Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

932 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$16.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-07 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 80% +$391

Politics

10% 54% -$100

Other

4% 35% -$218

Sports

0% 50% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-78	-$13	11¢	$-8	+$4	09-23 20:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$457	258	258	+0	Up	+$7	10-07 09:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	9	$359	483	483	+0	No	-$8	07-24 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	2	$296	233	233	+0	Down	+$96	10-04 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$293	288	139	+149	Up	-$107	10-07 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	10	$259	169	169	+0	Down	+$9	10-06 15:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$211	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	09-20 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	2	$203	118	118	+0	Up	+$3	10-04 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	3	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	10-04 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$163	99	99	+0	Down	+$13	10-06 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$159	168	140	+28	Down	-$12	10-06 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$159	100	100	+0	Up	+$9	10-05 12:13
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$153	145	145	+0	Yes	+$3	10-02 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$152	102	102	+0	Down	+$2	10-06 19:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$152	328	406	-78	open	—	09-23 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$151	102	102	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$147	96	96	+0	Down	-$3	10-06 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$131	541	541	+0	No	-$35	06-21 13:39
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	2	$126	261	261	+0	No	-$34	06-10 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$125	100	72	+28	Down	+$3	10-06 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$125	99	69	+30	Down	-$25	10-06 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	3	$123	105	105	+0	Down	+$23	10-04 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$112	65	65	+0	Up	+$12	10-06 14:42
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$111	69	69	+0	Yes	+$11	07-24 16:28
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	3	$110	61	61	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:25 UTC	3	$109	60	60	+0	Up	+$9	10-05 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$108	77	77	+0	Up	+$8	10-06 11:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	06-08 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$106	60	60	+0	Up	+$6	10-06 14:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$105	235	235	+0	No	-$2	06-11 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$104	65	65	+0	Down	+$4	10-06 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 09:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x371fae…
10-07 09:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	139	67¢	$93	0x1e5665…
10-07 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xd8c4ce…
10-07 09:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x16ed1b…
10-07 09:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x15ff80…
10-07 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x71f47e…
10-07 09:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	116	96¢	$112	0xd450eb…
10-07 09:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x2ac34e…
10-07 09:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0xf548b0…
10-07 09:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x058bad…
10-07 09:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x5b438f…
10-07 09:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xf2e0d2…
10-07 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0x1f2ff8…
10-07 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x012cb8…
10-07 08:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	79	66¢	$52	0x4aca30…
10-07 08:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x0d77d7…
10-07 08:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x493a5b…
10-07 08:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x54e99b…
10-07 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0cabfc…
10-07 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0xabca99…
10-07 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xcbd1e4…
10-07 08:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0xa830a7…
10-07 08:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7bdc07…
10-07 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x7ec709…
10-07 07:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x730cd4…
10-07 07:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0x6a7012…
10-07 07:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa027ca…
10-07 07:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0x6c9be1…
10-07 07:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x8b1f1e…
10-07 07:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0x04f9c9…
10-07 07:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xeafd2e…
10-07 07:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x150978…
10-07 07:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa828e4…
10-06 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x287070…
10-06 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb9c48b…
10-06 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf51580…
10-06 19:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0xec7bd5…
10-06 19:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x019591…
10-06 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0x169b33…
10-06 19:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf6217b…
10-06 19:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x762e34…
10-06 19:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xd4897c…
10-06 19:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x50dc7f…
10-06 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x5f0790…
10-06 17:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x1161d8…
10-06 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xdcd567…
10-06 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xd7d439…
10-06 17:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc9a56f…
10-06 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x99bd40…
10-06 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0x433b50…
10-06 16:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xc0557c…
10-06 16:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0xae66ed…
10-06 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xc368b9…
10-06 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x00d5d8…
10-06 16:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x66d1d5…
10-06 16:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x2aca53…
10-06 16:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb6efdb…
10-06 16:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xdde737…
10-06 16:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	36	65¢	$24	0x6d346d…
10-06 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x0e7d76…
10-06 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x153b12…
10-06 16:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb88c5c…
10-06 16:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x82b17c…
10-06 16:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xf26592…
10-06 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x3e87c0…
10-06 15:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3e948c…
10-06 15:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x866bf9…
10-06 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x04e877…
10-06 15:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x5addb7…
10-06 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf1ba73…
10-06 15:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0xfd310f…
10-06 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xc89dbd…
10-06 15:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0xcd43e7…
10-06 15:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x69d285…
10-06 15:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x9e4a47…
10-06 15:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x354201…
10-06 15:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x016322…
10-06 15:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xeea152…
10-06 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0xc73f1d…
10-06 15:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x20d07e…
10-06 15:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0xa809d9…
10-06 15:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x2ad368…
10-06 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	46	66¢	$31	0x2066b9…
10-06 15:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xdd70aa…
10-06 15:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x024274…
10-06 15:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x843ee6…
10-06 15:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0x33f435…
10-06 15:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x3bee27…
10-06 15:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x530623…
10-06 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x286959…
10-06 15:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xfbe1f7…
10-06 15:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	83¢	$26	0x61daeb…
10-06 15:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x66c54d…
10-06 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	64¢	$24	0xe8b70a…
10-06 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd6d512…
10-06 14:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x00a561…
10-06 14:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xfad6a6…
10-06 14:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x3e63c5…
10-06 14:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8df862…
10-06 14:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x3d1710…