 17:00:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xa0fa45…
10-26 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad988f…
10-26 16:15:26	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3fb758…
10-26 16:10:26	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0eed0f…
10-26 08:20:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0e2ab…
10-26 08:00:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x3ebcec…
10-26 08:00:23	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x03759c…
10-26 07:55:21	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x3afeb7…
10-26 05:20:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5202a5…
10-26 05:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05a907…
10-26 05:15:27	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5681fa…
10-26 05:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x318d30…
10-26 05:10:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4134af…
10-26 05:05:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x0b5f67…
10-25 23:05:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x931fcd…
10-25 23:05:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x8b5420…
10-25 20:05:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9f566c…
10-25 19:55:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2df018…
10-25 19:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa91782…
10-25 19:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x895e79…
10-25 18:45:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3c0396…
10-25 18:35:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0x6594d2…