Suspicious-Repair — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$708

Unrealized P&L

+$453

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

188

519 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$66.1K

$297.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$574

Open exposure

$19.3K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-09 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

79% 90% +$10,349

Politics

17% 79% -$4,128

Tech

4% 100% +$15

Sports

0% 0% -$1,000

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,557	$5,574	98¢	$6.4K	+$849	10-10 10:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	+5,891	$5,498	92¢	$5.4K	-$61	11-09 09:41
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+2,492	$2,338	95¢	$2.4K	+$27	11-06 00:40
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	+1,660	$1,559	94¢	$1.6K	-$5	11-06 00:28
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,506	$1,100	96¢	$1.4K	+$349	10-02 14:53
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+800	$737	96¢	$764	+$27	11-06 00:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	No	+1,060	$986	68¢	$721	-$265	11-04 00:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	+423	$399	98¢	$415	+$16	11-04 00:25
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+3,596	$628	4¢	$144	-$484	11-06 00:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$41.0K	23,431	23,431	+0	No	+$3,816	06-27 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$15.6K	17,372	0	+17,372	No	+$1,754	05-26 15:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$9.3K	10,248	0	+10,248	Yes	+$938	07-29 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$8.1K	8,600	0	+8,600	No	+$514	05-04 12:10
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	3	$7.1K	5,951	5,951	+0	Yes	-$1,533	08-31 01:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	23	$7.0K	4,024	4,024	+0	No	+$1,014	05-11 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$6.2K	4,281	4,281	+0	No	+$34	04-08 02:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	1	$6.2K	6,595	0	+6,595	No	+$396	09-03 04:20
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	5	$5.9K	3,050	3,050	+0	No	+$19	08-13 03:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$5.8K	2,931	2,931	+0	No	+$89	04-30 12:47
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$5.7K	5,767	0	+5,767	No	+$87	07-30 00:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	12	$5.6K	6,557	0	+6,557	open	—	10-10 10:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	13	$5.5K	5,891	0	+5,891	open	—	11-09 09:41
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	1	$5.0K	5,082	0	+5,082	No	+$82	07-21 10:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$4.6K	6,171	0	+6,171	Yes	-$4,570	04-08 02:20
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	1	$4.3K	4,457	0	+4,457	No	+$107	08-19 13:16
will wti reach 115 in august 2026	3	$4.3K	4,596	0	+4,596	No	+$255	08-02 04:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$4.2K	4,373	0	+4,373	No	+$156	08-04 13:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$42	04-30 12:47
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$3.9K	4,077	0	+4,077	No	+$150	07-21 18:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	13	$3.8K	3,892	0	+3,892	No	+$93	03-28 03:16
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$3.4K	2,774	1,524	+1,249	Yes	+$817	01-29 00:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	21	$3.3K	3,681	0	+3,681	No	+$350	10-08 03:40
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	7	$3.2K	1,756	1,756	-0	No	-$186	03-25 10:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	18	$3.2K	3,403	0	+3,403	No	+$252	02-28 08:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	3	$3.1K	3,195	0	+3,195	No	+$116	09-15 00:43
us strike on colombia by january 31	3	$3.0K	3,079	0	+3,079	No	+$59	01-29 00:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$3.0K	3,409	0	+3,409	No	+$389	08-03 09:33
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$3.0K	1,580	1,580	+0	No	-$14	03-04 10:06
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	4	$2.9K	1,480	1,480	+0	No	+$8	03-03 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 09:41:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	225	92¢	$208	0x8531b2…
11-09 09:41:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	182	92¢	$169	0x8a0953…
11-09 09:41:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb756f0…
11-09 09:41:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xf38530…
11-08 01:09:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x69168d…
11-08 01:09:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	676	91¢	$618	0x8b10d3…
11-07 07:05:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x829f0e…
11-07 07:05:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xb0de43…
11-06 00:41:33	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x25c4ae…
11-06 00:41:21	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	347	92¢	$319	0x78ba4e…
11-06 00:40:43	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x1d167d…
11-06 00:30:48	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	580	6¢	$35	0x75ceee…
11-06 00:28:33	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	751	96¢	$721	0xfb0ca7…
11-05 21:19:37	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xb32c46…
11-05 21:19:37	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3a12e3…
11-05 13:30:46	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xa7fdf1…
11-05 13:30:40	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	136	92¢	$126	0x2c6bb1…
11-05 13:30:34	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xce1e97…
11-05 13:30:28	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x71dd9c…
11-05 13:29:21	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$26	0x7b122d…
11-05 13:28:55	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	126	7¢	$9	0xc04d66…
11-05 13:28:03	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	1,500	94¢	$1,410	0xac98ec…
11-05 13:27:40	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	642	93¢	$597	0xf43536…
11-05 13:27:34	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0x2014e0…
11-05 03:45:57	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xd22085…
11-05 03:43:12	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	88	14¢	$12	0x42e05e…
11-05 03:42:49	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xddef42…
11-05 03:42:48	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xeece5c…
11-05 03:42:30	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	49	18¢	$9	0x0b2ff5…
11-05 03:41:54	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	87	20¢	$17	0x09f2aa…
11-05 00:42:10	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4168ee…
11-05 00:42:06	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x85da10…
11-05 00:42:03	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x557fd0…
11-05 00:42:00	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	76	23¢	$17	0xc0c707…
11-05 00:41:57	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	82	22¢	$18	0x92f256…
11-05 00:41:06	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	464	20¢	$92	0x2fd961…
11-05 00:40:58	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x3f95ac…
11-05 00:40:51	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x83dcc6…
11-05 00:40:39	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	2,975	14¢	$417	0xea53c2…
11-05 00:40:33	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0xeb1311…
11-05 00:40:28	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xd61198…
11-05 00:40:25	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	152	11¢	$17	0x8e4e1a…
11-05 00:40:24	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x7dbf4c…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xd60046…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xabaf70…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x97022d…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x8e20a6…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x41a960…
11-05 00:40:19	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x2bd648…
11-05 00:40:15	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	258	7¢	$18	0x7299e6…
11-04 15:45:42	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x36f081…
11-04 15:44:21	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0x5e87d5…
11-04 15:43:43	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	389	16¢	$62	0x0f7255…
11-04 15:43:30	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x46119e…
11-04 15:43:30	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x29358d…
11-04 15:43:18	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xf197c2…
11-04 00:25:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	No	BUY	1,060	93¢	$986	0xa3539d…
11-04 00:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	423	94¢	$399	0xba447c…
11-02 23:39:19	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	274	93¢	$255	0x4360f6…
10-16 02:02:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc8bf75…
10-16 02:02:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1538ab…
10-16 02:02:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb3af42…
10-16 02:02:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xf8b378…
10-14 12:49:53	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb34082…
10-10 22:03:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	514	95¢	$487	0x3e0b33…
10-10 21:31:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9e0b82…
10-10 21:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x31ae21…
10-10 21:29:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	237	95¢	$224	0x9e1fe4…
10-10 21:28:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x2877bd…
10-10 10:48:31	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xc75178…
10-10 10:47:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	94¢	$2,350	0xa8601c…
10-10 10:47:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	589	93¢	$548	0x20173c…
10-09 06:56:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x0d9e1e…
10-09 06:55:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x153c5d…
10-09 06:55:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0c6ae7…
10-09 06:55:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$314	0xe41bc6…
10-09 06:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xd256bc…
10-09 02:54:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x341028…
10-09 00:46:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x4186be…
10-08 11:08:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x9c277b…
10-08 11:08:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x23dd1f…
10-08 11:07:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa3628c…
10-08 04:38:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9d6f73…
10-08 03:40:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	236	94¢	$221	0x2e699d…
10-08 03:30:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x61f975…
10-08 03:30:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd0cd5c…
10-08 03:30:37	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee722f…
10-08 03:28:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x2d06e5…
10-08 03:28:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0xb04ee7…
10-08 03:28:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x071ed8…
10-08 03:28:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x022173…
10-08 03:28:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$70	0xd5b6fe…
10-08 03:26:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	750	94¢	$704	0x512e6d…
10-08 03:26:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8ba7c4…
10-08 03:26:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	153	92¢	$141	0xde2087…
10-08 03:26:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x108255…
10-08 03:26:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x7683cd…
10-07 02:08:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x2ec648…
10-07 01:32:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	220	87¢	$191	0x24f097…
10-07 01:32:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	125	86¢	$108	0xbbe4e8…