Realized P&L (90d)
+$692
Unrealized P&L
+$847
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved (90d)
29
Trades (90d)
216
550 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$62.4K
$301.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$548
Open exposure
$23.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-11 02:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
78% 90% +$10,349
Politics
16% 79% -$4,128
Tech
6% 100% +$15
Sports
0% 0% -$1,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,557 $5,574 98¢ $6.4K +$859 10-10 10:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +5,891 $5,498 93¢ $5.5K -$17 11-09 09:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,017 $2,565 98¢ $3.0K +$404 11-11 02:13
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +2,492 $2,338 95¢ $2.4K +$27 11-06 00:40
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +1,660 $1,559 94¢ $1.6K $0 11-06 00:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? No +1,060 $986 86¢ $917 -$69 11-04 00:25
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +800 $737 93¢ $747 +$10 11-06 00:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +699 $644 96¢ $672 +$29 11-11 02:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +618 $580 96¢ $595 +$15 11-11 02:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +505 $481 97¢ $491 +$10 11-11 02:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +423 $399 99¢ $417 +$18 11-04 00:25
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +399 $299 94¢ $374 +$76 11-11 02:29
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +3,596 $628 5¢ $182 -$447 11-06 00:30
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? Yes +3,000 $111 1¢ $44 -$68 11-11 02:28