Cloudy-Gaming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

291

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$948

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-30 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

86% 77% +$320

Sports

5% 67% +$1,849

Politics

5% 67% -$247

Crypto

3% 33% -$354

Pop-Culture

1% 78% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+900	$720	72¢	$652	-$68	10-15 21:05
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+200	$164	85¢	$170	+$6	10-29 11:27
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,000	$110	12¢	$125	+$15	10-29 06:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	6	$1.1K	1,092	6	+1,086	No	+$43	05-20 20:24
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	7	$982	1,086	0	+1,086	No	+$104	05-20 20:24
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	2	$882	580	580	+0	open	—	09-03 19:56
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	5	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	10-19 05:56
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	1	$720	900	0	+900	open	—	10-15 21:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$659	2,400	600	+1,800	Yes	+$1,842	07-17 05:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$525	500	500	+0	No	-$95	09-02 20:45
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$486	594	0	+594	Yes	+$107	09-15 18:55
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$456	400	400	+0	Yes	-$80	08-17 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 20?	4	$446	298	153	+145	No	+$2	05-20 03:01
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	9	$406	225	225	+0	No	+$36	08-11 17:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$332	400	0	+400	Yes	+$68	10-07 09:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$324	400	0	+400	Yes	+$76	09-11 17:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$293	400	0	+400	Yes	+$107	07-27 18:28
will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	3	$257	220	220	+0	No	+$7	08-06 08:50
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	4	$254	300	0	+300	Yes	-$254	08-20 21:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$247	300	0	+300	No	-$247	10-05 10:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	7	$213	300	0	+300	open	—	10-30 20:35
will nvda dip to 216 in october 2026 from october 15	2	$211	221	0	+221	Yes	+$10	10-15 20:20
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	3	$210	280	0	+280	Yes	+$70	08-14 13:51
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	1	$200	348	0	+348	Under	+$148	07-11 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$198	198	0	+198	No	+$0	05-22 12:42
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador?	1	$174	200	0	+200	No	+$26	06-14 22:57
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador?	4	$170	200	0	+200	No	+$30	06-14 23:03
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	3	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	+$34	08-04 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 20?	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	05-20 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 20?	2	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	05-20 20:31
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$164	200	0	+200	open	—	10-29 11:27
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	5	$162	200	0	+200	Yes	+$38	08-14 16:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	1	$160	200	0	+200	No	-$160	10-05 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:35:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x89c586…
10-30 16:35:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	71¢	$60	0xd95d7a…
10-30 16:07:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x234c2c…
10-30 15:26:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x67d595…
10-30 15:26:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xa7c3e1…
10-30 15:24:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdf0dd3…
10-30 15:22:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	71¢	$96	0x3e016e…
10-29 11:27:44	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x2f5b75…
10-29 06:18:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x362ebe…
10-29 05:51:05	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xc7b3be…
10-29 05:44:05	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	11¢	$72	0x7c2114…
10-29 05:43:08	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	256	11¢	$28	0x5a053e…
10-19 05:56:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x79a684…
10-15 21:05:14	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	900	80¢	$720	0x6bf9f5…
10-15 20:20:12	will nvda dip to 216 in october 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xf4bae6…
10-15 20:17:39	will nvda dip to 216 in october 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0xdaf190…
10-13 17:58:37	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4000ef…
10-07 09:22:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0x902db4…
10-05 23:51:07	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	138	83¢	$114	0xc86309…
10-05 23:50:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xf8545d…
10-05 23:29:55	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	235	83¢	$195	0x24d0ba…
10-05 22:37:17	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0x65a257…
10-05 13:24:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x5dba6b…
10-05 10:18:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$247	0x569845…
09-17 14:03:16	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xfb1b3d…
09-15 18:55:57	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x22359f…
09-15 18:55:49	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x7b62b0…
09-14 15:56:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	384	83¢	$319	0x0649ad…
09-11 17:59:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x424120…
09-07 11:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x44c00b…
09-03 19:56:49	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	580	76¢	$441	0x382e08…
09-02 20:45:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x467109…
08-23 18:04:04	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x8fc1c5…
08-20 21:16:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x1a6d6e…
08-20 21:14:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x3134fd…
08-20 21:14:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x286397…
08-20 21:14:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x0cde31…
08-19 18:08:12	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x1116a3…
08-19 17:03:15	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x2bec02…
08-18 12:30:06	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x575abf…
08-18 12:12:07	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x1ac3e7…
08-17 18:29:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	47¢	$188	0x4a2a9c…
08-14 16:06:54	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	58	81¢	$47	0x26f6cd…
08-14 15:33:16	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6fa94f…
08-14 14:00:34	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x34c29e…
08-14 13:58:48	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	81¢	$57	0x636a7e…
08-14 13:51:46	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0xb72c55…
08-14 13:51:30	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x5d7c16…
08-14 13:33:45	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	203	75¢	$152	0x8dd3de…
08-14 13:26:27	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x2a999c…
08-11 17:40:42	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0xe4e0ac…
08-11 17:00:48	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xb2c967…
08-11 12:44:55	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe64830…
08-10 01:50:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	580	76¢	$441	0xe31e37…
08-09 19:59:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x616842…
08-09 10:00:15	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x3c3547…
08-08 22:06:15	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x365152…
08-06 08:50:54	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	188	60¢	$113	0x9ef67f…
08-05 20:20:57	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xde69b2…
08-05 13:06:57	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x235614…
08-05 07:41:05	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x60f7ca…
08-05 01:51:11	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	180	18¢	$32	0xe01a13…
08-05 00:37:41	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xea6a67…
08-05 00:37:33	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x2875f1…
08-05 00:35:26	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	269	8¢	$22	0x981fa9…
08-04 23:56:59	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x74a272…
08-04 23:40:41	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	220	57¢	$125	0x1dc773…
08-04 23:36:51	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$48	0xf802b2…
08-04 20:04:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	83¢	$72	0x9d3ffe…
08-04 20:04:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	83¢	$88	0x240a65…
08-03 17:21:02	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd53e15…
08-02 12:59:24	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	151	61¢	$92	0xd41de7…
08-02 12:35:18	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x221943…
08-01 11:44:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xdc1690…
08-01 11:12:39	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x7dd595…
08-01 11:11:00	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf390f1…
08-01 11:10:06	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	75	82¢	$62	0xc6257c…
08-01 11:06:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x07b1b5…
07-27 18:28:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	73¢	$293	0x3b1f53…
07-17 05:51:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	551	58¢	$322	0x7f8eac…
07-17 05:50:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x7594db…
07-17 05:50:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xd89588…
07-17 05:48:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x4e37c3…
07-17 05:47:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xc6c8d5…
07-11 23:07:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xfdaa72…
07-11 21:20:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	348	57¢	$200	0x573780…
07-07 21:02:35	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x07767c…
07-07 20:08:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf60c8f…
07-06 23:11:29	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$54	0x910f1e…
07-06 21:13:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x73ce86…
07-04 22:20:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,078	13¢	$139	0x818bd3…
07-04 22:20:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	222	13¢	$29	0xb88ac0…
07-03 21:56:16	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$14	0xaf95c5…
07-02 23:16:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x9c9301…
07-02 23:16:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x452170…
07-02 23:15:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	13¢	$8	0x82f06a…
07-02 23:14:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x8010f6…
07-02 23:14:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2160d4…
07-02 23:12:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0db06d…
07-02 23:12:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x54b007…