Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$117

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved (30d)

103

Trades (30d)

307

461 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.20K

$5.69K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-26 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

80% 46% -$103

Politics

11% 0% -$26

Tech

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	12¢	$0	$0	10-04 10:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$400	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 03:58
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	4	$390	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 11:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	10-26 06:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?	4	$202	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	10-04 22:06
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in October?	4	$159	100	100	+0	No	+$1	10-07 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	2	$141	100	100	+0	Yes	+$57	10-25 20:00
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026?	2	$116	200	200	+0	open	—	10-06 19:31
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	2	$112	150	150	+0	open	—	10-08 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	9	$112	100	97	+3	Yes	-$12	10-25 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	8	$112	100	100	+0	No	+$4	10-25 23:28
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	10-04 07:31
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 26?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$0	10-25 07:17
will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	10-04 19:42
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	3	$90	77	77	+0	Yes	-$2	10-05 16:19
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?	5	$89	200	200	+0	open	—	10-08 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	4	$88	78	78	+0	No	+$0	10-24 16:14
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	3	$85	100	100	+0	No	-$11	10-07 02:05
Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?	7	$84	100	100	+0	Yes	-$10	10-07 18:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	7	$83	100	97	+3	Yes	-$17	10-26 14:19
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 19:05
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	10-05 03:49
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	2	$67	100	100	+0	open	—	10-05 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25?	3	$66	100	66	+34	No	-$12	10-25 05:47
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	6	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	10-07 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	7	$59	105	105	+0	No	+$0	10-25 02:18
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	10-05 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 24?	7	$58	87	87	+0	No	+$1	10-24 15:20
Will a team from Americas win VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$52	100	100	+0	Yes	-$22	10-04 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	6	$52	65	65	+0	Yes	-$10	10-26 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:19:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x18ffe2…
10-26 12:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x83a931…
10-26 11:22:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x4edbff…
10-26 11:22:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xef3ce1…
10-26 11:22:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x2a4167…
10-26 11:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x884f25…
10-26 11:21:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xb0544f…
10-26 11:09:54	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	120	66¢	$79	0x100351…
10-26 11:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xdbd799…
10-26 11:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xe1e8c0…
10-26 10:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x9e60ca…
10-26 10:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x595410…
10-26 09:16:35	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xdb03d1…
10-26 07:43:15	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0xced463…
10-26 06:32:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xb8e89f…
10-26 05:10:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x608b8f…
10-26 04:55:45	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	118	64¢	$75	0xcf2adb…
10-26 03:58:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x7b169e…
10-26 03:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x70aca4…
10-26 03:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x0761ef…
10-26 03:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0x05bbbf…
10-26 03:31:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x16264a…
10-26 02:20:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x41bdf3…
10-26 02:15:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x87b06c…
10-26 01:32:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	160	83¢	$133	0x699b4f…
10-26 01:32:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x4474cd…
10-26 01:22:41	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xc66148…
10-26 01:15:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xb6aac7…
10-25 23:59:15	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xf43a8c…
10-25 23:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x3bec5e…
10-25 23:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	69	58¢	$40	0x2bef98…
10-25 22:38:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x7dc17e…
10-25 22:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x0efd29…
10-25 22:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x2422f2…
10-25 22:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x0c7093…
10-25 21:51:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xd1a0b0…
10-25 21:40:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd3ba0b…
10-25 21:29:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xdff2a5…
10-25 20:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5a3a64…
10-25 11:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 25?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5de79d…
10-25 10:57:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x751733…
10-25 10:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xeaee5c…
10-25 10:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa6734e…
10-25 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc23922…
10-25 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x922c41…
10-25 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x91efa1…
10-25 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x7e356c…
10-25 10:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x6c38e6…
10-25 10:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 25?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x2325c1…
10-25 10:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x1b6c6c…
10-25 10:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdd441f…
10-25 10:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xb33f4a…
10-25 10:20:09	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0xabfcb3…
10-25 10:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x64aae0…
10-25 10:19:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa3f8b8…
10-25 10:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x240deb…
10-25 10:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe31174…
10-25 10:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xd0dcea…
10-25 10:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb982fd…
10-25 10:06:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xad9b93…
10-25 10:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 25?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x022b65…
10-25 10:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 25?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x70e8ce…
10-25 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x2cbef5…
10-25 09:58:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x767d77…
10-25 09:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x8a251b…
10-25 09:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac3484…
10-25 09:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x30ab40…
10-25 09:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9bbadb…
10-25 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x83d38f…
10-25 09:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x0d06c7…
10-25 09:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x474707…
10-25 09:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xad9c42…
10-25 08:58:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x88f6bc…
10-25 08:57:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xdd9985…
10-25 08:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xb878ab…
10-25 08:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x8b6034…
10-25 08:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x14656b…
10-25 08:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x9dbafc…
10-25 08:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x31466d…
10-25 08:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xe8e088…
10-25 08:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x4a12bc…
10-25 08:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x86ed35…
10-25 08:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x8eed76…
10-25 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x72b6bc…
10-25 08:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0xd12628…
10-25 08:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd6cb58…
10-25 08:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x369076…
10-25 08:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xba75bf…
10-25 07:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$8	0xffc99b…
10-25 07:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xb01e10…
10-25 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0xfb18d0…
10-25 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbd72de…
10-25 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4b1044…
10-25 07:35:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x93f374…
10-25 07:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd07510…
10-25 07:17:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0x6cdde4…
10-25 07:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xa60e4d…
10-25 07:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe96c88…
10-25 07:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x335b0f…
10-25 07:11:08	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x9769bf…