Kind-Boxspring — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$114

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,054 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.37K

$308.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

$264

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-31 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

64% 72% +$1,380

Politics

26% 69% -$633

Sports

6% 67% -$2,126

Tech

2% 62% -$475

Crypto

1% 100% +$86

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+308	$285	86¢	$264	-$20	10-31 13:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	32	$9.8K	5,567	5,567	+0	No	+$521	06-21 21:31
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	30	$8.4K	5,056	5,056	+0	Yes	+$288	07-18 21:00
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	18	$6.6K	3,549	3,549	+0	Yes	+$165	07-04 15:40
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	36	$5.9K	5,666	5,666	+0	Yes	-$1,231	02-06 13:12
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	3	$5.5K	3,300	2,557	+743	No	+$313	06-23 13:37
Will LAPTOP launch on Base?	15	$5.3K	2,693	2,693	+0	Yes	+$94	09-09 13:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$5.1K	4,385	4,385	+0	Yes	+$31	07-16 15:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	29	$4.9K	4,626	4,626	+0	No	+$288	10-09 20:39
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	34	$4.3K	3,073	1,820	+1,253	Yes	+$235	09-01 20:48
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	23	$4.2K	3,173	3,173	+0	DR Congo	+$920	07-01 17:52
wta badosa zidanse 2026 07 18	3	$4.2K	5,411	2,385	+3,027	Paula Badosa	-$1,575	07-18 17:56
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	27	$4.2K	3,332	3,332	+0	Yes	+$227	07-22 12:57
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	11	$4.1K	3,063	3,063	+0	Yes	-$13	09-20 15:49
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	5	$4.0K	3,419	3,419	+0	Over	-$8	09-12 20:39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	34	$3.9K	4,743	2,200	+2,543	No	+$85	09-12 15:41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	5	$3.8K	2,623	2,623	+0	Yes	+$543	09-08 20:42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	9	$3.7K	3,410	3,410	-0	Yes	-$307	09-12 19:56
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	16	$3.5K	2,507	2,507	+0	No	-$204	09-08 18:51
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	6	$3.5K	2,100	2,100	+0	Yes	+$370	06-26 06:03
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	8	$3.4K	2,985	2,985	+0	No	+$2,458	09-04 02:12
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	7	$3.4K	3,904	0	+3,904	Yes	+$554	07-16 15:49
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	15	$3.3K	1,961	1,961	+0	Yes	+$274	07-18 18:46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$3.1K	9,919	9,919	+0	No	-$2,467	07-14 20:37
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 tot	2	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	No	+$62	02-07 14:19
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	2	$2.9K	3,293	0	+3,293	No	+$380	09-09 18:07
will laptop flip trump by december 31 2026	1	$2.9K	2,926	0	+2,926	Yes	+$50	09-09 14:33
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	16	$2.8K	1,582	1,582	+0	Yes	+$156	06-03 10:37
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$2.8K	2,687	2,687	+0	England	+$50	07-18 22:34
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	31	$2.7K	1,963	1,651	+312	Yes	+$292	06-11 01:15
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$2.5K	4,866	0	+4,866	No	+$2,336	07-01 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:54:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	188	69¢	$129	0xdac0d4…
10-31 15:53:43	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	213	62¢	$132	0xff8f62…
10-31 15:11:04	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	213	79¢	$168	0x2679a8…
10-31 15:01:31	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0xf2c2a9…
10-31 14:58:52	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x9d7a92…
10-31 14:58:22	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	77¢	$81	0xc2cdf0…
10-31 14:01:22	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xaedba2…
10-31 14:00:54	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x2e2d8a…
10-31 14:00:24	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x543fa4…
10-31 13:48:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	404	68¢	$274	0xc51e8b…
10-31 13:46:03	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	330	86¢	$282	0x7cb4dd…
10-31 12:39:28	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xcaea74…
10-31 12:39:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xdbb450…
10-30 21:40:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x95ecbf…
10-30 21:19:00	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0xc0bd73…
10-30 20:02:34	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xc39880…
10-30 19:55:03	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x33cbcb…
10-30 11:59:16	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x986ee9…
10-30 11:58:18	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa9a2a8…
10-30 11:57:19	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xc8df8b…
10-29 20:50:43	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	338	90¢	$303	0xc9e3d5…
10-29 19:10:36	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x97bbf7…
10-29 17:23:08	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xc3f223…
10-29 06:43:44	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x04ce04…
10-29 05:06:38	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xfc561d…
10-28 23:42:10	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8a21bb…
10-28 21:32:56	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	184	79¢	$146	0x922129…
10-28 21:03:01	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	184	73¢	$134	0xa13032…
10-28 21:00:47	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	221	62¢	$137	0xf52a2c…
10-28 19:14:50	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0x0c697f…
10-28 19:14:47	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x447330…
10-28 19:14:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x96b86a…
10-28 19:14:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x65d942…
10-28 19:14:07	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	109	63¢	$68	0x3649d2…
10-28 19:13:34	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	74	63¢	$46	0xe79756…
10-28 19:08:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x197126…
10-28 05:28:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0xe4b9a7…
10-28 05:21:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xacff94…
10-27 21:40:51	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	136	44¢	$60	0x0036ae…
10-27 21:40:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	75	82¢	$62	0xf5483a…
10-27 21:24:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	84¢	$63	0xc237d8…
10-27 21:20:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	422	15¢	$63	0x314750…
10-27 05:46:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	121	72¢	$87	0x98c6ed…
10-27 05:46:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x0ab7a6…
10-27 05:44:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xfd2027…
10-27 05:44:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0x0e8b1e…
10-27 05:44:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x9d71b6…
10-26 14:53:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0xb2c03a…
10-26 14:51:45	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	51¢	$73	0x68f212…
10-26 14:39:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	188	63¢	$118	0x8d7fa3…
10-26 14:37:27	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	60¢	$91	0x7466cb…
10-26 14:23:11	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	65¢	$31	0xbd1cc4…
10-26 11:20:15	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x285e02…
10-26 11:03:45	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	84¢	$194	0xd7f113…
10-26 11:03:14	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	83¢	$88	0x35b152…
10-26 11:02:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	432	68¢	$292	0x1d15c4…
10-25 22:50:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x19e6f6…
10-25 22:30:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0xf7b574…
10-25 22:30:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x994198…
10-25 22:30:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x60b391…
10-25 22:30:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	72¢	$44	0x211f0b…
10-25 22:30:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x7a8386…
10-25 22:30:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	105	72¢	$75	0x292ff4…
10-25 22:30:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	176	72¢	$126	0x0c5bb3…
10-25 22:22:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0xb0b064…
10-25 22:22:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$104	0xe115d2…
10-25 20:29:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	306	25¢	$76	0x5a4f27…
10-25 20:29:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	143	57¢	$82	0x877c9f…
10-25 20:03:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	143	63¢	$90	0x00de67…
10-25 18:47:12	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xda4eb7…
10-25 18:36:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x059514…
10-25 17:39:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0xa65418…
10-25 17:38:02	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0xfe5e48…
10-25 16:18:15	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	86	94¢	$80	0xef3662…
10-25 16:06:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	114	71¢	$81	0x823f05…
10-21 22:41:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	114	76¢	$87	0x77284f…
10-21 18:46:23	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$62	0x197e3e…
10-21 17:06:02	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	63	63¢	$39	0xbbf27a…
10-21 17:05:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0xfbe2a9…
10-20 23:47:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xfb4497…
10-20 23:46:24	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	78	50¢	$40	0x81a905…
10-12 17:24:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	78	52¢	$41	0x96fb55…
10-11 21:42:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x1cfc55…
10-10 21:35:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x9718c7…
10-10 21:29:00	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x187b8e…
10-10 20:30:04	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x2cf46a…
10-10 20:29:28	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4f97a4…
10-10 19:15:52	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xd68736…
10-10 18:07:24	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdf7c6d…
10-10 18:04:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd86004…
10-10 18:04:36	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xca109e…
10-10 18:03:10	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe555f2…
10-10 16:56:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x013937…
10-10 16:05:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd9cfb7…
10-10 14:06:58	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xe40133…
10-10 07:16:03	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x65d4fc…
10-10 07:05:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x3722b7…
10-10 06:23:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0xf65cec…
10-09 21:06:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0xa73ddc…
10-09 20:39:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x7e4fa2…