Realized P&L
-$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
23.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$39.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$303
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 07-14 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
52%
13%
-$8,308
Other
37%
20%
-$4,628
Sports
11%
33%
-$678
Crypto
0%
0%
-$154
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 8 | $3.4K | 65,903 | 65,903 | +0 | No | -$1,154 | 06-08 12:30 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8 | $3.4K | 9,022 | 9,022 | +0 | No | +$95 | 07-12 03:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 10 | $3.3K | 188,317 | 188,317 | +0 | No | -$405 | 04-22 07:13 |
| iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149 | 10 | $3.3K | 21,548 | 16,919 | +4,629 | No | -$1,286 | 07-14 21:24 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 4 | $2.7K | 14,523 | 14,523 | +0 | Yes | -$2,336 | 05-25 23:25 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 7 | $2.3K | 43,648 | 43,648 | +0 | No | -$1,517 | 05-25 23:27 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 3 | $2.3K | 9,998 | 9,998 | +0 | No | +$94 | 05-25 22:54 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | 5 | $1.9K | 19,860 | 19,860 | +0 | No | -$321 | 06-22 22:26 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 3 | $1.9K | 17,443 | 7,068 | +10,375 | No | -$74 | 06-14 12:28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 6 | $1.9K | 7,183 | 7,183 | +0 | No | +$39 | 04-23 19:50 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 10 | 4 | $1.7K | 24,077 | 0 | +24,077 | No | -$1,697 | 06-10 21:03 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 11 | $1.7K | 37,154 | 29,172 | +7,982 | No | -$360 | 06-09 18:46 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 8 | $1.6K | 30,370 | 9,162 | +21,208 | No | -$962 | 05-26 09:38 |
| will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054 | 2 | $1.5K | 5,088 | 5,088 | +0 | Yes | +$526 | 06-17 14:11 |
| israel closes its airspace by july 15 182 | 8 | $1.2K | 10,551 | 10,551 | +0 | No | -$487 | 07-12 23:32 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 9 | 3 | $700 | 15,194 | 0 | +15,194 | No | -$700 | 06-09 23:09 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $688 | 21,288 | 12,452 | +8,836 | No | -$271 | 05-18 19:41 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $670 | 11,012 | 0 | +11,012 | No | -$670 | 07-06 19:59 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | 2 | $568 | 709 | 709 | +0 | No | -$72 | 05-22 22:01 |
| iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148 | 2 | $566 | 6,022 | 6,022 | +0 | No | -$554 | 07-01 19:46 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 8 | 2 | $498 | 3,675 | 0 | +3,675 | No | -$498 | 06-08 18:41 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 1 | $498 | 11,344 | 0 | +11,344 | Yes | -$498 | 06-07 22:11 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30? | 1 | $133 | 5,546 | 0 | +5,546 | No | -$133 | 04-24 18:55 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2 | $133 | 21,226 | 0 | +21,226 | No | -$133 | 05-28 16:24 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $132 | 7,356 | 7,356 | +0 | No | -$103 | 07-12 03:33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | 3 | $119 | 3,565 | 0 | +3,565 | Down | -$119 | 05-26 21:54 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | 1 | $99 | 11,003 | 0 | +11,003 | No | -$99 | 06-22 22:02 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 3 | $39 | 4,514 | 0 | +4,514 | No | -$39 | 06-24 09:08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | 1 | $25 | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | Up | -$25 | 05-26 22:04 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 2 | $15 | 189 | 189 | +0 | No | +$1 | 04-19 16:19 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||