Realized P&L
+$434
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
88.6%
Resolved
10,401
Trades
17,583
lifetime
Volume
$72.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$68
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-29 06:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
98% 85% +$445
Politics
1% 80% +$1
Crypto
1% 85% -$3
Sports
1% 88% -$3
Tech
0% 74% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 83% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$2 07-29 01:32
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 09-09 12:08
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-29 01:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 07-29 01:32
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 07-29 01:32
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-10 18:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 08-15 23:27
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 08-15 23:27
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +5 $3 87¢ $4 +$2 08-15 23:27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +5 $2 86¢ $4 +$2 08-11 12:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 08-15 23:27
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 $0 08-02 00:15
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes -5 $0 80¢ $-4 -$4 09-10 18:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $0 08-15 23:27
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $3 32¢ $2 -$1 08-02 00:15
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes -5 -$1 19¢ $-1 $0 08-15 23:27
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +5 $3 19¢ $1 -$2 08-11 12:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 07-29 01:32
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-09 12:08