Unfinished-Memo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$812

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$2,040

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes		+123	$60	0¢	$0	$-60	05-14 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$5.2K	2,630	3,990	-1,360	No	+$1,363	05-06 16:42
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$4.0K	5,883	3,157	+2,726	open	—	05-14 04:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$2.2K	3,567	0	+3,567	Yes	$-1,071	05-08 07:25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1.7K	0	2,789	-2,789	Yes	+$1,749	05-06 08:09
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	4	$711	2,547	0	+2,547	open	—	05-10 17:40
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	3	$337	2,017	0	+2,017	open	—	05-10 22:22
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	1	$223	268	0	+268	open	—	05-10 05:46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$60	123	0	+123	open	—	05-14 06:16
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	1	$1	0	600	-600	open	—	05-12 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:16:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0x1950ef…
05-14 04:50:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3,157	99¢	$3,122	0xa22d3c…
05-13 20:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,698	18¢	$308	0x166fe0…
05-13 19:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,185	15¢	$616	0xf6ba18…
05-12 21:41:35	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x6ae9e0…
05-10 22:22:02	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	127	15¢	$19	0x70efbc…
05-10 17:40:57	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	914	25¢	$228	0x173f94…
05-10 14:16:29	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	355	21¢	$74	0x6aa78d…
05-10 05:46:39	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	BUY	268	83¢	$223	0x15fadd…
05-10 05:13:31	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	1,310	19¢	$250	0xec7f6c…
05-10 05:13:09	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x693ad4…
05-09 13:48:32	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	1,228	32¢	$399	0x800570…
05-09 10:30:03	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	580	12¢	$67	0xd1fa57…
05-08 07:25:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,164	19¢	$219	0x46b514…
05-07 06:58:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2,404	84¢	$2,016	0xad8f46…
05-06 16:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	SELL	3,990	100¢	$3,986	0xad7504…
05-06 08:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2,630	48¢	$1,264	0xd69b27…
05-06 08:09:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	SELL	2,789	63¢	$1,749	0x0af370…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	5	$14.3K	428	05-14 19:41
Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978	5	$3.43K	40	05-14 19:29
Sarcastic-Homeownership 0x9696…0861	5	$1.46K	16	05-14 16:24
Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c	5	$1.42K	17	05-14 03:31
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	5	$1.42K	64	05-14 20:47
Idealistic-Freezing 0x878a…a429	5	$954	20	05-14 12:49
Ondra 0x849c…4009	5	$863	46	05-14 19:23
Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57	5	$819	20	05-14 19:37