Realized P&L (90d)
+$708
Unrealized P&L
+$656
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved (90d)
30
Trades (90d)
217
550 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$63.8K
$301.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$548
Open exposure
$23.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-11 02:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
78% 90% +$10,349
Politics
16% 79% -$4,128
Tech
6% 100% +$15
Sports
0% 0% -$1,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,557 $5,574 98¢ $6.4K +$859 10-10 10:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +5,891 $5,498 93¢ $5.5K -$40 11-09 09:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,017 $2,565 98¢ $2.9K +$377 11-11 02:13
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +2,492 $2,338 96¢ $2.4K +$52 11-06 00:40
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +1,660 $1,559 94¢ $1.6K +$2 11-06 00:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? No +1,060 $986 80¢ $853 -$132 11-04 00:25
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +800 $737 90¢ $722 -$16 11-06 00:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +699 $644 97¢ $676 +$32 11-11 02:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +618 $580 97¢ $597 +$17 11-11 02:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +505 $481 97¢ $492 +$11 11-11 02:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +423 $399 99¢ $418 +$19 11-04 00:25
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +399 $299 85¢ $340 +$42 11-11 02:29
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +3,596 $628 4¢ $140 -$488 11-06 00:30
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? Yes +3,000 $111 1¢ $33 -$78 11-11 02:28