Realized P&L
+$593
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
211
Trades
1,205
lifetime
Volume
$20.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$262
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-09 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
94% 81% +$593
Politics
5%
Other
1% 0% $-0
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +218 $70 32¢ $71 +$1 06-08 04:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +69 $37 55¢ $37 +$0 06-07 08:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -33 $-30 90¢ $-30 $-0 06-08 04:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +48 $30 62¢ $30 $-0 06-03 06:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +115 $30 24¢ $27 $-3 06-08 04:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +31 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 05-31 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 05-28 13:59
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 72¢ $20 $-0 06-03 06:45
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +33 $10 $2 $-8 05-28 14:00