Angelic-Hug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$568

Open exposure

$22

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-16 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$7

Other

0% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 67% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-6	-$6	100¢	$-6	$0	08-04 02:42
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-13 10:01
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$4	97¢	$-5	$0	05-24 03:48
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	-4	-$4	100¢	$-4	$0	10-16 10:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	-6	-$5	33¢	$-2	+$3	06-23 05:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	6	$13.1K	6,564	6,560	+4	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:52
bitcoin above 64k on march 20	5	$6.8K	4,579	2,270	+2,309	Yes	+$5	03-20 03:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	3	$6.5K	3,277	3,274	+3	Yes	+$0	03-19 14:58
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	2	$6.5K	3,279	3,276	+3	Yes	+$0	03-21 02:41
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$958	960	0	+960	Yes	+$2	03-20 04:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-22 12:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-02 13:00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-08 06:40
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$8	5	3	+2	No	+$0	04-04 12:58
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 19:44
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 14:05
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	05-24 07:33
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	08-04 02:42
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-24 03:29
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-07 20:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	06-23 05:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	05-24 03:49
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	02-17 17:27
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	02-28 08:49
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-12 13:16
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-30 18:54
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 10:01
will donald trumps tie be red	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	02-24 19:32
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$5	4	1	+2	No	+$0	04-11 02:03
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-24 03:48
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-14 20:08
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	10-16 10:24
will 2 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	02-15 02:40
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-01 16:19
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	1	$4	0	5	-5	No	-$1	07-24 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 10:24:34	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x77bd66…
09-02 13:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x021a4f…
09-02 11:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2cba83…
08-04 02:42:38	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x561e1f…
07-24 12:59:55	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8cb423…
06-23 05:21:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb1a881…
05-24 07:33:12	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf2eea3…
05-24 03:49:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3a05da…
05-24 03:48:27	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xd0e7ee…
05-24 03:29:22	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x93d80a…
05-14 13:21:00	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x09dc48…
05-13 10:01:41	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe2024e…
04-12 13:16:45	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29de92…
04-11 02:03:57	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf0dba…
04-07 20:14:39	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf53586…
04-06 05:27:47	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfc2f41…
04-04 12:58:45	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x73e49e…
04-01 16:19:13	will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xbb93d1…
03-30 18:54:31	will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8ceaee…
03-26 07:29:47	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 26	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0xeb7d38…
03-24 18:02:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x7665ff…
03-21 03:29:25	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5f294e…
03-21 02:41:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	3,276	100¢	$3,263	0x86b224…
03-21 02:40:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,279	100¢	$3,266	0x030a93…
03-20 08:43:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x45080d…
03-20 04:46:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	960	100¢	$958	0x2fe5b2…
03-20 03:00:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	2,253	100¢	$2,248	0x3ae241…
03-20 02:56:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbf065…
03-20 02:55:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5c9812…
03-19 23:53:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	SELL	2,270	100¢	$2,263	0xea9715…
03-19 23:50:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	2,273	100¢	$2,266	0xd1511f…
03-19 22:03:15	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x299b09…
03-19 14:58:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	2,434	100¢	$2,427	0x5111a0…
03-19 14:53:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	840	100¢	$837	0x598630…
03-19 14:23:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	3,277	100¢	$3,267	0x58178f…
03-18 16:50:21	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x201b67…
03-18 10:52:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,925	100¢	$1,921	0x4349d1…
03-18 10:50:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,355	100¢	$1,352	0x8c603f…
03-18 10:28:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,280	100¢	$3,273	0xda50b2…
03-18 07:34:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	2,080	100¢	$2,074	0xec84f9…
03-18 07:00:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,200	100¢	$1,196	0x4af0bc…
03-18 06:53:25	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,284	100¢	$3,274	0x9a5590…
03-17 16:10:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4dd2ac…
03-14 20:08:25	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb005e6…
03-13 01:22:03	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xca6a1a…
03-12 12:51:41	will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 12	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc9e3d5…
03-11 14:05:01	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x39880b…
03-08 06:40:03	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x3e4f78…
03-07 14:45:51	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x58a7b5…
03-03 20:03:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x11325c…
03-03 06:29:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x04558c…
02-28 08:49:31	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3b87cd…
02-27 19:44:35	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x873a5f…
02-24 19:32:30	will donald trumps tie be red	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe1dbc7…
02-23 15:35:40	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa927ca…
02-22 12:21:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x791a81…
02-19 04:06:54	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x48f51d…
02-17 17:27:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa4693c…
02-16 13:10:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xddef4b…
02-15 02:40:03	will 2 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe951ad…