Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$80

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

214

343 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$67.0K

$96.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$281

Open exposure

$1.28K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-05 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

97% 98% -$21

Crypto

2% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 100% +$454

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-1,310	-$1,222	98¢	$-1278	-$56	07-09 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$3	10-28 09:09
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	18	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$3	10-26 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$1.6K	826	826	+0	No	+$2	11-01 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	1	$1.5K	1,539	0	+1,539	Yes	+$2	08-14 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 7?	4	$1.5K	1,526	0	+1,526	No	+$4	08-07 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?	1	$1.5K	1,522	0	+1,522	No	+$2	08-06 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?	2	$1.5K	1,516	0	+1,516	No	+$4	07-29 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$1.5K	758	758	+0	No	+$1	10-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 24?	1	$1.5K	1,508	0	+1,508	No	+$3	07-24 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	29	$1.5K	1,499	0	+1,499	No	+$28	07-16 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 10?	1	$1.5K	1,469	0	+1,469	No	+$1	07-10 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 30?	3	$1.5K	1,468	0	+1,468	No	+$3	07-30 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?	9	$1.5K	1,468	0	+1,468	No	+$3	07-09 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$1.4K	715	715	+0	open	—	11-05 11:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,405	0	+1,405	No	+$3	10-30 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,402	0	+1,402	No	+$3	10-28 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,393	0	+1,393	No	+$1	10-22 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,392	0	+1,392	No	+$1	10-19 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,390	0	+1,390	No	+$3	10-16 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	2	$1.4K	1,387	0	+1,387	No	+$1	08-28 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	2	$1.4K	1,386	0	+1,386	No	+$1	08-27 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	No	+$8	10-15 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	2	$1.4K	1,380	0	+1,380	No	+$1	10-14 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 28?	4	$1.4K	1,375	0	+1,375	No	+$2	07-28 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,379	0	+1,379	No	+$7	10-13 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,370	0	+1,370	No	+$1	10-09 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	2	$1.4K	1,363	0	+1,363	No	+$3	09-18 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 21?	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$1	07-20 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?	2	$1.3K	1,296	0	+1,296	No	+$2	07-14 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$1.3K	647	647	+0	No	+$1	10-30 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 11:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	715	100¢	$714	0xd1c06d…
11-05 07:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	720	100¢	$717	0x6b4b98…
11-04 09:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x0422fc…
11-04 06:19:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	715	100¢	$714	0xcf7555…
11-04 06:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6d6a2…
11-04 06:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	543	100¢	$542	0x39b147…
11-04 06:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x51b3f2…
11-03 13:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0x8beb12…
11-03 04:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,105	0x8eeb24…
11-03 04:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x86af83…
11-02 10:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x918ddb…
11-02 09:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x2bc7a7…
11-02 09:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x09f666…
11-02 09:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9f6adc…
11-02 09:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9972fc…
11-02 09:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x86a79b…
11-02 09:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x638c72…
11-02 09:55:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4d10cc…
11-02 09:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xce4f7f…
11-02 09:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbf6fca…
11-02 09:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6fab78…
11-02 09:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xabe8fb…
11-02 09:12:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x336d16…
11-02 09:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x75d88b…
11-02 09:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62749b…
11-02 09:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	125	99¢	$123	0x972588…
11-02 09:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x253e2b…
11-02 06:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$139	0xad7e7e…
11-02 06:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x77125a…
11-02 06:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xef5634…
11-02 06:14:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x731aae…
11-02 06:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5695fd…
11-02 06:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xb793a5…
11-02 06:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x79c126…
11-02 06:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7c8db7…
11-02 06:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2c9a25…
11-02 06:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbad88d…
11-02 06:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x5aab9a…
11-02 06:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x620cb5…
11-02 06:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x88a0d6…
11-02 06:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a3fa8…
11-02 06:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0xe51aea…
11-02 06:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x486a85…
11-02 06:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x15e32c…
11-02 06:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x996d9d…
11-02 06:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x916d0d…
11-02 06:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xe9a5e2…
11-01 22:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x0b9ca4…
11-01 14:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x203612…
11-01 14:13:40	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbf8ef5…
11-01 14:06:49	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xa10889…
11-01 14:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	443	100¢	$441	0xa565a7…
11-01 13:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$824	0xb0e377…
10-31 07:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x0e65c6…
10-31 07:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	826	100¢	$823	0xb84b9a…
10-31 07:32:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0x217a8b…
10-31 07:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x347657…
10-31 07:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$347	0x6bf15d…
10-30 06:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,405	100¢	$1,402	0xb01385…
10-30 06:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	758	100¢	$756	0x0ed80e…
10-30 06:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	647	100¢	$646	0x6c4536…
10-29 06:29:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	647	100¢	$646	0x9f3e22…
10-29 06:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	758	100¢	$755	0x2c5a43…
10-28 09:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	956	100¢	$954	0xa68558…
10-28 09:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	446	100¢	$445	0x5907c5…
10-28 09:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x0273e9…
10-27 03:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,396	0x197633…
10-26 14:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	657	100¢	$655	0x3dfdeb…
10-26 13:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$160	0xc36570…
10-26 13:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbf1e24…
10-26 13:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x671ab6…
10-26 13:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x12fe33…
10-26 13:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9531d2…
10-26 13:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5aa8d9…
10-26 13:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xc46bed…
10-26 13:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x5b3b32…
10-26 13:18:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7794ee…
10-26 12:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x214bd2…
10-26 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x856cf6…
10-26 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5b7929…
10-26 12:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa1d1a7…
10-26 12:09:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebafd5…
10-26 12:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x531b32…
10-26 06:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x3de280…
10-26 06:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,105	0x3939f0…
10-22 07:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,393	100¢	$1,392	0x286b52…
10-19 09:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,392	100¢	$1,391	0xd17296…
10-16 06:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,390	100¢	$1,387	0xf2637b…
10-15 06:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	582	100¢	$579	0x0a364f…
10-15 06:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	661	99¢	$657	0xba4978…
10-15 06:48:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x6a8d82…
10-14 05:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1,299	100¢	$1,298	0x5a00b1…
10-14 05:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x37b8cf…
10-13 07:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,379	100¢	$1,372	0x02da42…
10-12 07:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	896	100¢	$895	0x5229f3…
10-12 07:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x90bab0…
10-12 07:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9b4aa7…
10-12 07:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x9b5975…
10-12 07:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe51a8b…
10-09 08:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,370	100¢	$1,369	0x74670f…