Same-Hacksaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$322

Unrealized P&L

-$807

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$1.35K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

81% 53% +$25

Sports

11% 52% -$77

Crypto

6% 60% -$232

Tech

2% 0% -$34

Politics

0% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+1,747	$1,485	54¢	$935	-$550	09-11 06:43
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+794	$477	29¢	$234	-$243	09-09 10:05
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-119	-$106	96¢	$-114	-$8	05-27 07:28
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-52	-$51	99¢	$-52	-$1	05-30 02:10
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+29	$20	53¢	$15	-$5	10-29 06:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$11.9K	4,983	9,752	-4,769	No	-$32	04-07 08:23
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	5	$6.4K	4,820	4,628	+192	Paraguay	+$3	06-29 23:27
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	5	$3.4K	4,133	0	+4,133	No	+$729	07-27 06:36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.0K	2,345	2,378	-33	Yes	-$23	07-19 21:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$2.0K	1,923	1,923	+0	cancelled	-$19	05-06 02:47
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	2	$1.5K	1,765	18	+1,747	open	—	09-11 06:43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$1.0K	741	741	+0	No	+$215	07-07 17:38
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	1	$1000	1,038	0	+1,038	Yes	+$38	07-27 05:44
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	2	$960	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$500	09-01 01:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$949	734	734	+0	No	-$51	07-10 01:22
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	5	$875	780	780	+0	Morocco	-$125	06-30 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$519	322	322	+0	Down	+$119	09-01 03:59
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$477	794	0	+794	open	—	09-09 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	7	$475	1,164	0	+1,164	Up	-$475	09-01 04:08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	3	$418	2,195	2,195	+0	No	-$22	08-25 11:48
Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$255	510	323	+187	No	-$61	07-14 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:35 UTC	2	$224	127	127	+0	Up	+$24	09-01 03:36
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	4	$216	235	234	+0	open	—	09-01 04:14
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	1	$200	581	0	+581	No	-$200	08-27 17:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$200	107	107	+0	open	—	05-30 02:12
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	2	$199	133	132	+1	Yes	+$0	04-21 17:54
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	4	$124	109	109	+0	No	-$34	09-09 15:53
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$113	166	166	+0	Argentina	-$107	07-07 17:57
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	7	$106	291	103	+188	Vitality	-$51	04-19 18:37
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$106	0	119	-119	open	—	05-27 07:28
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$101	136	0	+136	Spain	+$35	07-19 21:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:40 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	09-01 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:50 UTC	1	$100	120	0	+120	Up	+$20	09-01 03:52
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	1	$100	107	0	+107	Yes	+$7	07-18 22:59
Will Crysencio Summerville play for Marseille in 2026-27?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-22 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:35:16	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xeae79d…
10-21 11:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc0888a…
10-21 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe8b69f…
10-21 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9cf8bd…
10-21 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x49c7bb…
10-21 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3bf099…
10-21 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x394831…
10-21 11:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x95b7c6…
10-21 11:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c9f0a…
10-21 11:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x761a24…
10-21 11:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a4f34…
10-21 11:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3a8156…
10-21 11:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x48b9f7…
10-21 11:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x79ea2f…
10-20 08:06:05	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x140147…
10-20 06:15:40	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27aad6…
09-26 19:54:29	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1a28d1…
09-26 19:54:12	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5027d5…
09-23 18:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f6ff4…
09-17 03:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb15645…
09-16 16:51:44	Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc6d9ce…
09-11 06:44:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6a7092…
09-11 06:43:51	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x753fcf…
09-09 18:21:39	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x47d305…
09-09 15:53:27	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	47	16¢	$7	0x4495a2…
09-09 10:05:16	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	794	60¢	$477	0xf8c604…
09-09 10:04:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,765	85¢	$1,500	0xe3fb6e…
09-08 16:08:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x505911…
09-08 02:53:03	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	62	60¢	$37	0xb5089b…
09-08 02:24:31	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0x848564…
09-02 08:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2b2a81…
09-01 04:51:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0x040696…
09-01 04:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x3030f8…
09-01 04:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x66ef30…
09-01 04:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5b0a38…
09-01 04:46:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x74ecb8…
09-01 04:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x6591e4…
09-01 04:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xc5e17d…
09-01 04:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x49ca14…
09-01 04:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x8984b3…
09-01 04:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	57	37¢	$21	0x2706f0…
09-01 04:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xd069cf…
09-01 04:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x22f6c9…
09-01 04:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xfdb8f9…
09-01 04:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x24a8cb…
09-01 04:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0xd251db…
09-01 04:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x55152f…
09-01 04:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x666378…
09-01 04:22:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0xf25e11…
09-01 04:20:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5a4693…
09-01 04:19:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf535ab…
09-01 04:19:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb861f6…
09-01 04:19:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x345466…
09-01 04:19:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x292f58…
09-01 04:19:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x55adf9…
09-01 04:19:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4b3a51…
09-01 04:18:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x22873d…
09-01 04:18:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1f379b…
09-01 04:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xbf0c51…
09-01 04:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x74622b…
09-01 04:14:52	Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2f94ac…
09-01 04:14:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa22aa4…
09-01 04:14:39	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0xfc5811…
09-01 04:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	207	12¢	$25	0x7c8ad6…
09-01 04:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	136	18¢	$25	0xdcfe0c…
09-01 04:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xed4f86…
09-01 04:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x43d723…
09-01 04:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb89d24…
09-01 04:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x9b56d5…
09-01 04:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xd06214…
09-01 04:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	189	12¢	$23	0xc1ce6a…
09-01 04:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	189	13¢	$25	0xcbe5d5…
09-01 03:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	322	99¢	$319	0xccebf0…
09-01 03:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xef396e…
09-01 03:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc050c4…
09-01 03:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x7fe1ca…
09-01 03:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc6e44d…
09-01 03:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	127	97¢	$124	0x777b78…
09-01 03:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0x57cbf1…
09-01 01:53:34	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 150b hkd	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xfcb932…
09-01 01:44:48	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0x76619d…
08-29 10:22:58	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	Yes	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x68caf0…
08-27 17:05:48	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	Yes	BUY	581	34¢	$200	0x2bd616…
08-25 11:48:00	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	SELL	2,195	9¢	$198	0x202495…
08-25 11:33:55	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	697	10¢	$70	0x006992…
08-25 11:33:48	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	1,498	10¢	$150	0xa8f8e7…
08-11 09:06:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb40f44…
08-04 06:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x8a6577…
08-04 06:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x020db2…
08-04 06:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x97867f…
08-04 06:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f4f05…
08-04 06:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18f08a…
08-04 06:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf9fd6c…
08-04 06:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcac930…
08-04 06:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbe355a…
08-04 06:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x81a6ee…
07-27 06:36:28	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	2,515	88¢	$2,213	0xf8e9b0…
07-27 06:05:15	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	1,110	79¢	$882	0xfa6ccc…
07-27 06:03:25	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	273	66¢	$180	0x3341b3…
07-27 06:01:10	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x46f4bb…