Cheery-Pancreas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.44K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

777

Trades

1,389

lifetime

Volume

$8.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

75% 33% -$1,314

Crypto

25% 48% -$118

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	14	$1.3K	992	992	+0	Yes	+$190	03-10 08:55
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	5	$1.2K	1,258	1,258	+0	No	-$337	04-09 05:59
will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	7	$1.2K	1,388	600	+788	Yes	+$392	04-09 11:24
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	3	$777	1,826	0	+1,826	No	-$777	03-08 07:41
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	10	$399	2,151	2,151	+0	No	-$53	05-07 05:22
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in december 2025	6	$336	243	296	-53	Yes	+$28	01-14 13:51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	2	$312	3,526	3,526	+0	No	-$288	06-06 07:19
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	1	$141	157	0	+157	Yes	+$16	02-07 10:17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	8	$123	1,730	1,730	+0	No	-$45	05-05 06:05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	2	$121	417	417	+0	Yes	-$79	06-06 07:19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	3	$109	302	302	+0	Yes	-$91	05-08 06:23
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	2	$105	589	589	+0	No	-$95	05-08 06:23
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	7	$84	2,995	2,995	+0	No	-$30	05-05 06:05
will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	5	$54	5,873	0	+5,873	Yes	-$54	01-14 10:53
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt10c in march 2026	2	$43	37	37	+0	No	+$7	03-02 14:31
will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	3	$41	2,030	2,030	+0	Yes	-$19	04-07 05:45
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	2	$39	37	37	+0	No	+$1	03-01 18:45
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	2	$38	155	155	+0	No	-$2	03-01 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 01:00 UTC	19	$25	33	27	+7	Down	+$1	02-07 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	17	$21	23	20	+3	Down	$0	02-06 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:45 UTC	17	$21	22	19	+3	Up	$0	02-06 13:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:15 UTC	15	$20	21	18	+3	Up	$0	02-06 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 11:15 UTC	18	$19	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	02-06 11:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 03:00 UTC	13	$18	23	22	+0	Up	-$3	02-07 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 04:15 UTC	13	$18	21	16	+5	Down	+$0	02-07 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 02:30 UTC	13	$17	25	21	+3	Up	-$4	02-07 02:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:00 UTC	14	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	02-06 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:30 UTC	15	$17	25	21	+3	Down	+$1	02-07 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:45 UTC	14	$17	18	15	+3	Down	+$0	02-06 14:54
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$17	0	17	-17	No	$0	01-01 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 06:56:04	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xc0f355…
08-05 06:48:57	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x3d9d0c…
08-04 16:59:27	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xc8a52e…
07-11 17:33:44	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x2691eb…
06-06 07:19:36	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	No	SELL	417	5¢	$21	0xc0a363…
06-06 07:19:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,526	0¢	$12	0x05b314…
06-05 08:28:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,526	9¢	$300	0x26b360…
05-27 15:20:27	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x42cf75…
05-16 21:47:37	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x97b86d…
05-08 06:23:18	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,579	0¢	$2	0x29a876…
05-08 06:23:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	589	1¢	$5	0xd952b0…
05-08 06:23:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	302	3¢	$9	0x936bb1…
05-07 05:22:07	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,119	7¢	$150	0xc7d543…
05-05 06:05:48	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,973	0¢	$10	0x5a9a13…
05-05 06:05:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,685	0¢	$6	0xec31a2…
05-05 05:01:30	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa3ed5a…
05-04 07:23:26	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,079	1¢	$10	0x56be15…
05-04 07:22:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	589	17¢	$100	0x604078…
05-04 06:14:42	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	9¢	$50	0x367a89…
04-29 15:09:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0xac3368…
04-29 13:38:58	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	11¢	$26	0x7b454e…
04-29 11:08:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0xdecb2a…
04-28 14:12:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	9¢	$30	0xf9b843…
04-28 14:06:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	627	8¢	$50	0xa39e48…
04-28 14:04:18	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	242	33¢	$80	0xfd6cc7…
04-28 05:44:18	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	938	1¢	$10	0x665a6b…
04-28 05:44:06	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	2¢	$10	0x10e536…
04-28 05:11:42	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xd43801…
04-27 19:48:36	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	994	1¢	$10	0xb84774…
04-27 19:32:46	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x4200f3…
04-27 12:02:32	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	609	2¢	$10	0x7942a8…
04-27 12:02:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	2¢	$10	0x5ed41f…
04-24 14:50:34	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x8e5e99…
04-24 14:50:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	15¢	$30	0x117eec…
04-24 14:49:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x018d36…
04-24 14:39:48	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	2¢	$10	0x91b0d8…
04-09 18:26:35	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0xd55d33…
04-09 15:08:55	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0x6a37f1…
04-09 11:24:05	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xd324c4…
04-09 11:22:59	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x4c4a37…
04-09 09:58:37	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	232	83¢	$192	0x0ba829…
04-09 09:16:15	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf89eeb…
04-09 09:13:45	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	67	81¢	$54	0x60e300…
04-09 07:47:09	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x8a40b7…
04-09 06:01:53	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xbb39ee…
04-09 05:59:11	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x0734a7…
04-09 05:44:13	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xdedf8e…
04-08 05:57:45	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x2c55ba…
04-08 05:57:03	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x2db7a0…
04-07 22:08:55	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	600	69¢	$417	0x53d6b5…
04-07 05:45:21	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	No	SELL	2,030	1¢	$11	0x1bcb21…
04-07 05:42:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	937	48¢	$448	0x539b3f…
04-07 05:42:17	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,215	37¢	$448	0xa18385…
04-05 05:09:55	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$99	0x1c2f24…
04-05 05:09:07	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	No	BUY	594	2¢	$10	0x4e1bb1…
04-04 06:09:05	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	No	BUY	1,435	1¢	$20	0xcb6912…
04-03 22:25:33	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,002	69¢	$687	0x324ac9…
03-26 07:22:55	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc8108b…
03-25 12:22:59	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xeeed8b…
03-17 17:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xadfa65…
03-17 17:18:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xcad1e7…
03-17 17:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x3fb729…
03-17 17:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5c06c4…
03-17 17:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x49c77a…
03-17 17:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe45e2b…
03-17 17:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x09218d…
03-17 17:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4c27eb…
03-17 17:02:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x9b4a5b…
03-17 17:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x9283eb…
03-17 16:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe30957…
03-17 16:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x1c6351…
03-17 16:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd4dece…
03-17 16:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x3566a9…
03-17 16:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xfca622…
03-17 16:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd217d4…
03-17 16:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x292c68…
03-17 16:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc23b42…
03-17 16:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x39a666…
03-17 16:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0a076a…
03-17 16:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x58c886…
03-17 16:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x0650f7…
03-17 16:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x7c4cb0…
03-17 16:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x32b715…
03-17 16:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x0618cf…
03-17 16:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5b1ead…
03-17 16:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf4314a…
03-17 16:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xae8c73…
03-17 16:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x693015…
03-17 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xecc4b6…
03-17 16:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x193975…
03-17 16:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xba6145…
03-17 16:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x960c1f…
03-17 15:30:37	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x6c0327…
03-17 15:30:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xcd1dd6…
03-17 15:21:21	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfb0685…
03-17 15:21:19	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x8a7edf…
03-17 15:21:17	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xd49853…
03-17 14:35:01	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xaab68d…
03-17 13:59:47	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9e5fd4…
03-17 13:39:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5ec74e…