Whirlwind-Script — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$109

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-04 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

51% 94% +$31

Crypto

21% 100% +$8

Politics

17% 100% +$15

Tech

11% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?	Yes		+77	$70	92¢	$71	+$1	11-04 08:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No		+40	$38	95¢	$38	+$0	11-04 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$260	273	0	+273	No	+$13	04-19 06:09
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	03-31 06:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$240	246	0	+246	Yes	+$6	02-14 10:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	1	$222	224	0	+224	Yes	+$2	02-09 08:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$220	229	0	+229	No	+$9	01-22 07:19
cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	1	$200	208	0	+208	Vitality	+$8	04-04 16:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$190	196	0	+196	Yes	+$6	06-05 05:18
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	06-27 09:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$180	182	0	+182	No	+$2	05-16 04:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$160	95	71	+24	No	+$4	05-27 04:45
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$160	161	0	+161	Yes	+$1	07-03 09:48
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	1	$155	158	0	+158	Yes	+$3	03-04 08:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$140	141	0	+141	Yes	+$1	09-26 05:30
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	08-05 05:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	09-18 11:56
will solana dip to 120 january 12 18	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	01-16 07:42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$136	88	88	+0	Team WE	-$24	05-30 12:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	09-22 05:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$134	136	0	+136	Yes	+$2	09-18 11:55
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	1	$125	128	0	+128	No	+$3	08-05 05:37
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	1	$110	113	0	+113	No	+$3	07-03 09:49
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	03-04 08:37
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	01-16 07:43
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	1	$77	81	0	+81	T1	+$4	06-27 09:13
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?	1	$70	77	0	+77	open	—	11-04 08:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	10-13 05:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$62	63	0	+63	No	+$1	06-05 05:20
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	05-30 12:50
will ethereum dip to 1800 march 30 april 5	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-04 16:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	11-04 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:13:07	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x1433f1…
11-04 08:12:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x191d19…
10-13 05:39:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x490e17…
10-13 05:39:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x07f29c…
09-26 05:30:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x80db5d…
09-22 05:12:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0xf89fde…
09-18 11:56:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x4448ae…
09-18 11:55:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x6e9559…
08-05 05:38:15	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x881d6f…
08-05 05:37:42	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0x5cc3aa…
07-03 09:49:38	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x02918f…
07-03 09:48:38	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x910919…
06-27 09:13:35	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xdc8f8b…
06-27 09:12:43	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x1006f2…
06-05 05:20:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x459649…
06-05 05:18:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0x5a79b4…
05-30 12:50:34	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdc9ba8…
05-30 12:49:52	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	88	64¢	$56	0xa49bfe…
05-27 04:46:14	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x066547…
05-27 04:45:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xff66c5…
05-16 04:41:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x0b9863…
05-16 04:38:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x81c6e0…
04-19 06:09:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	273	95¢	$260	0x4b2bfb…
04-04 16:10:05	will ethereum dip to 1800 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd0f85d…
04-04 16:09:41	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	Vitality	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x0f7ff3…
03-31 06:59:45	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xa22ec8…
03-04 08:37:45	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x0a639a…
03-04 08:36:59	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	Yes	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0xccf7aa…
02-14 10:30:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	246	97¢	$240	0x97b4c6…
02-09 08:31:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	Yes	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0xb8e1c0…
01-22 07:19:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	229	96¢	$220	0x6991ef…
01-16 07:43:00	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x119861…
01-16 07:42:10	will solana dip to 120 january 12 18	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xd8661b…