Dry-Embassy 0x7eecec…04c8ed
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved (24h)
48
Trades (24h)
76
17,700 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$389
$72.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$67
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-31 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Other
98% 85% +$449
Politics
1% 80% +$1
Crypto
1% 85% -$3
Sports
1% 88% -$3
Tech
0% 74% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 83% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$2 07-29 01:32
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 07-29 01:32
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-29 01:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 07-29 01:32
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 08-15 23:27
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 09-10 18:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 08-15 23:27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +5 $2 91¢ $5 +$3 08-11 12:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$2 08-15 23:27
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 $0 08-15 23:27
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 08-23 09:04
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $0 08-15 23:27
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes -5 $0 76¢ $-4 -$4 09-10 18:56
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $4 68¢ $3 -$1 08-02 00:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $3 46¢ $2 -$1 08-02 00:15
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes -5 -$1 20¢ $-1 $0 08-15 23:27
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +5 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 08-07 02:39
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +5 $3 10¢ $0 -$2 08-11 12:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 07-29 01:32