Optimal-Advancement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$876

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-04 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 43% +$2

Sports

7% — —

Other

4% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes		-21	$-2	14¢	$-3	$-0	05-31 13:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$184	333	323	+11	open	—	05-28 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$112	145	120	+25	open	—	05-20 11:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	2	$47	1,303	1,303	+0	open	—	05-23 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$31	36	23	+13	open	—	05-21 06:16
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$30	236	236	+0	open	—	05-25 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$30	103	0	+103	open	—	05-21 19:51
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$30	73	0	+73	open	—	05-10 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$30	37	29	+8	open	—	05-20 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	06-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$27	45	25	+20	open	—	05-20 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$21	34	17	+17	open	—	05-21 17:58
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	1	$20	167	0	+167	open	—	06-04 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$18	29	13	+17	open	—	05-20 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$18	25	14	+11	open	—	05-21 18:02
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	04-08 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-20 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-23 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	05-20 21:09
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-10 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-20 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-20 21:00
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	97	0	+97	open	—	05-06 05:39
btc updown 5m 1781343000	2	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	06-13 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	06-02 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$6	19	6	+12	open	—	05-31 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$6	36	0	+36	open	—	05-20 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-20 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 09:34:46	btc updown 5m 1781343000	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x18b0cd…
06-13 09:33:24	btc updown 5m 1781343000	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7dc5b9…
06-04 12:32:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x5c4df1…
06-04 12:30:16	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x77339f…
06-03 09:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x94a511…
06-02 18:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x8fe276…
06-02 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x81be1a…
06-02 18:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x0d699f…
06-02 18:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x51facc…
06-02 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x105576…
06-02 18:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7dee05…
06-02 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa51a60…
06-02 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x39c527…
05-31 20:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1fca01…
05-31 17:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x661969…
05-31 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdad960…
05-31 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf65a1b…
05-31 17:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x614192…
05-31 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe4a770…
05-31 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0dad7f…
05-31 13:05:29	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x9b20b0…
05-28 12:35:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x946e33…
05-28 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9429c6…
05-28 12:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	323	54¢	$174	0xffdb10…
05-28 12:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xa6cd1b…
05-28 12:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xa8636c…
05-28 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd0d7a2…
05-28 12:05:45	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xd9fd63…
05-28 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x32aa01…
05-26 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x03bab7…
05-25 21:03:09	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	236	0¢	$0	0xdbe4b8…
05-24 12:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc9590d…
05-23 15:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc98953…
05-23 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x85ce07…
05-23 11:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2e2af2…
05-23 11:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb8e5e8…
05-23 11:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	1,303	1¢	$16	0x842301…
05-23 09:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,303	2¢	$31	0x768c77…
05-23 09:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbb0c14…
05-23 09:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xe0c4ae…
05-23 09:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c08ec…
05-21 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0x347ee6…
05-21 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x33fdff…
05-21 19:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x85dd3b…
05-21 19:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x121cea…
05-21 18:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3daf32…
05-21 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xcfcb83…
05-21 18:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x30ebca…
05-21 17:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xad5cb3…
05-21 17:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x27c85b…
05-21 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf6c193…
05-21 17:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc8da4f…
05-21 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x939a00…
05-21 06:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x06b093…
05-21 06:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf17d0f…
05-21 06:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	68¢	$16	0x64f9c6…
05-21 06:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4033e2…
05-20 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe0ea71…
05-20 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x89a3e1…
05-20 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa9403d…
05-20 20:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7db8f9…
05-20 20:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9e3a2b…
05-20 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xb33177…
05-20 20:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x95fe8d…
05-20 20:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb88798…
05-20 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0a11cb…
05-20 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf86b61…
05-20 19:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7cff82…
05-20 19:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x929cc9…
05-20 19:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef9957…
05-20 18:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x35dbe3…
05-20 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf640d0…
05-20 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x27966a…
05-20 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x46be88…
05-20 11:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x550b03…
05-20 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x764fc9…
05-20 11:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf24746…
05-20 11:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3f8dc8…
05-20 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0x7b6d9c…
05-20 11:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	145	3¢	$4	0xb99ab2…
05-12 07:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb4e0fc…
05-11 07:25:26	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x7bf6fb…
05-10 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x790e59…
05-10 16:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cebb4…
05-10 16:03:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x80f922…
05-10 12:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x948268…
05-10 12:02:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x39423e…
05-10 11:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xed3695…
05-10 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x225ad3…
05-10 11:39:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xf94ebc…
05-10 09:01:05	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8d2dcb…
05-06 05:55:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x0e5ea4…
05-06 05:48:04	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0xdf4945…
05-06 05:39:38	Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x47b60b…
05-06 05:39:26	Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xcdab73…
04-23 17:30:54	Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x5031c4…
04-08 21:08:31	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xb6cc08…
03-18 13:43:15	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 btts	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x58691a…