Limited-Greatness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-23 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

53% 94% -$7

Crypto

31% 100% +$3

Politics

14% 100% +$3

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-58	-$53	98¢	$-57	-$4	05-17 05:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$433	433	0	+433	No	+$0	07-05 14:59
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	05-05 09:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	02-02 08:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$285	286	0	+286	No	+$1	01-16 04:08
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$250	150	100	+50	No	+$0	01-18 01:52
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 6?	1	$212	212	0	+212	No	+$0	06-03 09:39
khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 50 54	1	$174	174	0	+174	No	+$0	04-14 07:04
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	03-10 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	06-24 14:59
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$152	152	0	+152	No	+$0	05-17 05:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 160 179	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	03-17 05:09
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	05-17 05:49
Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	04-14 07:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$128	129	0	+129	No	+$1	04-23 10:13
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-25 03:24
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 40 59	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	03-10 06:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	02-02 08:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	05-17 05:46
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	08-16 15:31
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-10 06:39
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$80	81	0	+81	No	+$1	04-14 06:59
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$1	01-18 01:54
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	1	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$1	05-17 05:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$53	0	58	-58	open	—	05-17 05:45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-10 14:06
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	09-15 09:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	-$15	01-23 13:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-15 09:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	10-23 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-16 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 06:13:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3fee4b…
10-10 14:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8188b9…
10-10 14:07:37	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b075a…
10-10 14:06:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd17115…
09-15 09:17:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x843ca8…
09-15 09:17:13	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x057b56…
08-16 15:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9c66fb…
08-16 15:32:25	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed7d96…
08-16 15:31:45	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xc3a3df…
07-05 15:01:02	Will Anuel AA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4731f…
07-05 14:59:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	433	100¢	$433	0xdefb20…
06-24 14:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xa91ee1…
06-03 09:39:05	Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 6?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x33119e…
05-17 05:49:48	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb352b3…
05-17 05:48:38	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x3a794a…
05-17 05:47:48	Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x0ca961…
05-17 05:46:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xba4ea8…
05-17 05:45:59	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x3f356c…
05-05 09:57:12	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xcd5d8d…
04-23 10:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x2b9ac4…
04-14 07:08:33	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd0e6f4…
04-14 07:04:21	khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 50 54	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x796c66…
04-14 06:59:49	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x8e880f…
03-17 05:09:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 160 179	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb12a38…
03-10 06:39:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xae8082…
03-10 06:39:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 40 59	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xd84e8a…
03-10 06:33:11	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x099780…
02-25 03:24:00	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xec7c27…
02-02 08:58:22	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3a540a…
02-02 08:57:52	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x82fd22…
01-23 13:08:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x81d214…
01-18 01:54:12	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x9d8056…
01-18 01:52:54	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5a2e9b…
01-16 04:08:08	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x4cc1f4…
01-16 04:07:38	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8baf1c…