Realized P&L (30d)
-$288
Unrealized P&L
+$434
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
64
519 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.72K
$297.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$574
Open exposure
$19.3K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-09 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
79% 90% +$10,349
Politics
17% 79% -$4,128
Tech
4% 100% +$15
Sports
0% 0% -$1,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,557 $5,574 98¢ $6.4K +$843 10-10 10:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +5,891 $5,498 92¢ $5.4K -$61 11-09 09:41
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +2,492 $2,338 95¢ $2.4K +$27 11-06 00:40
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +1,660 $1,559 94¢ $1.6K -$5 11-06 00:28
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,506 $1,100 96¢ $1.4K +$348 10-02 14:53
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +800 $737 96¢ $764 +$27 11-06 00:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? No +1,060 $986 67¢ $710 -$276 11-04 00:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +423 $399 98¢ $415 +$15 11-04 00:25
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +3,596 $628 4¢ $144 -$484 11-06 00:30