Mellow-Sip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,031

lifetime

Volume

$5.36M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.33K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-06 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

58% 50% $-1,994

Other

29% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	130	$341.6K	172,677	172,677	+0	open	—	04-21 15:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	36	$300.4K	309,876	0	+309,876	open	—	01-23 18:49
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	126	$242.6K	247,977	68,976	+179,001	open	—	04-22 01:23
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$219.7K	0	220,000	-220,000	open	—	01-21 20:13
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	149	$144.3K	145,200	108,764	+36,435	open	—	04-26 21:46
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	42	$111.2K	58,903	58,903	+0	open	—	07-03 01:05
Thunder vs. Suns	72	$104.6K	64,370	56,744	+7,627	open	—	04-25 21:21
Celtics vs. 76ers	22	$102.6K	86,171	42,841	+43,329	open	—	04-25 01:31
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	41	$98.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	02-03 19:02
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	21	$93.9K	106,426	0	+106,426	open	—	02-09 02:21
nba phi bos 2026 04 19	22	$93.7K	103,187	0	+103,187	open	—	04-19 17:23
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	30	$88.2K	103,719	0	+103,719	open	—	04-21 00:50
nba por sas 2026 04 19	14	$74.3K	75,938	5,518	+70,420	open	—	04-20 02:28
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	176	$73.2K	39,411	34,028	+5,383	open	—	01-29 08:33
nba hou cha 2026 02 19	28	$70.1K	57,586	20,000	+37,586	open	—	02-20 02:17
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$64.9K	72,358	0	+72,358	open	—	05-31 02:41
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	34	$62.6K	64,786	0	+64,786	open	—	01-31 23:31
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	44	$62.0K	52,421	42,785	+9,636	open	—	04-26 19:51
nba ind orl 2026 03 23	25	$54.7K	31,948	31,948	+0	open	—	03-24 01:26
Hawks vs. Knicks	6	$54.2K	44,624	15,496	+29,129	open	—	04-29 01:41
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	24	$50.0K	56,073	0	+56,073	open	—	06-29 14:32
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	8	$45.6K	51,129	10,000	+41,129	open	—	07-07 17:33
will trump visit china by march 31	11	$42.6K	42,983	0	+42,983	open	—	03-25 04:32
nba sac hou 2026 02 25	2	$41.9K	47,463	0	+47,463	open	—	02-25 11:51
nba chi okc 2026 03 27	24	$41.9K	32,082	18,977	+13,105	open	—	03-28 01:41
spx up or down on february 9 2026	14	$41.0K	41,465	0	+41,465	open	—	02-09 20:36
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	69	$40.9K	28,006	28,006	+0	Cavaliers	$-2,344	05-09 21:47
nba sac tor 2026 04 01	40	$40.3K	32,882	30,214	+2,668	open	—	04-02 02:30
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	14	$39.8K	45,087	0	+45,087	open	—	04-19 00:19
nba bkn bos 2026 02 27	19	$39.7K	43,705	0	+43,705	open	—	02-28 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 04:36:05	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xce0610…
08-05 20:12:08	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xaabe06…
08-05 19:07:23	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x147f42…
08-05 17:18:08	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0xdc1526…
08-05 14:06:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xb82586…
08-05 13:01:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x3c5d62…
08-05 08:56:32	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf7c8c3…
08-05 08:56:23	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x0801f4…
08-05 08:56:05	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x01857a…
08-05 06:57:05	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x564efc…
08-05 04:31:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x847cd7…
08-04 20:44:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9e3be9…
08-04 10:52:51	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x98def4…
08-04 09:28:59	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x053942…
08-03 12:39:08	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xde5f05…
08-03 12:11:27	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb8d072…
08-03 01:21:02	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb0ee28…
08-02 20:50:33	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc6cf5a…
08-02 19:39:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0ba17e…
08-02 18:39:30	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x27d5fd…
08-02 17:08:56	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,296	90¢	$1,166	0x993843…
07-29 18:53:33	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	422	80¢	$338	0x82d24a…
07-29 18:53:33	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	2,304	80¢	$1,843	0x614b82…
07-29 18:53:33	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	130	80¢	$104	0x09dad5…
07-29 18:53:32	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	427	80¢	$342	0xacd2e2…
07-29 18:53:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	151	80¢	$121	0xa18109…
07-29 18:53:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x16d8c8…
07-29 16:02:53	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	Yes	BUY	3,449	62¢	$2,150	0x38a275…
07-27 20:43:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	30,587	2¢	$715	0xd2d206…
07-12 01:20:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,344	88¢	$2,074	0xff89b3…
07-12 01:20:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x9f12e2…
07-12 01:20:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	315	88¢	$279	0x9aa693…
07-12 01:20:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	315	88¢	$279	0x94b258…
07-07 17:33:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	6,832	83¢	$5,671	0xd33b23…
07-07 17:33:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	23,345	85¢	$19,843	0xfbcdae…
07-07 17:33:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x99a25d…
07-07 17:33:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x7cd715…
07-07 17:33:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	825	85¢	$701	0x748f1d…
07-07 17:32:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	10,000	85¢	$8,500	0x2dc24d…
07-07 17:30:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10,000	21¢	$2,100	0x3c06e4…
07-07 16:10:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10,000	87¢	$8,700	0xd7ea18…
07-07 15:48:20	bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x084bca…
07-07 15:48:17	bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	8,362	100¢	$8,337	0x410b4e…
07-07 15:48:05	bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	8,542	100¢	$8,525	0xcc011c…
07-04 21:22:19	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	2,088	92¢	$1,921	0x0cc20b…
07-04 21:22:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	6,034	92¢	$5,551	0x55a911…
07-04 21:21:55	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,500	0x929d44…
07-04 21:20:53	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	15,310	92¢	$14,086	0xf35c11…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,475	96¢	$1,416	0xf14bbb…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xeaef8c…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xe9f07e…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe887a6…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xc27424…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x92c6a0…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x7815e9…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,020	96¢	$980	0x4d87ed…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x4adfc6…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x339938…
07-03 01:05:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x124d1c…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,020	96¢	$980	0xf434f0…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,889	96¢	$1,814	0xe8c7d0…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xa6e944…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,912	96¢	$1,835	0x88b112…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,933	96¢	$1,856	0x7f0a19…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x703146…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x4fc502…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,912	96¢	$1,835	0x4820d5…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	380	96¢	$365	0x27e4fa…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,035	96¢	$994	0x1e171d…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0x16bff5…
07-03 01:05:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x029f40…
07-03 01:02:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5ec08d…
07-03 01:02:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	833	96¢	$800	0x3cba91…
07-03 01:02:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,160	96¢	$1,114	0xd4b2ef…
07-03 01:02:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,598	96¢	$1,534	0x836cd4…
07-03 01:02:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	174	96¢	$167	0x618d66…
07-03 00:48:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	3,562	95¢	$3,383	0x16f755…
07-03 00:48:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1,622	95¢	$1,541	0x0ccc6c…
07-03 00:48:05	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf5e1d6…
07-03 00:48:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	24,266	95¢	$23,135	0xd4ac47…
07-03 00:12:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7,797	95¢	$7,388	0x78c1d5…
07-03 00:07:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7,591	93¢	$7,077	0x44616c…
07-02 23:56:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8,509	93¢	$7,913	0x256035…
07-02 23:56:16	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3,150	93¢	$2,922	0xf46cfc…
07-02 23:55:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	14,995	93¢	$13,937	0x7c54b0…
07-02 23:55:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8,698	93¢	$8,089	0x0f4851…
07-02 23:55:22	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3,162	92¢	$2,925	0xe2c780…
07-02 23:50:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	417	92¢	$384	0xff2e02…
07-02 23:50:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$0	0xa201c6…
07-02 23:50:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	4,582	92¢	$4,216	0x08d158…
07-02 01:09:55	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x667ec0…
07-02 01:00:07	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	3,673	96¢	$3,525	0x5f9eae…
07-02 00:59:49	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x3438fd…
07-02 00:59:37	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	4,299	94¢	$4,041	0xced076…
06-29 15:35:07	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	5,021	91¢	$4,570	0x1fabe0…
06-29 14:32:31	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	4,612	90¢	$4,151	0x557101…
06-29 14:17:50	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	5,021	62¢	$3,113	0x301366…
06-29 13:51:50	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xeebec1…
06-29 13:35:46	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x631c4a…
06-29 13:14:19	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	76	90¢	$68	0xb32caa…