Severe-Max — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

296

Trades

1,679

lifetime

Volume

$138.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-01 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 36% -$5,389

Other

14% 43% -$230

Politics

1% 33% -$686

Tech

1% 33% -$956

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	20	$7.0K	3,836	3,836	+0	Yes	-$109	02-20 12:06
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	38	$6.8K	11,426	11,523	-97	No	-$88	02-19 06:06
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	7	$4.5K	7,144	7,652	-508	No	+$1,654	02-27 17:42
bitcoin above 68k on february 21	32	$4.1K	5,783	5,783	+0	Yes	+$432	02-20 12:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 16	9	$3.7K	4,672	4,672	+0	Yes	+$586	01-16 15:16
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	15	$3.6K	2,995	2,995	+0	Yes	+$930	02-25 15:39
bitcoin up or down on february 7	32	$3.1K	6,402	6,402	+0	Down	+$653	02-07 11:13
bitcoin above 68k on february 14	16	$2.9K	2,632	2,632	+0	Yes	+$787	02-13 16:32
bitcoin above 72k on february 10	46	$2.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$145	02-08 02:40
bitcoin above 68k on february 22	18	$2.3K	3,630	2,523	+1,107	No	-$691	02-20 12:18
bitcoin above 68k on april 2	4	$2.1K	1,960	1,892	+68	No	+$459	04-01 07:16
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	13	$2.1K	1,917	1,852	+65	Yes	+$557	04-14 03:55
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	38	$2.1K	2,769	2,769	+0	Yes	+$237	02-09 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	17	$2.0K	1,211	1,211	+0	No	-$97	02-13 01:29
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	7	$1.9K	2,472	2,472	+0	No	-$119	01-15 15:30
bitcoin above 68k on february 11	26	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$328	02-11 04:42
bitcoin above 70k on february 16	31	$1.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	+$26	02-15 13:14
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	9	$1.8K	3,254	3,254	+0	Yes	-$472	02-08 08:07
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	18	$1.6K	8,652	8,652	+0	No	-$1,176	02-28 10:49
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	14	$1.6K	1,812	1,730	+82	Down	+$220	03-31 14:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	34	$1.6K	2,755	2,755	+0	Yes	-$782	02-28 07:16
bitcoin above 68k on february 17	10	$1.5K	2,146	1,163	+983	No	+$877	02-16 17:15
crint lka irl 2026 02 08	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Sri Lanka	-$141	02-08 14:22
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 16 22	5	$1.4K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	-$143	02-17 12:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	6	$1.4K	1,811	1,759	+53	No	-$45	01-16 15:17
bitcoin above 74k on february 7	3	$1.4K	2,155	2,155	+0	No	-$341	02-05 03:17
bitcoin above 70k on february 20	20	$1.3K	3,577	3,577	+0	No	-$228	02-19 03:38
will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	12	$1.3K	4,021	4,021	+0	No	-$217	02-19 06:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	6	$1.2K	3,661	3,661	+0	No	-$809	02-09 12:28
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	28	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$219	02-07 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x3ba36c…
11-01 06:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	41	20¢	$8	0x2f75d4…
11-01 04:39:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x427e9e…
10-31 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x69ebec…
08-12 16:23:13	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x156b5f…
08-04 13:52:57	bitcoin above 64k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xe8cb3e…
08-04 13:33:56	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x85b65e…
08-04 04:26:15	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	34	60¢	$21	0x083d1d…
06-07 07:50:27	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xfeabe3…
06-07 07:49:54	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x77fa84…
06-07 07:49:36	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x51903a…
06-06 01:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x0cb286…
06-02 15:59:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,625	1¢	$21	0xf9c729…
06-02 15:58:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	687	4¢	$27	0x01ef11…
06-02 09:40:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	687	19¢	$130	0xed5a09…
06-02 05:10:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	649	24¢	$156	0x83c7c2…
06-02 03:41:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	649	18¢	$118	0xd47536…
06-01 17:53:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xbe79ef…
06-01 04:13:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,500	25¢	$1,125	0xb806a0…
06-01 03:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa6ff45…
05-31 04:01:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1efd58…
05-30 10:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3bc960…
05-20 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xe511c1…
05-19 04:00:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0899df…
05-16 03:00:01	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xad57e5…
05-16 02:58:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xfe32df…
05-16 02:58:12	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf92438…
05-16 02:57:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x5c4b92…
05-16 02:28:24	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xac81d1…
05-16 02:27:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x188d81…
05-16 02:26:28	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x8185f4…
05-16 02:25:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x82540b…
05-13 18:03:22	Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe4dd54…
05-13 17:59:10	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xee1bff…
05-13 17:57:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x19d783…
05-04 15:17:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,297	0¢	$5	0xb583fc…
05-02 17:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	350	29¢	$100	0x7f91c9…
04-14 03:55:11	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	920	90¢	$828	0xfd5148…
04-14 03:54:49	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$9	0x7128c3…
04-14 03:54:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	296	90¢	$266	0x7be790…
04-06 05:46:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xe95d9f…
04-06 05:26:15	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xfb5544…
04-06 05:08:29	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9cf9bf…
04-06 05:04:21	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb9b724…
04-06 05:00:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa31c4b…
04-06 04:58:25	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x86c0b9…
04-06 04:52:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	879	47¢	$413	0x4da2c1…
04-06 04:50:47	bitcoin above 68k on april 6	Yes	SELL	725	83¢	$603	0xbdd33e…
04-04 03:41:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 6	Yes	BUY	220	26¢	$57	0x2d8a38…
04-04 03:41:07	bitcoin above 68k on april 6	Yes	BUY	547	25¢	$137	0x13cdec…
04-04 03:40:05	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	626	32¢	$200	0x18057d…
04-04 03:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	380	33¢	$125	0xcc6b4e…
04-04 03:28:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	SELL	4,208	2¢	$79	0x732003…
04-04 03:27:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	SELL	1,914	3¢	$58	0x7af184…
04-03 08:14:27	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xc45681…
04-03 07:53:43	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	277	34¢	$94	0x170aa8…
04-03 07:51:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	SELL	408	23¢	$94	0xb3d587…
04-02 02:32:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	BUY	787	37¢	$287	0xcd07bd…
04-02 02:31:59	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	BUY	605	36¢	$218	0x81e467…
04-02 01:27:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	1,800	23¢	$414	0x438010…
04-02 01:23:31	bitcoin above 68k on april 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x84d178…
04-02 01:19:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xc60932…
04-02 01:18:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x422eb7…
04-02 01:18:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x1c9010…
04-02 01:18:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x8809f3…
04-02 01:18:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x062731…
04-02 01:18:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x7a9d43…
04-02 01:18:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x60de6d…
04-02 01:18:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x24cfb1…
04-02 01:18:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x18e73d…
04-02 01:17:59	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xdca93c…
04-02 01:05:25	will ethereum reach 2300 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	994	21¢	$209	0xfae937…
04-02 01:05:13	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x1a0b39…
04-02 00:12:01	will ethereum reach 2300 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x384cf2…
04-01 07:16:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	Yes	SELL	1,246	68¢	$850	0xa3462c…
04-01 07:15:19	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	Yes	SELL	646	70¢	$452	0x40960c…
04-01 07:04:05	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	SELL	1,000	34¢	$340	0xd25093…
03-31 14:04:15	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	242	32¢	$78	0x4c6265…
03-31 07:45:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x038bdf…
03-31 07:44:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	Yes	BUY	1,900	43¢	$817	0x3b20c0…
03-31 04:50:43	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x2f3a6b…
03-31 01:42:57	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	914	27¢	$247	0xd4e797…
03-31 01:41:47	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xac4fde…
03-31 01:41:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x4c7488…
03-31 01:32:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	SELL	654	43¢	$281	0x18abf3…
03-31 01:29:11	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	552	54¢	$298	0x644066…
03-31 01:26:37	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x080183…
03-31 01:26:35	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xaa4ae8…
03-31 01:26:35	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x646f44…
03-31 01:26:33	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x221bd7…
03-31 01:26:31	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xf0218c…
03-31 01:26:31	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xdae90a…
03-31 01:26:31	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0x915e31…
03-31 01:26:31	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x6d4b55…
03-31 01:26:31	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	101	55¢	$56	0x2f5f94…
03-30 18:00:37	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0x32c2f9…
03-30 17:59:57	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	512	33¢	$169	0xa66f8d…
03-30 13:48:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	BUY	83	45¢	$37	0xebf687…
03-30 13:47:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd53dc5…
03-30 13:47:33	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xcc9818…