Keen-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,250

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-30 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

65% 100% +$23

Politics

18% — —

Other

16% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	5	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-10 02:38
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	381	$1.5K	396,295	278,371	+117,925	open	—	01-28 19:26
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	286	$623	7,456	6,781	+675	open	—	02-05 10:36
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	492	$619	21,973	24,896	-2,923	open	—	02-18 05:11
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	154	$583	58,916	53,896	+5,020	open	—	02-18 01:22
will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	18	$571	1,505	1,127	+377	open	—	07-19 17:18
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	311	$432	12,765	12,766	-1	open	—	01-28 07:03
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	222	$396	14,142	50,982	-36,839	open	—	02-03 10:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 14:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 18:37
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	201	$331	5,531	7,533	-2,002	open	—	02-02 23:12
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	123	$327	38,880	50,077	-11,196	open	—	02-04 08:11
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	205	$323	7,950	7,986	-36	No	+$17	02-18 05:07
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	164	$282	30,000	41,927	-11,927	open	—	02-04 02:55
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	287	$277	6,852	6,943	-91	open	—	02-09 19:32
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	170	$247	23,427	23,953	-527	open	—	02-03 06:51
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	73	$229	5,000	22,968	-17,968	open	—	02-10 06:59
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	145	$197	69,129	38,115	+31,014	open	—	02-18 01:33
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	92	$170	25,000	34,975	-9,975	open	—	02-05 21:01
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?	303	$135	8,665	12,406	-3,741	open	—	01-21 19:53
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	92	$111	10,000	22,497	-12,497	open	—	02-02 12:14
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	58	$108	18,808	29,987	-11,180	open	—	01-21 21:47
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?	170	$102	7,486	8,000	-514	open	—	01-26 22:53
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	3	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 13:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$84	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-06 10:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 10:49
uel ben stg 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	1	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	07-30 15:29
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	01-19 12:45
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	01-14 05:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	01-13 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 15:29:17	uel ben stg 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x6321ae…
07-19 17:18:58	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	SELL	700	21¢	$147	0xcbc809…
07-19 16:29:04	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x2b9fe5…
07-19 16:24:21	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	SELL	364	22¢	$80	0x2a581c…
07-19 16:21:55	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xd64ccb…
07-19 16:15:06	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x9f112b…
07-18 07:42:24	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x11fff1…
07-17 18:07:57	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xbfe54a…
07-17 13:36:00	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x3677d8…
07-17 13:35:49	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x35c0eb…
07-17 13:35:40	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8de4d9…
07-17 13:35:40	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x81d132…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xfe62cb…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0xd0c9db…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc99f03…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x2e9c55…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x25eaea…
07-17 13:35:37	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x1e0591…
07-17 13:35:36	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	Yes	BUY	1,405	22¢	$308	0xef8de6…
07-01 23:56:22	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	110	17¢	$19	0x8cedc2…
06-22 08:58:41	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x16022b…
06-22 05:00:56	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbedf26…
06-21 22:13:56	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xac0d23…
06-14 13:42:55	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xb75169…
06-14 13:35:49	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x64da9a…
06-14 13:34:19	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0xbaeadf…
06-14 13:32:10	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xb995b6…
06-14 13:31:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe4e921…
06-14 13:31:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x35c466…
06-14 13:30:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x153fbb…
06-14 13:27:37	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 5pt5	Germany	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x83fdec…
06-11 05:30:10	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x0ea032…
06-11 04:34:51	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x3747d8…
06-02 14:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8b30a6…
05-26 15:15:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xe71b67…
05-26 15:11:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x59a13e…
05-26 15:10:15	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb881a9…
04-26 05:36:30	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x82762d…
04-26 04:25:54	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcedb5a…
04-25 23:16:42	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x495e32…
04-25 18:41:00	Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbccd36…
04-25 18:37:32	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x468ab9…
04-25 17:27:04	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x265f0a…
04-25 08:33:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xffb730…
04-24 23:32:28	Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa528d0…
04-24 20:32:08	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x52e91f…
04-24 17:42:36	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc9fea3…
04-24 16:26:16	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa9c6a2…
04-24 15:07:08	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb7b47d…
04-24 15:06:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2aa301…
04-24 14:57:56	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdcf647…
04-20 15:00:08	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 wes	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3f4f6e…
04-19 11:58:42	epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbd68c8…
04-19 10:48:24	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 nap	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x16f70e…
04-19 10:48:08	sea lec fio 2026 04 20 lec	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe69b60…
04-19 10:47:50	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x871c12…
04-19 10:47:10	sea ver mil 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6ce7c2…
04-19 10:46:24	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x24ad85…
04-19 10:45:48	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x504d0f…
04-15 21:03:00	col az shd 2026 04 16 spread home 2pt5	AZ	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x731445…
04-15 17:44:56	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc8770b…
04-15 17:32:18	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5c33ed…
04-15 17:31:20	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x981dd4…
04-15 17:30:08	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x4cc705…
04-14 11:26:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdf5839…
04-14 11:24:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9d24c0…
04-13 07:13:07	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xee5011…
04-13 07:13:07	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x54da7f…
04-12 11:26:59	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4037e0…
04-12 11:26:35	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x558c15…
04-09 12:54:31	uel por1 not 2026 04 09 por1	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe93c87…
04-06 10:26:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,016	1¢	$20	0x5e1ef3…
04-06 10:23:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$7	0x860e09…
04-06 10:21:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xaffad3…
04-06 10:19:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xd2c5cb…
04-01 23:32:27	cbb nmx tulsa 2026 04 02	New Mexico Lobos	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x5a1871…
04-01 23:22:03	cbb nmx tulsa 2026 04 02	New Mexico Lobos	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed24f1…
04-01 18:49:35	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7735a4…
04-01 18:37:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf86f02…
04-01 18:35:59	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9a2b89…
03-29 23:18:26	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x65b4e0…
03-29 23:18:14	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x85a402…
03-29 23:17:42	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa10e77…
03-29 23:17:22	uef cze den 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8d5b3e…
03-27 23:46:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0xf6956e…
03-27 23:45:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaad194…
03-27 23:45:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	148	83¢	$123	0xeb6497…
03-25 01:28:53	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 svk	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x380f3f…
03-25 01:28:25	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	Yes	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x1859b6…
03-25 01:28:09	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 wal	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xa2ba6b…
03-25 01:27:15	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x735a46…
03-25 01:26:45	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xebe8a4…
03-25 01:26:23	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xed99c7…
03-21 20:28:53	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 psg	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x93f088…
03-20 22:37:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x246097…
03-05 04:59:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$5	0x3b3b7c…
03-05 01:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0x684ba0…
03-05 01:11:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$36	0xf51e03…
03-01 13:27:47	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0faf3a…
03-01 13:23:05	lal val osa 2026 03 01 val	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc63d8d…