Realized P&L
+$4.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.57K
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
99
Trades
1,806
lifetime
Volume
$46.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$11.1K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-26 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
76% 54% +$1,828
Other
23% 60% +$2,664
Sports
1% 50% -$217
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +54,653 $862 14¢ $7.7K +$6,817 10-22 18:29
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +10,254 $1,516 16¢ $1.6K +$78 10-26 17:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,462 $1,050 68¢ $987 -$63 10-23 08:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,250 -$1,755 44¢ $-544 +$1,210 07-08 18:46
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +191,313 -$143 0¢ $287 +$430 10-06 10:42
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,740 $10 1¢ $-18 -$28 09-21 10:02
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,289 -$139 1¢ $-11 +$128 09-05 11:46
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,274 -$27 1¢ $-8 +$18 05-10 16:36
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $10 10¢ $7 -$3 10-23 17:23
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +279 $20 2¢ $4 -$16 10-23 10:59