Suspicious-Repair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$858

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$290.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$631

Open exposure

$12.1K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-16 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

80% 90% +$10,804

Politics

17% 78% -$4,295

Tech

3% 100% +$15

Sports

0% 0% -$1,000

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,557	$5,574	94¢	$6.1K	+$557	10-10 10:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+2,087	$1,920	92¢	$1.9K	+$10	10-10 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+1,500	$1,410	95¢	$1.4K	+$15	10-09 02:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,506	$1,100	88¢	$1.3K	+$233	10-02 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	+1,297	$1,238	99¢	$1.3K	+$42	10-10 22:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$41.0K	23,431	23,431	+0	No	+$3,816	06-27 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$15.6K	17,372	0	+17,372	No	+$1,754	05-26 15:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$9.3K	10,248	0	+10,248	Yes	+$938	07-29 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$8.1K	8,600	0	+8,600	No	+$514	05-04 12:10
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	3	$7.1K	5,951	5,951	+0	Yes	-$1,533	08-31 01:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	23	$7.0K	4,024	4,024	+0	No	+$1,014	05-11 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$6.2K	4,281	4,281	+0	No	+$34	04-08 02:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	1	$6.2K	6,595	0	+6,595	No	+$396	09-03 04:20
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	5	$5.9K	3,050	3,050	+0	No	+$19	08-13 03:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$5.8K	2,931	2,931	+0	No	+$89	04-30 12:47
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$5.7K	5,767	0	+5,767	No	+$87	07-30 00:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	12	$5.6K	6,557	0	+6,557	open	—	10-10 10:48
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	1	$5.0K	5,082	0	+5,082	No	+$82	07-21 10:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$4.6K	6,171	0	+6,171	Yes	-$4,570	04-08 02:20
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	1	$4.3K	4,457	0	+4,457	No	+$107	08-19 13:16
will wti reach 115 in august 2026	3	$4.3K	4,596	0	+4,596	No	+$255	08-02 04:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$4.2K	4,373	0	+4,373	No	+$156	08-04 13:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	5	$4.2K	4,491	0	+4,491	open	—	10-10 10:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$42	04-30 12:47
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$3.9K	4,077	0	+4,077	No	+$150	07-21 18:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	13	$3.8K	3,892	0	+3,892	No	+$93	03-28 03:16
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$3.4K	2,774	1,524	+1,249	Yes	+$817	01-29 00:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	21	$3.3K	3,681	0	+3,681	open	—	10-08 03:40
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	7	$3.2K	1,756	1,756	-0	No	-$186	03-25 10:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	18	$3.2K	3,403	0	+3,403	No	+$252	02-28 08:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	3	$3.1K	3,195	0	+3,195	No	+$116	09-15 00:43
us strike on colombia by january 31	3	$3.0K	3,079	0	+3,079	No	+$59	01-29 00:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$3.0K	3,409	0	+3,409	No	+$389	08-03 09:33
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$3.0K	1,580	1,580	+0	No	-$14	03-04 10:06
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	4	$2.9K	1,480	1,480	+0	No	+$8	03-03 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 02:02:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc8bf75…
10-16 02:02:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1538ab…
10-16 02:02:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb3af42…
10-16 02:02:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xf8b378…
10-14 12:49:53	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb34082…
10-10 22:03:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	514	95¢	$487	0x3e0b33…
10-10 21:31:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9e0b82…
10-10 21:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x31ae21…
10-10 21:29:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	237	95¢	$224	0x9e1fe4…
10-10 21:28:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x2877bd…
10-10 10:48:31	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xc75178…
10-10 10:47:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	94¢	$2,350	0xa8601c…
10-10 10:47:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	589	93¢	$548	0x20173c…
10-09 06:56:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x0d9e1e…
10-09 06:55:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x153c5d…
10-09 06:55:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0c6ae7…
10-09 06:55:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$314	0xe41bc6…
10-09 06:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xd256bc…
10-09 02:54:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x341028…
10-09 00:46:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x4186be…
10-08 11:08:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x9c277b…
10-08 11:08:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x23dd1f…
10-08 11:07:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa3628c…
10-08 04:38:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9d6f73…
10-08 03:40:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	236	94¢	$221	0x2e699d…
10-08 03:30:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x61f975…
10-08 03:30:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd0cd5c…
10-08 03:30:37	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee722f…
10-08 03:28:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x2d06e5…
10-08 03:28:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0xb04ee7…
10-08 03:28:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x071ed8…
10-08 03:28:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x022173…
10-08 03:28:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$70	0xd5b6fe…
10-08 03:26:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	750	94¢	$704	0x512e6d…
10-08 03:26:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8ba7c4…
10-08 03:26:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	153	92¢	$141	0xde2087…
10-08 03:26:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x108255…
10-08 03:26:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x7683cd…
10-07 02:08:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x2ec648…
10-07 01:32:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	220	87¢	$191	0x24f097…
10-07 01:32:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	125	86¢	$108	0xbbe4e8…
10-07 01:31:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	130	85¢	$110	0x18213b…
10-07 01:31:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x4767ee…
10-07 01:31:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xda9fd2…
10-05 01:57:40	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe12e34…
10-05 01:57:34	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x9ee621…
10-05 01:57:32	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x959894…
10-05 01:57:28	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xee93ae…
10-05 01:57:25	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x40dc62…
10-04 22:06:59	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x76c7c2…
10-04 13:59:10	will the 30 year treasury yield dip below 5pt25 in october	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x5b29fa…
10-04 13:58:34	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt85 in october	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xe868f6…
10-04 03:09:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x5c00ed…
10-04 03:09:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	327	90¢	$293	0xac8bb6…
10-03 02:18:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	131	93¢	$122	0xb300c1…
10-03 02:18:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	170	92¢	$157	0x46f2e2…
10-02 17:36:59	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	550	92¢	$506	0x4f0b89…
10-02 17:36:44	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x6ba3c6…
10-02 17:36:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	94¢	$1,034	0xd6e44a…
10-02 17:34:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xe52bab…
10-02 14:53:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	70¢	$525	0x2c29a5…
10-02 02:50:38	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x951c63…
10-02 02:50:35	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xadd77a…
10-02 02:50:30	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcaceba…
10-02 02:50:26	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x472ffe…
10-02 02:50:21	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x239007…
10-02 02:32:05	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb63768…
10-02 02:32:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	702	76¢	$533	0xe223f8…
10-02 02:31:59	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x81ac9d…
10-02 02:31:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0x5e9aa1…
10-02 02:30:42	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	83¢	$628	0xab0cec…
10-02 02:30:36	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	82¢	$127	0x4826fc…
10-01 23:51:00	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8195b7…
10-01 23:50:24	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	356	90¢	$320	0x060595…
10-01 23:50:17	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x4fe62d…
10-01 23:50:08	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4eba0d…
10-01 23:50:06	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	581	88¢	$511	0x7dfbb1…
10-01 23:50:00	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xee02fb…
10-01 00:26:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in october 2026	No	BUY	415	76¢	$316	0xbdcea1…
10-01 00:25:54	will xauusd dip to 3900 in october 2026	No	BUY	176	73¢	$129	0xafd721…
10-01 00:25:33	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0x9a686b…
10-01 00:24:14	will xauusd dip to 3800 in october 2026	No	BUY	278	90¢	$250	0x0df243…
09-21 23:41:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	358	97¢	$347	0xa3a283…
09-21 08:07:15	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x26dabd…
09-21 08:06:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0x793b4c…
09-17 05:39:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	426	97¢	$412	0x92e13e…
09-17 05:39:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xa18cbc…
09-17 05:38:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	BUY	720	98¢	$706	0xd439c7…
09-17 05:38:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x071959…
09-17 02:10:25	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x8c015c…
09-17 02:10:22	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xed54b8…
09-17 02:10:19	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xcd5af1…
09-17 02:09:36	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x395adf…
09-17 02:09:31	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x13f779…
09-17 02:09:28	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x64fed7…
09-17 02:09:22	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	932	98¢	$911	0xfe3249…
09-17 02:09:18	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0x74c3b0…
09-15 20:51:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	1,552	97¢	$1,500	0x9675c9…
09-15 13:19:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,700	87¢	$1,479	0xe05ef8…
09-15 00:43:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	2,433	96¢	$2,345	0xb458fd…