Downright-Sensor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-08 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

37% 67% +$0

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Sports

6% 67% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		-2	$-1	44¢	$-1	$-0	05-30 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	5	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-26 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$4	9	6	+3	open	—	05-04 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-26 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-26 07:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$4	2	4	-2	open	—	04-18 12:25
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 16:29
fl1 tou lil 2026 04 12 lil	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$3	6	5	+2	open	—	05-26 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-04 11:28
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-26 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-26 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-26 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-26 05:37
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$3	2	2	+0	Canadiens	+$1	05-11 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	open	—	05-26 08:53
mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 vwh	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-01 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 09:31
will kanye release bully by march 27	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$3	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 11:24
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-16 19:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$2	17	2	+15	open	—	05-04 11:05
mls nyc col 2026 03 14 nyc	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-11 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:32:55	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6e1bdd…
06-07 14:32:24	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x6c8936…
06-07 14:29:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99c2f3…
06-07 14:28:01	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6e87ad…
06-07 14:20:31	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x88c8ea…
06-07 14:15:34	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3b8ed9…
06-07 14:14:51	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a831b…
06-07 14:13:42	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3297a9…
05-31 19:45:42	Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x5adbe1…
05-31 13:34:48	Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f7642…
05-30 18:15:23	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbab5f4…
05-30 17:59:59	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0e8783…
05-30 16:34:25	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdbdfec…
05-30 16:31:28	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd92064…
05-30 16:29:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x595274…
05-30 16:04:57	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x103fff…
05-30 08:05:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeacaf0…
05-26 09:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88ecd1…
05-26 09:12:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x748c36…
05-26 09:11:46	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3ad98c…
05-26 09:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8c0ffd…
05-26 09:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8480d1…
05-26 09:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x05058d…
05-26 09:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x883a87…
05-26 08:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x468358…
05-26 08:56:53	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc25ef3…
05-26 08:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc7e7c9…
05-26 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x380c45…
05-26 08:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6ac6e…
05-26 08:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x69a940…
05-26 08:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x44e85e…
05-26 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f00a6…
05-26 08:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5d4d0…
05-26 08:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b0f37…
05-26 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf758eb…
05-26 08:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f5d34…
05-26 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3ed37…
05-26 08:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcb77fa…
05-26 08:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8658ea…
05-26 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa2c5ad…
05-26 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1a8773…
05-26 08:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2bc069…
05-26 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc1f3dd…
05-26 08:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x140a17…
05-26 08:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc305a…
05-26 08:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xacf5cb…
05-26 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x99492a…
05-26 08:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc7aefc…
05-26 07:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a6242…
05-26 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc011e…
05-26 07:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13a4ab…
05-26 07:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4eb327…
05-26 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd7b10a…
05-26 07:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbf9839…
05-26 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x391eb4…
05-26 07:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1af27a…
05-26 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf2f0dc…
05-26 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x50f472…
05-26 07:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x47d244…
05-26 07:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x399aad…
05-26 07:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6349e2…
05-26 07:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x96580c…
05-26 07:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x019dfd…
05-26 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb21888…
05-26 07:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd906d6…
05-26 07:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x756cd0…
05-26 07:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf2b8ac…
05-26 06:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75c02d…
05-26 06:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3fc0ee…
05-26 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe1c695…
05-26 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa31f8d…
05-26 06:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7be95…
05-26 06:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7e0be0…
05-26 06:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd382bc…
05-26 05:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x794495…
05-26 05:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x460c91…
05-26 05:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x79fcd2…
05-26 05:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x745fa1…
05-26 05:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x056b64…
05-26 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa7494b…
05-26 05:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e02f1…
05-26 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x006f98…
05-26 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x92998a…
05-26 05:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x656699…
05-26 05:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x385422…
05-26 05:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdc1c10…
05-26 05:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcde249…
05-26 05:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5faf0c…
05-26 05:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6cdb1a…
05-25 13:16:08	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xca16d8…
05-25 13:10:49	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x506cca…
05-25 13:02:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2f6535…
05-25 12:58:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbae3f4…
05-25 12:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb732c1…
05-25 12:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c28a4…
05-25 12:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x81f2cb…
05-25 12:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc8237e…
05-14 12:39:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xcf3580…
05-14 12:32:45	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x812558…
05-14 11:25:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x81aae9…