Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$105

Unrealized P&L

-$99

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved (90d)

336

Trades (90d)

564

564 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$43.2K

$43.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$121

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-23 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

67% 59% -$645

Politics

16% 44% -$510

Sports

15% 56% +$1,259

Tech

2% 25% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+116	$95	63¢	$73	-$23	10-15 18:10
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%?	No	+98	$96	48¢	$47	-$49	10-15 18:50
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	No	+4	$25	18¢	$1	-$24	10-23 17:32
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	+10	$4	5¢	$1	-$3	10-16 04:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$213	136	136	+0	No	+$19	10-23 17:31
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	3	$205	116	116	+0	No	+$6	10-23 20:11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?	2	$200	117	117	+0	Yes	+$8	10-23 17:44
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	2	$200	370	370	+0	Yes	+$7	10-23 18:50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	4	$199	122	122	+0	No	+$7	10-23 20:40
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	2	$199	104	104	+0	No	+$9	10-23 17:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$197	111	111	+0	No	+$7	10-23 20:50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 15%-20%?	2	$197	117	117	+0	open	—	10-23 21:00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$1	10-23 17:19
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	2	$195	133	133	+0	No	+$3	10-23 18:45
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$3	10-23 19:13
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$4	10-23 17:53
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	4	$194	111	111	+0	No	-$5	10-23 17:38
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	10-23 20:05
East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 47.5	2	$194	397	0	+397	Under	+$8	10-15 17:36
cfb kenest msrst 2026 10 14	2	$194	447	0	+447	Missouri State	+$37	10-15 00:07
UCLA vs. Oregon	2	$194	383	0	+383	UCLA	-$18	10-10 22:07
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)	2	$194	385	0	+385	Louisville	-$4	10-09 03:01
Bills vs. Rams	2	$194	403	0	+403	Bills	+$55	10-13 00:26
cfb wkent smho 2026 10 14	2	$194	386	0	+386	Western Kentucky	-$24	10-15 00:09
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	10-23 17:21
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	10-23 19:34
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	10-23 18:43
Seahawks vs. Broncos	2	$194	411	0	+411	Broncos	+$26	10-16 03:28
South Florida vs. UTSA	2	$194	349	0	+349	UTSA	-$51	10-08 23:47
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	2	$194	918	0	+918	Buccaneers	+$615	10-09 00:24
Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: O/U 45.5	2	$194	388	0	+388	Under	-$4	10-15 22:32
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State	2	$194	388	0	+388	South Alabama	+$26	10-08 23:40
Colorado State vs. Texas State: O/U 71.5	2	$194	394	0	+394	Over	+$17	10-15 22:28
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	2	$194	428	0	+428	Western Kentucky	+$8	10-08 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 21:20:41	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x44f1bb…
10-23 21:17:56	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x956435…
10-23 21:15:35	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	102	33¢	$34	0xffe47f…
10-23 21:13:15	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x37c4a2…
10-23 21:10:23	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xfc0341…
10-23 21:07:56	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	140	68¢	$96	0xce4efe…
10-23 21:05:32	Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x47ac28…
10-23 21:03:09	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	127	74¢	$94	0xaadd82…
10-23 21:00:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	117	86¢	$101	0xa91aae…
10-23 20:57:48	Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?	No	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xd4b3db…
10-23 20:55:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	123	76¢	$94	0xc5c137…
10-23 20:52:36	Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	112	86¢	$97	0xe20f99…
10-23 20:50:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0xeb9d44…
10-23 20:47:29	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$95	0xfe2f5c…
10-23 20:45:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	127	71¢	$90	0xfcf2bd…
10-23 20:43:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	271	24¢	$64	0x9e18bb…
10-23 20:40:53	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	No	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0x54da4d…
10-23 20:38:35	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$33	0x6ecefc…
10-23 20:36:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	No	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x0b5992…
10-23 20:34:02	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be less than 600,000?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x2a934f…
10-23 20:31:45	Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8680ab…
10-23 20:29:38	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	41	59¢	$24	0x4107fb…
10-23 20:27:23	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0xcbc14e…
10-23 20:25:14	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x174620…
10-23 20:22:56	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xf15ba9…
10-23 20:20:32	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	58	10¢	$6	0xd77f03…
10-23 20:18:08	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xdb11e9…
10-23 20:15:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	121	79¢	$95	0x0e2846…
10-23 20:13:14	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xb9d1c0…
10-23 20:11:06	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x27007d…
10-23 20:08:21	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	92	92¢	$85	0x4ce3ea…
10-23 20:05:53	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xf7eb0b…
10-23 20:03:17	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	5,104	0¢	$20	0x0c0695…
10-23 20:00:36	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x00e21a…
10-23 19:58:05	Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x468ed8…
10-23 19:55:41	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xeb380e…
10-23 19:53:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x63ed6c…
10-23 19:51:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x6cc865…
10-23 19:48:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	24¢	$13	0xccc9c6…
10-23 19:46:33	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	No	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0x3e8e55…
10-23 19:44:29	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	No	SELL	41	89¢	$37	0xb61a9d…
10-23 19:42:24	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	82	92¢	$75	0x0cd235…
10-23 19:40:26	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x859ebd…
10-23 19:38:33	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x4f3cf5…
10-23 19:36:41	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x8793b5…
10-23 19:34:42	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xa05d41…
10-23 19:32:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	No	SELL	49	78¢	$38	0xdbbad4…
10-23 19:30:50	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	No	SELL	48	89¢	$43	0x9ac93b…
10-23 19:29:14	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xc05661…
10-23 19:27:35	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x5c7a75…
10-23 19:24:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	94	90¢	$85	0xc8d4b9…
10-23 19:22:23	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xdb6cb6…
10-23 19:20:32	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x750547…
10-23 19:18:47	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.3% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa6c4cc…
10-23 19:17:05	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	54	40¢	$21	0x6af047…
10-23 19:14:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x34b267…
10-23 19:13:15	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$99	0x188a60…
10-23 19:11:44	Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xd39393…
10-23 19:10:05	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	126	77¢	$97	0x74ca9c…
10-23 19:08:14	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$94	0xbaaf0d…
10-23 19:06:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	97	93¢	$90	0xd4197a…
10-23 19:04:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x7bbf6a…
10-23 19:03:18	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	49	73¢	$36	0xff3023…
10-23 19:01:41	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0xfc8ec8…
10-23 18:59:50	Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x2c4258…
10-23 18:58:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?	No	SELL	61	84¢	$51	0x8cede5…
10-23 18:54:56	Will Core PCE MoM be -0.1% or less in September?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0x50c6f5…
10-23 18:53:06	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x6f74bf…
10-23 18:50:32	Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	SELL	370	28¢	$103	0x02a017…
10-23 18:48:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xdccf88…
10-23 18:45:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	133	74¢	$99	0x19d05a…
10-23 18:43:48	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x91b62a…
10-23 18:41:29	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x1ab552…
10-23 18:39:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be less than 1,200,000?	No	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0x63be62…
10-23 18:37:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be less than 1,200,000?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x23e2e2…
10-23 18:35:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0x8b2d27…
10-23 18:34:06	Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xb1ff52…
10-23 18:32:32	Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	103	83¢	$85	0x36ad64…
10-23 18:30:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election?	No	SELL	97	90¢	$86	0xa33978…
10-23 18:29:24	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	109	87¢	$95	0x448ad4…
10-23 18:27:57	Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.70 in October?	No	SELL	95	97¢	$93	0xfd31a2…
10-23 18:26:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	421	23¢	$97	0x4faf19…
10-23 18:25:23	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	356	25¢	$89	0x567f4f…
10-23 18:24:05	Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x20bc46…
10-23 18:22:44	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xe1f29f…
10-23 18:21:15	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xf8e82d…
10-23 18:19:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0xa7c27b…
10-23 18:18:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x32b4c0…
10-23 18:16:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xd20fd9…
10-23 18:15:21	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0xfc2971…
10-23 18:13:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	962	7¢	$67	0x2e1513…
10-23 18:12:20	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0xbc204f…
10-23 18:10:42	Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x5523c0…
10-23 18:09:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be at least 3.1%?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x9d2a83…
10-23 18:07:53	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	SELL	124	75¢	$92	0x8adf5c…
10-23 18:06:30	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	No	SELL	112	48¢	$54	0x8b3a4a…
10-23 18:04:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	94	70¢	$66	0xdbcc4d…
10-23 18:03:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xd753b6…
10-23 18:02:23	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xb8df5c…
10-23 18:00:53	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	105	55¢	$58	0xd2354f…