Profuse-Airfare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-15 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% +$0

Other

26% — —

Sports

8% 0% $-14

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	20	$717	413	413	+0	open	—	04-23 18:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	17	$415	267	267	+0	open	—	04-25 16:45
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	5	$261	133	133	+0	open	—	04-24 01:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	8	$257	141	141	+0	open	—	04-25 16:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	8	$248	133	133	+0	open	—	04-30 01:43
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	14	$243	6,189	46	+6,142	open	—	04-30 03:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	16	$181	167	167	+0	open	—	04-28 03:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	8	$177	213	213	+0	open	—	04-25 09:45
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	8	$160	89	89	+0	open	—	04-27 16:51
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	5	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	04-28 15:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	4	$122	65	65	+0	open	—	04-27 06:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$103	81	81	+0	open	—	04-27 19:34
Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	4	$85	48	48	+0	open	—	04-28 15:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$75	51	51	+0	open	—	04-23 04:17
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	3	$74	69	26	+43	open	—	04-28 04:54
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	3	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	04-28 05:51
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	3	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	04-28 03:07
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	4	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	04-27 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$65	41	41	+1	open	—	04-28 02:29
Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 05:14
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	2	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	04-24 08:48
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	04-27 18:46
Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	4	$58	77	77	+0	open	—	04-29 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-27 19:01
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti	7	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-24 11:26
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	3	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 03:24
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 04:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$40	34	33	+1	open	—	04-27 18:46
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-25 16:45
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	8	$36	338	325	+13	open	—	04-25 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:49:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x481c61…
05-13 02:32:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x633f70…
05-12 13:32:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xbb8d91…
05-12 01:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x469e3b…
05-12 01:40:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbb9fb8…
05-12 01:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x341f07…
05-12 01:39:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xfa36cb…
05-10 07:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xfa4421…
05-10 00:33:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x35ee00…
05-09 03:46:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb66276…
05-09 03:46:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd72d40…
05-08 12:55:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xbb3452…
05-08 12:55:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd41c0f…
05-08 12:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x755a0f…
05-08 10:39:53	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x403032…
05-08 10:39:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6db20b…
05-08 08:57:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x93736e…
05-08 08:57:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x3d3b0b…
05-08 08:34:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x903d4d…
05-08 08:33:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x14e5f3…
05-08 08:32:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x86f6c4…
05-08 08:32:41	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x383709…
05-08 08:21:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd161cb…
05-08 02:49:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xe73074…
05-08 00:32:36	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa7de16…
05-08 00:30:44	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xd324b1…
05-07 02:06:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4beb63…
05-06 14:07:34	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xa6b56f…
05-06 07:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x219050…
04-30 03:24:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	3,878	2¢	$66	0x01790e…
04-30 02:37:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x31633b…
04-30 01:43:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	5¢	$50	0x371c40…
04-30 01:43:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x06815f…
04-29 18:02:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	599	9¢	$51	0xd138f1…
04-29 18:01:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$53	0x456528…
04-29 17:58:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9f9f4e…
04-29 17:58:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	235	8¢	$20	0x919e6d…
04-29 17:56:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x27cefe…
04-29 17:55:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	84	8¢	$7	0xbb0c2e…
04-29 13:39:38	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xc25f95…
04-29 13:39:34	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x7ce0a0…
04-29 05:35:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x6ae0e1…
04-29 05:35:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x8b38e9…
04-29 05:28:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xe2fce1…
04-29 05:19:56	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x168746…
04-29 05:18:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0b4aa9…
04-29 05:14:24	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd4735b…
04-29 04:18:40	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6668f6…
04-29 04:09:18	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8cba0f…
04-29 02:34:24	Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	77	36¢	$28	0x179896…
04-29 02:22:02	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6385df…
04-29 02:21:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7af19f…
04-29 02:16:18	Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc551ba…
04-29 02:14:52	Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5cfc3b…
04-29 02:13:20	Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2caa1f…
04-29 02:12:54	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x133f31…
04-29 02:12:08	Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x298847…
04-29 01:59:24	Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb895f2…
04-29 01:47:56	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9027d3…
04-29 01:38:56	Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2ca336…
04-28 15:56:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa65243…
04-28 15:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0ab8b1…
04-28 15:41:08	Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x64b75e…
04-28 15:39:34	Will King Charles say "Queen" or "Elizabeth" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9e7a92…
04-28 15:39:26	Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe1eb3c…
04-28 15:37:46	Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x07baa1…
04-28 15:37:38	Will King Charles say "King" or "Kingdom" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe7d806…
04-28 15:37:28	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x47a02a…
04-28 15:37:08	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb2be90…
04-28 15:37:00	Will King Charles say "Mother" or "Mama" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6ba70f…
04-28 15:35:52	Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf16333…
04-28 15:35:46	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf74b14…
04-28 15:35:42	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x5db039…
04-28 15:33:02	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x4201a6…
04-28 15:28:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9f1976…
04-28 15:20:12	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xa741dc…
04-28 15:17:52	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa2387a…
04-28 14:06:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	107	9¢	$10	0xdcde42…
04-28 10:53:50	Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xb3df46…
04-28 09:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x928763…
04-28 06:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x6bce93…
04-28 05:51:50	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb1ebcf…
04-28 05:51:30	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc0d6fd…
04-28 05:31:08	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x593a4f…
04-28 05:30:12	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x5719da…
04-28 04:54:10	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	BUY	43	76¢	$32	0x4bdbe4…
04-28 04:53:48	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x5dd3e7…
04-28 03:35:40	Hawks vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb159f7…
04-28 03:31:58	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x48f0cc…
04-28 03:24:32	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x3ca721…
04-28 03:18:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x1061e9…
04-28 03:13:08	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x892902…
04-28 03:09:26	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x10194c…
04-28 03:07:14	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x9a0859…
04-28 03:07:00	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	New York Yankees	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x7f78a7…
04-28 03:06:50	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc79721…
04-28 02:47:04	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	New York Yankees	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xd14358…
04-28 02:42:20	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x80a905…
04-28 02:41:36	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3aa33a…
04-28 02:34:48	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xfb9071…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	129	$188.9K	13,629	05-04 13:09
Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f	110	$31.7K	10,605	05-08 09:18
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	107	$131.5K	12,502	04-26 05:56
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	99	$360.5K	13,422	05-24 05:35
(anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b	86	$2.53K	528	05-06 23:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	83	$154.3K	14,716	05-28 14:34
Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f	75	$558	518	05-08 13:30
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	71	$8.29M	15,345	05-29 23:10